Realized P&L
-$2.77K
Unrealized P&L
-$281
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
4,540
lifetime
Volume
$1.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$338
Open exposure
$30.6K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 07-23 10:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
60% 0% $-17
Politics
34% 0% $-2,756
Crypto
4%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -10,000 $-9,360 95¢ $-9505 $-145 06-19 07:12
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -5,141 $-4,884 96¢ $-4951 $-67 07-18 13:15
Human moon landing in 2026? No -4,834 $-4,684 98¢ $-4725 $-41 06-12 16:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -4,895 $-4,454 92¢ $-4479 $-24 05-28 23:04
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +24,066 $2,647 10¢ $2.3K $-361 07-23 10:14
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -2,000 $-1,926 98¢ $-1967 $-41 06-12 00:40
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No -1,434 $-1,142 85¢ $-1219 $-77 07-20 10:59
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes -7,000 $-599 $-402 +$196 06-27 00:54
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -438 $-518 88¢ $-386 +$132 07-20 10:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +487 $74 52¢ $251 +$177 06-14 21:37
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +1,100 $253 18¢ $192 $-60 07-04 05:09
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -91 $-83 86¢ $-79 +$4 06-28 17:15
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Yes +880 $123 $66 $-57 05-30 15:46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +53 $38 94¢ $50 +$12 06-14 11:52
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes +42 $1 $2 +$0 05-30 09:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No +0 $-70 92¢ $0 +$70 06-04 19:28