Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
341
lifetime
Volume
$5.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$253
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 07-03 14:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Politics
34% 0% $-10
Tech
9%
Crypto
6%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +77 $70 100¢ $76 +$6 06-23 14:34
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +44 $40 94¢ $41 +$1 06-07 10:18
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +36 $30 83¢ $30 $-0 06-08 15:59
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +21 $20 95¢ $20 +$0 06-02 08:48
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 95¢ $20 +$0 06-07 16:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -18 $-12 100¢ $-18 $-7 06-13 12:05
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +14 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 06-08 15:09
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 05-31 16:16
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-01 10:21
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +7 $6 87¢ $6 $-0 06-08 09:37
Will either Tate brother be arrested by June 30? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-01 13:20
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +14 $10 24¢ $3 $-7 06-01 09:50