Productive-Camera — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.77K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,540

lifetime

Volume

$1.53M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$338

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-23 10:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

60% 0% $-17

Politics

34% 0% $-2,756

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	732	$476.8K	243,911	243,911	+0	open	—	04-16 16:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1,033	$215.6K	246,320	241,981	+4,339	Yes	$-1,563	04-09 21:51
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	271	$193.0K	100,387	100,387	+0	open	—	03-12 01:40
GTA VI released before June 2026?	640	$80.6K	41,158	41,158	+0	open	—	04-18 10:43
trump out as president by march 31	151	$64.9K	32,843	32,843	+0	open	—	03-22 02:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	48	$47.3K	28,387	28,387	+0	open	—	02-18 11:55
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	296	$41.6K	21,891	21,941	-50	Yes	$-17	04-07 03:45
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$41.2K	20,881	20,881	+0	open	—	02-01 23:51
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	199	$28.9K	18,000	24,947	-6,947	open	—	06-27 00:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$24.0K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	$-1,151	05-05 14:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	45	$22.6K	13,473	13,473	+0	open	—	02-28 19:44
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	126	$22.4K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	03-04 14:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	47	$22.1K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	05-05 05:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	32	$18.8K	9,746	9,746	+0	open	—	04-14 18:25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	45	$18.8K	12,658	12,658	+0	open	—	04-09 17:48
will israel nuke iran by january 31	8	$17.9K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	01-18 13:47
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	68	$15.8K	8,575	8,575	+0	open	—	04-13 23:57
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	20	$14.5K	7,401	7,401	+0	open	—	01-22 13:24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	30	$13.7K	7,283	7,283	+0	open	—	04-16 10:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	36	$13.2K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	04-18 22:03
Trump out as President before 2027?	37	$12.5K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	06-04 19:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$12.3K	7,128	7,128	+0	open	—	03-21 02:50
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	5	$11.4K	12,105	0	+12,105	open	—	03-05 13:46
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$9.4K	0	10,000	-10,000	open	—	06-19 07:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	29	$7.9K	5,000	4,513	+487	open	—	06-14 21:37
is earth flat 20260608195956112	20	$6.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	07-01 11:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	46	$6.5K	9,528	9,528	+0	open	—	04-21 17:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	38	$6.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	05-24 03:38
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	2	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-28 10:06
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	18	$4.9K	0	5,141	-5,141	open	—	07-18 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 10:14:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	182	11¢	$20	0xbf10d6…
07-23 04:59:42	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	343	11¢	$38	0xab2548…
07-21 06:52:40	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,409	11¢	$595	0x7ed3a5…
07-20 10:59:51	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,085	88¢	$958	0xfc6e41…
07-20 10:59:15	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,434	80¢	$1,142	0xebb76f…
07-18 13:15:36	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,487	95¢	$2,363	0x698ec2…
07-18 03:12:01	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4984e8…
07-15 13:08:53	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x1993f0…
07-15 05:23:20	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x93874e…
07-14 04:55:25	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x752eaa…
07-13 18:44:13	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	132	95¢	$126	0xebab84…
07-13 09:55:44	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x90c649…
07-11 23:23:56	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x2e409e…
07-11 02:49:17	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	526	95¢	$500	0x16f9b3…
07-09 15:44:56	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x212247…
07-09 14:46:59	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x1ba532…
07-09 13:12:35	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	998	95¢	$948	0x0f1964…
07-04 05:09:08	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	582	23¢	$134	0xa7a911…
07-02 18:55:11	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xd05015…
07-02 17:26:13	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x2e55a6…
07-02 15:10:49	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	59	23¢	$13	0xc2184a…
07-02 09:51:53	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x80f8ba…
07-02 07:40:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,373	11¢	$371	0xecc11d…
07-02 07:36:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,124	11¢	$124	0x8b09ec…
07-02 06:51:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	999	11¢	$110	0x5208ea…
07-02 05:28:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	114	11¢	$13	0x5f5ef3…
07-02 03:59:07	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xa42c3d…
07-02 03:32:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	412	11¢	$45	0xfa6536…
07-02 00:12:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x752d3e…
07-01 21:53:08	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	110	11¢	$12	0x00380f…
07-01 21:39:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,371	11¢	$371	0x5d391e…
07-01 21:12:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xb92b1c…
07-01 20:56:56	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	23¢	$33	0x6ec947…
07-01 20:30:02	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x0b7266…
07-01 19:00:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	108	11¢	$12	0xc18203…
07-01 18:56:28	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xf40997…
07-01 16:41:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	11¢	$6	0xc17e9c…
07-01 15:49:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	838	11¢	$92	0x8fcf95…
07-01 14:44:17	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	11¢	$550	0xde009c…
07-01 13:50:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,618	11¢	$618	0x6b719a…
07-01 11:24:38	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	SELL	2,225	98¢	$2,178	0xe86f0f…
07-01 09:44:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0xf8d04f…
07-01 07:25:44	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	600	11¢	$66	0xcd131e…
07-01 05:41:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x1992b2…
07-01 02:23:58	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x521f10…
06-30 19:41:02	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xc480a7…
06-30 15:46:17	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x81e1a3…
06-30 13:02:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xfe359a…
06-30 12:56:58	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$979	0x413ff8…
06-30 08:02:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x8abbc6…
06-30 07:59:04	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	SELL	275	98¢	$270	0x6a9342…
06-30 06:46:35	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	350	11¢	$38	0x741b4b…
06-30 05:47:35	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	23¢	$13	0x066447…
06-30 05:41:50	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	11¢	$550	0xe4c568…
06-30 05:40:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,717	11¢	$189	0x1abbec…
06-29 21:07:25	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	23¢	$12	0xa98134…
06-29 21:05:44	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	23¢	$12	0xe39c1c…
06-29 19:41:50	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0xfe5a40…
06-29 14:06:01	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xfb2a95…
06-29 12:21:41	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xd96db4…
06-28 17:15:58	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	91	91¢	$83	0x29f743…
06-28 02:43:56	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa5586a…
06-27 14:26:04	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xe0ff63…
06-27 10:31:55	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x9a29e8…
06-27 00:54:10	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	8¢	$231	0x9efb8a…
06-26 14:02:52	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x5a42d9…
06-25 19:20:10	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x63a4cf…
06-25 13:00:26	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0x602d8d…
06-24 17:35:50	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x47bbc7…
06-24 15:40:07	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	23¢	$8	0xa486df…
06-19 07:12:44	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	10,000	94¢	$9,360	0xe2a47a…
06-14 21:37:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	128	87¢	$111	0x5c4893…
06-14 21:37:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$43	0xd7d5cc…
06-14 21:35:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x60cf76…
06-14 21:30:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	140	87¢	$122	0x869b2d…
06-14 21:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	36	87¢	$31	0x50a829…
06-14 21:27:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	87¢	$27	0xd271f7…
06-14 21:23:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	85	87¢	$74	0xa09880…
06-14 11:52:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	3,463	93¢	$3,214	0xc437c3…
06-13 23:28:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xbf2f5f…
06-13 23:27:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x48d377…
06-13 23:22:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x491def…
06-13 23:21:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	28	87¢	$24	0xc94f85…
06-13 23:07:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	119	87¢	$104	0x3baba6…
06-13 22:49:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xa852b2…
06-13 21:27:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	87	87¢	$76	0x4e4ded…
06-13 20:57:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	87¢	$23	0xde7d84…
06-13 20:57:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0x001b09…
06-13 20:46:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0xfca912…
06-13 20:41:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,724	87¢	$1,500	0xb6ca37…
06-13 19:43:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	61	87¢	$53	0xe100b8…
06-13 19:43:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xd12fa1…
06-13 17:32:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	180	87¢	$157	0x082100…
06-13 17:19:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,532	87¢	$1,333	0x43bbea…
06-12 16:34:54	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	794	97¢	$770	0x8c8037…
06-12 15:09:16	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0x85925a…
06-12 00:40:43	Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	SELL	778	96¢	$749	0xb5457a…
06-11 23:28:01	Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xfe85fc…
06-11 10:18:34	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,000	6¢	$120	0xdc7c63…
06-11 10:18:22	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Something	SELL	897	10¢	$90	0x2fabf9…