Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
360
lifetime
Volume
$5.81K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$243
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 07-09 16:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Politics
35% 0% $-10
Tech
9%
Crypto
6%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +44 $40 94¢ $41 +$1 06-07 10:18
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +36 $30 80¢ $28 $-2 06-08 15:59
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 06-07 16:22
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 06-02 08:48
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? No +22 $20 91¢ $20 $-0 07-04 18:00
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 05-31 16:16
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-01 10:21
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 07-04 17:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 07-04 17:44
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 07-09 16:50
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 $-0 07-04 18:02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +15 $10 66¢ $10 $-0 07-04 17:50
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? Yes +11 $10 81¢ $9 $-1 07-09 16:46
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +14 $10 66¢ $9 $-1 06-08 15:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +11 $10 78¢ $8 $-2 07-05 15:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +12 $10 52¢ $6 $-4 07-04 17:31
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 06-08 09:37
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +14 $10 18¢ $2 $-8 06-01 09:50