Realized P&L (7d)
-$40
Unrealized P&L
-$1.32K
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved (7d)
23
Trades (7d)
93
4,721 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$5.56K
$256.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$4.91K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 23:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 248 days
Categories
Politics
58% 68% +$4,281
Other
32% 59% +$4,872
Sports
5% 44% +$146
Crypto
4% 61% +$1,227
Tech
1% 65% -$30
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +14,509 $1,535 10¢ $1.5K -$48 10-22 16:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,001 $1,741 40¢ $1.2K -$529 10-08 19:31
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +664 $372 76¢ $501 +$130 10-27 15:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $365 28¢ $275 -$90 10-03 20:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $135 46¢ $227 +$92 10-27 06:14
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +287 $251 74¢ $211 -$40 10-25 10:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +1,500 $265 14¢ $202 -$62 10-04 17:29
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +149 $108 74¢ $110 +$1 10-27 15:32
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +127 $105 83¢ $105 $0 10-14 12:15
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +100 $78 84¢ $84 +$6 10-13 20:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +470 $210 17¢ $80 -$130 10-23 19:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $70 70¢ $70 +$0 10-13 15:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $64 68¢ $68 +$4 10-13 15:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,300 $529 2¢ $58 -$472 10-08 19:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +70 $41 62¢ $43 +$2 10-23 11:42
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +60 $40 68¢ $40 +$0 10-28 23:09
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +56 $40 72¢ $40 $0 10-13 21:34
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +50 $38 78¢ $39 +$0 10-28 22:31
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +84 $27 38¢ $32 +$5 10-27 15:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +500 $58 4¢ $19 -$39 10-19 22:10
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +117 $59 2¢ $2 -$57 10-10 14:26
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? Yes +200 $10 1¢ $2 -$8 10-12 22:31
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-16 19:18
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +0 $92 6¢ $0 -$92 08-01 03:56