Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

-$145

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$882

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 06-13 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$631

Politics

32% 100% +$350

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+892	$535	52¢	$459	$-76	06-02 15:38
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	+727	$306	36¢	$258	$-47	06-06 20:26
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	+492	$187	34¢	$165	$-22	06-13 05:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$598	1,023	+1,023	open	—	04-12 12:08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	4	$535	892	+892	open	—	06-02 15:38
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$494	894	+894	open	—	05-18 15:03
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	9	$414	839	+839	Yes	+$425	04-12 17:34
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	1	$355	755	+755	open	—	04-13 13:30
wta udvardy snigur 2026 06 10	1	$310	413	+413	open	—	06-10 09:18
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	4	$306	727	+727	open	—	06-06 20:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$290	492	+492	open	—	03-20 17:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$262	662	+662	open	—	05-08 01:45
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	5	$216	422	+422	Yes	+$206	03-23 04:35
wta siegemu jones 2026 06 08	1	$212	312	+312	open	—	06-09 13:15
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	1	$209	312	+312	open	—	06-02 11:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$200	400	+400	open	—	03-21 04:49
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	3	$187	492	+492	open	—	06-13 05:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$187	537	+537	Yes	+$350	04-10 16:46
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$177	377	+377	open	—	03-29 15:41
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	5	$168	398	+398	open	—	03-22 03:49
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	1	$156	256	+256	open	—	06-01 14:41
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$133	333	+333	Yes	+$200	04-28 19:16
atp munar damm 2026 06 09	1	$127	230	+230	open	—	06-09 08:03
atp galan balshaw 2026 06 13	3	$121	220	+220	open	—	06-13 17:33
israel closes its airspace by june 8	1	$117	318	+318	open	—	06-08 06:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$108	308	+308	open	—	03-20 18:17
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	8	$103	303	+303	open	—	03-21 19:52
wta sramkov wurth 2026 06 03	1	$103	206	+206	open	—	06-04 10:55
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$102	308	+308	open	—	05-21 15:50
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	4	$99	299	+299	open	—	03-22 18:18
wta maneiro tomljan 2026 06 08	1	$96	196	+196	open	—	06-10 09:41
atp mannari rinderk 2026 06 10	4	$92	192	+192	open	—	06-11 10:41
starmer out by july 31 2026	5	$92	242	+242	open	—	06-05 06:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 17:33:39	atp galan balshaw 2026 06 13	Felix Balshaw	BUY	111	55¢	$61	0xdb57d7…
06-13 17:33:39	atp galan balshaw 2026 06 13	Felix Balshaw	BUY	104	55¢	$57	0x9384eb…
06-13 17:32:27	atp galan balshaw 2026 06 13	Felix Balshaw	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbe2c68…
06-13 05:13:09	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	BUY	161	38¢	$61	0xdf81da…
06-11 10:41:51	atp mannari rinderk 2026 06 10	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	138	48¢	$66	0x066c10…
06-11 10:40:57	atp mannari rinderk 2026 06 10	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x117548…
06-11 10:36:43	atp mannari rinderk 2026 06 10	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0x3d2a00…
06-11 10:35:18	atp mannari rinderk 2026 06 10	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xcc2baf…
06-10 09:41:04	wta maneiro tomljan 2026 06 08	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	196	49¢	$96	0x21f19d…
06-10 09:18:13	wta udvardy snigur 2026 06 10	Daria Snigur	BUY	413	75¢	$310	0x60c1b1…
06-09 13:15:37	wta siegemu jones 2026 06 08	Laura Siegemund	BUY	312	68¢	$212	0x70a273…
06-09 08:03:55	atp munar damm 2026 06 09	Martin Damm	BUY	230	55¢	$127	0x3b0df6…
06-09 03:52:10	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x49169b…
06-08 10:51:36	atp herbert landalu 2026 06 08	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	191	46¢	$88	0x0aed62…
06-08 06:46:01	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	318	37¢	$117	0xe9bf85…
06-06 20:26:57	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xa2c01f…
06-06 20:24:31	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x625bc0…
06-06 19:24:24	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	600	42¢	$252	0x48d383…
06-06 14:48:42	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	BUY	322	38¢	$123	0x38a7cb…
06-06 05:17:07	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xd06bf4…
06-05 06:30:07	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	161	38¢	$61	0x0b6e4b…
06-05 05:50:42	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0xd08901…
06-05 05:49:51	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6b4a41…
06-05 05:24:42	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x61cf09…
06-05 05:04:12	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	48	38¢	$18	0xb44979…
06-04 12:58:13	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	192	46¢	$88	0xd2cb26…
06-04 10:55:12	wta sramkov wurth 2026 06 03	Tara Wurth	BUY	206	50¢	$103	0xe5d34c…
06-02 15:38:38	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	362	60¢	$217	0xaf6952…
06-02 11:53:35	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	312	67¢	$209	0x5f8c67…
06-01 17:12:41	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	60¢	$22	0x0860f4…
06-01 15:51:57	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x900bc5…
06-01 15:06:22	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	475	60¢	$285	0x08ff93…
06-01 14:41:13	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	256	61¢	$156	0xcaad1a…
05-21 15:50:20	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	308	33¢	$102	0x5dd6d5…
05-18 15:03:38	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x198c43…
05-18 15:02:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x34dabf…
05-18 15:02:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	327	41¢	$134	0xed8793…
05-08 01:45:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	33¢	$99	0x7d790a…
05-07 15:58:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	45¢	$155	0x2f3a3a…
05-07 15:56:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	45¢	$8	0xe3ffa2…
05-05 14:44:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	237	64¢	$151	0xb4ad53…
05-05 14:43:12	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x8f81b3…
05-05 14:41:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	129	64¢	$82	0x5adb8e…
05-05 14:30:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	58	64¢	$37	0x42aeae…
05-05 13:58:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0x67d53c…
05-05 13:47:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	54	64¢	$35	0xf57152…
05-05 13:39:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfe15e1…
04-28 19:16:34	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	333	40¢	$133	0x80c45e…
04-20 19:28:18	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x975cd1…
04-20 19:28:04	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	35¢	$14	0x9e5f80…
04-13 15:33:53	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	44¢	$59	0xc66b61…
04-13 13:30:27	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	755	47¢	$355	0xfdca33…
04-12 17:34:49	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1450fa…
04-12 15:36:35	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x5d28ee…
04-12 15:05:23	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf15e60…
04-12 13:38:49	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0xf56438…
04-12 12:08:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	174	57¢	$99	0x40cc3e…
04-10 19:08:13	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0x55e378…
04-10 19:08:07	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x0bbd50…
04-10 19:08:01	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd3ef05…
04-10 19:07:55	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x5fc991…
04-10 16:46:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	33¢	$74	0xbac110…
04-10 15:50:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	349	57¢	$199	0x3e6e35…
04-07 06:00:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xe26b15…
03-29 15:41:40	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	377	47¢	$177	0x722cf8…
03-27 03:34:59	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xc85eef…
03-23 04:35:09	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	53¢	$25	0xffb0a7…
03-23 04:16:09	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	53¢	$56	0xfc4ebb…
03-22 18:18:07	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	Yes	BUY	118	33¢	$39	0x24d7ea…
03-22 17:58:23	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf73eca…
03-22 17:58:19	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	53¢	$61	0x2258b4…
03-22 14:16:07	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	Yes	BUY	164	33¢	$54	0xcfd61e…
03-22 03:49:33	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	273	44¢	$120	0xadca03…
03-22 00:35:25	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x51e7c9…
03-21 21:35:53	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	48¢	$72	0x557372…
03-21 19:52:07	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	34¢	$53	0x335c0e…
03-21 19:50:31	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0x0195c9…
03-21 19:49:21	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x7c1d39…
03-21 15:17:55	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe49bee…
03-21 06:10:07	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x651861…
03-21 05:25:15	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xfaa592…
03-21 05:24:49	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x7bbaa3…
03-21 05:24:49	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x34ebf2…
03-21 05:24:43	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9db662…
03-21 04:49:11	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xf2b2d0…
03-20 21:28:23	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x75ea16…
03-20 19:53:31	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x89d600…
03-20 19:30:53	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	48	38¢	$18	0xf56296…
03-20 19:24:43	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x1a1f2e…
03-20 18:17:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	138	35¢	$48	0x5a57d9…
03-20 18:00:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x434ed6…
03-20 17:58:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x855ac7…
03-20 17:53:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	313	36¢	$113	0x8bdfc9…
03-20 17:49:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	148	35¢	$52	0x40d4b0…
03-20 17:25:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	492	59¢	$290	0x4fa2f8…