Realized P&L
-$261
Unrealized P&L
+$725
Hit rate
71.0%
Resolved
12
Trades
2,010
lifetime
Volume
$192.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$2.72K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-20 20:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
57% 57% $-46
Other
36% 67% $-98
Tech
4%
Crypto
2%
Sports
1% 0% $-117
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4,037 $775 46¢ $1.9K +$1,102 06-29 02:00
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -271 $-230 91¢ $-246 $-16 06-16 09:19
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +625 $387 38¢ $241 $-146 07-10 10:07
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +236 $179 70¢ $166 $-13 07-19 13:38
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $330 12¢ $120 $-210 07-07 18:19
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +100 $52 64¢ $64 +$12 06-24 02:17
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +66 $11 $5 $-5 06-26 04:34