Realized P&L
-$93
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
85.3%
Resolved
206
Trades
526
lifetime
Volume
$7.64K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$462
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 07-17 12:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Other
47% 86% -$27
Politics
33% 88% -$159
Tech
12% 95% +$48
Crypto
6% 86% +$37
Sports
1% 69% +$7
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +44 $40 96¢ $42 +$2 06-07 10:18
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +42 $39 98¢ $41 +$2 06-07 16:22
Trump out as President before 2027? No +32 $29 96¢ $31 +$2 06-01 10:21
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +36 $30 78¢ $28 -$2 06-08 15:59
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +31 $20 87¢ $27 +$7 05-02 15:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +25 $16 86¢ $21 +$5 05-16 15:46
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +21 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 06-02 08:48
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +22 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 05-20 16:13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +20 $10 72¢ $15 +$5 05-01 16:58
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? No +15 $12 96¢ $14 +$3 05-16 15:28
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +20 $10 62¢ $12 +$2 06-08 15:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +13 $10 94¢ $12 +$2 05-18 07:25
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 97¢ $12 +$2 05-15 05:24
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +13 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 05-12 09:39
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +15 $10 74¢ $11 +$1 07-04 17:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 05-01 16:29
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +14 $10 78¢ $11 +$1 06-08 15:09
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195 No +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 07-04 17:46
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 06-01 12:49
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 07-04 18:02
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 07-09 16:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 07-04 17:44
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 07-04 17:47
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-16 13:51
Russia coup attempt in 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 05-16 16:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 05-16 13:45
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 05-20 11:28
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +10 $6 81¢ $8 +$2 05-16 13:43
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +7 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 06-08 09:37
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +12 $10 53¢ $6 -$4 06-08 09:15