Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
37.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
534
lifetime
Volume
$1.64K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$50
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-09
last 06-12 05:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Sports
37% 33% $-5
Politics
30% 100% +$0
Other
25%
Crypto
5%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +42 $12 24¢ $10 $-2 06-11 17:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +12 $7 62¢ $8 +$0 06-03 04:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +22 $10 34¢ $7 $-3 06-03 07:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +29 $7 25¢ $7 $-0 06-11 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +8 $3 80¢ $6 +$3 06-12 01:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +10 $5 56¢ $6 +$1 05-29 14:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $3 56¢ $3 $-0 06-11 17:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 03:44
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +6 $1 17¢ $1 $-0 06-12 01:55
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-01 12:31
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +10 $1 $1 $-0 06-12 01:54