Realized P&L
-$2.77K
Unrealized P&L
-$193
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
4,522
lifetime
Volume
$1.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$338
Open exposure
$25.5K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 07-02 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
60% 0% $-17
Politics
34% 0% $-2,756
Crypto
4%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -10,000 $-9,360 95¢ $-9485 $-125 06-19 07:12
Human moon landing in 2026? No -4,834 $-4,684 97¢ $-4696 $-12 06-12 16:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -4,895 $-4,454 88¢ $-4332 +$122 05-28 23:04
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +30,000 $3,300 $2.5K $-750 07-02 07:40
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -2,000 $-1,926 98¢ $-1959 $-33 06-12 00:40
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -810 $-770 94¢ $-766 +$4 06-03 05:37
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +647 $440 76¢ $495 +$55 06-01 07:03
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes -7,000 $-599 $-444 +$154 06-27 00:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +487 $74 82¢ $402 +$328 06-14 21:37
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +518 $119 24¢ $124 +$5 07-02 18:55
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Yes +880 $123 11¢ $97 $-26 05-30 15:46
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -91 $-83 88¢ $-80 +$3 06-28 17:15
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +53 $38 94¢ $50 +$12 06-14 11:52
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes +42 $1 $1 $-0 05-30 09:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No +0 $-70 94¢ $0 +$70 06-04 19:28