Realized P&L
+$10.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.33K
Hit rate
79.0%
Resolved
1,118
Trades
4,729
lifetime
Volume
$256.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$5.16K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 249 days
Categories
Politics
58% 68% +$4,281
Other
32% 59% +$4,978
Sports
5% 44% +$146
Crypto
4% 61% +$1,227
Tech
1% 65% -$30
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +14,509 $1,535 11¢ $1.6K +$61 10-22 16:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,001 $1,741 43¢ $1.3K -$437 10-08 19:31
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +664 $372 52¢ $342 -$30 10-27 15:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $365 32¢ $315 -$50 10-03 20:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $135 43¢ $215 +$80 10-27 06:14
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +287 $251 66¢ $191 -$60 10-25 10:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +1,500 $265 12¢ $172 -$92 10-04 17:29
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +166 $118 68¢ $112 -$6 10-29 11:30
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +127 $105 80¢ $102 -$4 10-14 12:15
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +118 $91 85¢ $100 +$9 10-29 07:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +149 $108 66¢ $99 -$9 10-27 15:32
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +100 $78 82¢ $82 +$4 10-13 20:49
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +120 $80 65¢ $78 -$2 10-29 02:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +470 $210 16¢ $78 -$133 10-23 19:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $70 74¢ $74 +$4 10-13 15:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $64 72¢ $72 +$8 10-13 15:59
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +130 $60 44¢ $58 -$2 10-29 08:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,300 $529 2¢ $58 -$472 10-08 19:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +70 $41 64¢ $45 +$5 10-23 11:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +84 $27 36¢ $30 +$3 10-27 15:31
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +100 $28 28¢ $28 $0 10-29 07:21
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +500 $58 2¢ $9 -$48 10-19 22:10
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? Yes +200 $10 1¢ $2 -$8 10-12 22:31
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +117 $59 1¢ $2 -$57 10-10 14:26
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-16 19:18
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +0 $92 6¢ $0 -$92 08-01 03:56