Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.69K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.35K
Hit rate
68.4%
Resolved (90d)
201
Trades (90d)
1,065
4,687 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$55.7K
$253.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$5.19K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 16:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 250 days
Categories
Politics
58% 68% +$4,281
Other
32% 59% +$4,965
Sports
5% 44% +$146
Crypto
4% 61% +$1,227
Tech
1% 65% -$30
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +14,509 $1,535 11¢ $1.6K +$104 10-22 16:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,001 $1,741 42¢ $1.3K -$485 10-08 19:31
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +664 $372 51¢ $339 -$33 10-27 15:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $365 32¢ $325 -$40 10-03 20:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $135 44¢ $217 +$82 10-27 06:14
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +287 $251 68¢ $195 -$56 10-25 10:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +1,500 $265 12¢ $188 -$78 10-04 17:29
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +166 $118 76¢ $125 +$7 10-29 11:30
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +149 $108 68¢ $102 -$6 10-27 15:32
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +118 $91 80¢ $95 +$4 10-29 07:50
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +127 $105 73¢ $93 -$13 10-14 12:15
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +100 $78 86¢ $86 +$8 10-13 20:49
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +120 $80 67¢ $80 +$0 10-29 02:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +470 $210 16¢ $73 -$137 10-23 19:59
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +266 $97 27¢ $72 -$25 10-31 12:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $64 72¢ $72 +$8 10-13 15:59
76ers vs. Hornets 76ers +120 $65 54¢ $64 -$1 10-31 16:50
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +130 $60 44¢ $58 -$2 10-29 08:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,300 $529 2¢ $46 -$483 10-08 19:13
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +84 $27 32¢ $27 +$0 10-27 15:31
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +100 $28 26¢ $26 -$2 10-29 07:21
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +500 $58 2¢ $12 -$45 10-19 22:10
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +117 $59 1¢ $2 -$57 10-10 14:26
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? Yes +200 $10 1¢ $2 -$8 10-12 22:31
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +0 $92 6¢ $0 -$92 08-01 03:56