Sociable-Pendulum 0xdec2a6…27b015
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.27K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.56K
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved (30d)
100
Trades (30d)
474
4,729 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$24.1K
$256.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$4.94K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 248 days
Categories
Politics
58% 68% +$4,281
Other
32% 59% +$4,872
Sports
5% 44% +$146
Crypto
4% 61% +$1,227
Tech
1% 65% -$30
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +14,509 $1,535 10¢ $1.4K -$157 10-22 16:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,001 $1,741 40¢ $1.2K -$526 10-08 19:31
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +664 $372 48¢ $319 -$53 10-27 15:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $365 29¢ $285 -$80 10-03 20:23
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +287 $251 84¢ $243 -$8 10-25 10:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +1,500 $265 15¢ $218 -$47 10-04 17:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $135 40¢ $202 +$67 10-27 06:14
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +149 $108 84¢ $125 +$16 10-27 15:32
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +166 $118 68¢ $113 -$5 10-29 11:30
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +127 $105 84¢ $107 +$2 10-14 12:15
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +118 $91 80¢ $95 +$4 10-29 07:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +470 $210 19¢ $89 -$121 10-23 19:59
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +100 $78 84¢ $84 +$6 10-13 20:49
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $70 77¢ $77 +$7 10-13 15:00
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +120 $80 60¢ $73 -$8 10-29 02:52
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $64 70¢ $70 +$6 10-13 15:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,300 $529 3¢ $69 -$460 10-08 19:13
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +130 $60 45¢ $58 -$1 10-29 08:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +70 $41 62¢ $43 +$2 10-23 11:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +84 $27 38¢ $32 +$5 10-27 15:31
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +100 $28 26¢ $26 -$2 10-29 07:21
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +500 $58 2¢ $12 -$46 10-19 22:10
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +110 $4 3¢ $3 -$1 10-28 23:01
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +117 $59 2¢ $2 -$57 10-10 14:26
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? Yes +200 $10 1¢ $2 -$8 10-12 22:31
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-16 19:18
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +0 $92 6¢ $0 -$92 08-01 03:56