Realized P&L
-$261
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
71.0%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,925
lifetime
Volume
$184.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$3.15K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 15:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
59% 57% $-46
Other
34% 67% $-98
Tech
4%
Crypto
3%
Sports
1% 0% $-117
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4,037 $775 18¢ $706 $-68 06-29 02:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,000 $530 66¢ $660 +$130 06-23 13:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +613 $608 100¢ $610 +$2 06-28 16:13
AWS service disrupted by June 30? No +260 $233 97¢ $252 +$19 06-24 02:26
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -271 $-230 89¢ $-240 $-11 06-16 09:19
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +265 $177 69¢ $183 +$6 06-29 05:24
VEO 4 released by June 30, 2026? No +211 $208 63¢ $134 $-74 06-30 13:29
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? No +100 $97 100¢ $100 +$3 06-22 02:00
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30? No +59 $57 99¢ $59 +$1 06-22 12:55
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +100 $52 49¢ $49 $-3 06-24 02:17
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 06-24 17:29
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No +40 $37 99¢ $40 +$3 06-22 14:56
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +357 $67 10¢ $35 $-32 06-26 04:36
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 06-23 15:26
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? No +12 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 06-22 02:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,827 $-75 $-8 +$67 06-25 13:07
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +66 $11 $3 $-7 06-26 04:34
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? Yes -328 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-17 21:47
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +81 $37 $0 $-36 06-22 12:43