Realized P&L
+$10.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.68K
Hit rate
79.0%
Resolved
1,117
Trades
4,706
lifetime
Volume
$255.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$5.14K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 16:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 248 days
Categories
Politics
58% 68% +$4,281
Other
32% 59% +$4,872
Sports
5% 44% +$146
Crypto
4% 61% +$1,227
Tech
1% 65% -$30
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +14,509 $1,535 10¢ $1.5K -$48 10-22 16:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,001 $1,741 36¢ $1.1K -$665 10-08 19:31
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +664 $372 82¢ $544 +$173 10-27 15:37
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? Yes +372 $347 92¢ $344 -$3 10-28 17:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $135 46¢ $232 +$97 10-27 06:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $365 22¢ $225 -$140 10-03 20:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +1,500 $265 15¢ $218 -$47 10-04 17:29
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +287 $251 73¢ $210 -$41 10-25 10:20
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +185 $228 63¢ $116 -$112 10-27 16:39
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +149 $108 74¢ $110 +$1 10-27 15:32
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +127 $105 78¢ $98 -$7 10-14 12:15
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +100 $78 82¢ $82 +$4 10-13 20:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +470 $210 16¢ $75 -$135 10-23 19:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $70 70¢ $70 $0 10-13 15:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $64 68¢ $68 +$4 10-13 15:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,300 $529 2¢ $46 -$483 10-08 19:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +70 $41 60¢ $42 +$1 10-23 11:42
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +56 $40 72¢ $40 $0 10-13 21:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +84 $27 34¢ $29 +$2 10-27 15:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +500 $58 3¢ $14 -$43 10-19 22:10
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +365 $90 2¢ $6 -$84 10-24 13:37
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? Yes +200 $10 1¢ $2 -$8 10-12 22:31
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +117 $59 1¢ $2 -$57 10-10 14:26
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-16 19:18
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +0 $92 7¢ $0 -$92 08-01 03:56