Realized P&L
+$685
Unrealized P&L
+$521
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved
55
Trades
219
lifetime
Volume
$91.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$420
Open exposure
$12.7K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-26 13:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Politics
49% 64% +$4,304
Other
37% 71% -$915
Tech
8% 100% +$776
Sports
3% 0% -$2,946
Crypto
3% 67% -$535
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -2,672 -$2,569 98¢ $-2619 -$50 09-21 22:13
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -2,286 -$1,943 90¢ $-2069 -$126 08-31 06:19
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1,712 $1,472 98¢ $1.7K +$197 10-10 22:38
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,842 $1,763 43¢ $1.6K -$113 10-20 05:44
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +1,756 $1,088 89¢ $1.6K +$478 10-05 04:05
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -1,244 -$1,126 97¢ $-1204 -$78 09-04 06:59
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +813 $644 85¢ $691 +$47 10-16 03:41
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +760 $631 80¢ $604 -$27 10-24 20:54
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +417 $357 96¢ $402 +$46 06-14 00:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +275 $77 30¢ $84 +$7 10-24 04:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +336 $70 16¢ $55 -$15 10-24 04:54
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -1,149 -$207 4¢ $-52 +$155 06-14 00:18