Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$49
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
329
lifetime
Volume
$5.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 06-12 06:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Politics
33% 0% $-10
Tech
10%
Crypto
6%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +124 $118 87¢ $107 $-11 06-11 07:49
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +74 $70 97¢ $72 +$2 06-11 07:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +73 $70 97¢ $71 +$1 06-11 16:26
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +71 $70 99¢ $70 +$0 06-07 10:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +66 $60 96¢ $64 +$4 06-08 08:38
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +61 $60 99¢ $60 +$0 06-08 16:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +106 $90 49¢ $52 $-38 06-11 13:48
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +52 $50 98¢ $52 +$2 06-08 06:45
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +44 $40 92¢ $40 +$0 06-07 10:18
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +41 $40 97¢ $40 +$0 06-07 16:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +41 $40 99¢ $40 +$0 06-11 15:34
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? No +40 $40 98¢ $40 $-0 06-07 10:16
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +46 $40 82¢ $38 $-2 06-07 16:22
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +36 $30 86¢ $31 +$1 06-08 15:59
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +31 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 06-06 16:28
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 06-07 16:21
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +31 $30 94¢ $30 $-0 06-05 06:44
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +23 $20 92¢ $21 +$1 06-01 16:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +21 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 06-08 06:44
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 06-05 06:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +21 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 06-11 16:29
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 06-02 08:48
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 $-0 06-07 16:22
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 $-0 06-07 10:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +16 $15 92¢ $15 $-0 06-11 16:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -18 $-12 80¢ $-15 $-3 06-13 12:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +17 $10 66¢ $11 +$1 05-31 10:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -11 $-3 98¢ $-11 $-8 06-11 13:44
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-08 15:25
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-31 16:30