Ringed-Fertilizer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$297

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 07-26 18:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

61% 50% $-297

Other

24% — —

Tech

12% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	9	$492	497	497	+0	open	—	05-31 09:48
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	3	$447	276	276	+0	open	—	06-30 07:22
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$300	638	0	+638	Yes	$-300	04-25 22:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$292	242	242	+0	open	—	05-24 07:20
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$255	167	167	+0	open	—	05-25 19:48
israel closes its airspace by august 15	3	$240	335	0	+335	open	—	07-26 18:34
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	2	$225	134	134	+0	open	—	06-26 09:36
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	1	$200	294	0	+294	open	—	07-25 09:45
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	2	$181	107	107	+0	open	—	07-25 19:07
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	2	$174	146	146	+0	open	—	06-17 04:03
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	2	$152	88	175	-88	open	—	06-09 13:09
US recession by end of 2026?	1	$108	0	132	-132	open	—	06-09 13:09
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$100	113	0	+113	open	—	05-24 07:47
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	04-26 09:34
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$100	154	0	+154	open	—	07-26 18:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	05-18 19:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	04-25 23:10
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	2	$91	201	201	+0	open	—	07-20 05:13
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	1	$63	0	196	-196	open	—	07-26 18:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	1	$51	0	66	-66	open	—	06-09 13:09
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$45	71	0	+71	open	—	07-19 21:31
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$38	48	48	+0	open	—	07-06 21:07
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	2	$35	326	0	+326	open	—	07-01 03:58
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$25	71	0	+71	open	—	07-17 19:52
mlb sd mia 2026 07 25	1	$25	42	0	+42	open	—	07-25 21:27
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	1	$21	0	24	-24	open	—	06-26 09:39
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	04-28 16:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$15	18	0	+18	No	+$3	05-05 17:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-26 16:12
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	05-18 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 18:50:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xe94265…
07-26 18:34:48	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x832149…
07-26 18:23:58	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	SELL	196	32¢	$63	0xcff56e…
07-25 21:27:22	mlb sd mia 2026 07 25	San Diego Padres	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xae7d54…
07-25 19:07:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xf658c2…
07-25 09:45:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0xdfa587…
07-22 16:48:06	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x70797b…
07-20 05:16:49	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x8dbdbe…
07-20 05:13:54	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	201	21¢	$41	0xed8ed2…
07-19 21:31:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x510016…
07-19 21:06:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x9fb0a3…
07-17 19:52:58	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x6c2322…
07-06 21:07:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	48	47¢	$23	0x384d7d…
07-05 08:35:59	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	201	25¢	$50	0xe1ea6b…
07-04 16:21:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x449486…
07-01 03:58:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0x192b8a…
06-30 07:22:34	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	276	90¢	$247	0xe03edf…
06-26 09:39:01	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	No	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0xd09c8e…
06-26 09:36:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	134	93¢	$125	0xd9d848…
06-22 16:02:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0x7071d4…
06-22 15:50:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xe027e7…
06-22 15:48:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0xaa2770…
06-22 15:43:14	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xff2324…
06-17 04:03:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	146	72¢	$104	0x734b5d…
06-14 16:32:57	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	No	BUY	146	48¢	$70	0x9802e8…
06-09 13:09:36	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	66	78¢	$51	0xeefc49…
06-09 13:09:24	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	175	58¢	$102	0x33c83c…
06-09 13:09:18	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	132	82¢	$108	0x4a3615…
06-09 13:07:51	atp zhang brooksb 2026 06 08	Zhizhen Zhang	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x62c8ed…
06-08 19:30:15	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x0d4edc…
06-07 21:09:54	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xc67c0c…
05-31 09:48:52	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x237a59…
05-28 06:30:48	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	87	8¢	$7	0xcd071d…
05-26 19:36:53	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x851044…
05-25 20:17:48	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe9c11e…
05-25 20:16:17	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0xd9a24e…
05-25 19:56:21	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	213	53¢	$113	0x0c7d4d…
05-25 19:51:52	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	172	48¢	$82	0xd0cc89…
05-25 19:48:59	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x3facda…
05-25 19:48:34	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	167	93¢	$155	0x8578f0…
05-24 07:47:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x873303…
05-24 07:47:09	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x3dc2d8…
05-24 07:20:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	242	75¢	$182	0x9fd5b4…
05-18 19:10:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x1b1a7e…
05-18 17:40:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xca128b…
05-18 15:13:44	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x96e6b3…
05-18 15:08:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x91c5b6…
05-05 17:30:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xc13bd5…
05-04 21:27:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x74eb17…
04-28 16:39:16	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x17c0a5…
04-26 16:12:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaa1b3a…
04-26 09:34:22	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xe79945…
04-25 23:10:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3d0d85…
04-25 22:52:50	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	638	47¢	$300	0x3fbf89…