Realized P&L
+$299
Unrealized P&L
-$282
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved
2,324
Trades
5,899
lifetime
Volume
$37.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$321
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 20:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 48% -$430
Politics
30% 55% +$749
Other
10% 64% +$49
Sports
2% 50% -$74
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +4,671 $334 3¢ $124 -$210 11-02 20:55
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -100 -$96 99¢ $-98 -$2 04-30 07:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? Yes +490 $136 17¢ $83 -$53 11-02 20:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -35 -$12 19¢ $-7 +$5 10-27 08:36
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +40 $6 8¢ $3 -$3 06-06 20:46
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +30 $4 9¢ $3 -$1 07-14 11:17
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +51 $8 1¢ $1 -$7 07-18 19:50
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +333 $3 0¢ $0 -$2 06-25 18:22
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes — +333 $1 0¢ $0 $0 07-02 06:10
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-02 06:09
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-02 06:09
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +8 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 07-01 07:19
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +13 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-23 15:09
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +126 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-07 13:02
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +3 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-01 12:40
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +3 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-16 11:00