Realized P&L
+$35
Unrealized P&L
+$153
Hit rate
81.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
10,405
lifetime
Volume
$97.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$4.89K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-10 06:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
54% 100% +$104
Other
23%
Sports
23% 0% $-69
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 399 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -3,256 $-2,247 64¢ $-2067 +$179 06-08 11:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1,137 $-864 84¢ $-949 $-85 06-09 15:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -2,606 $-880 32¢ $-847 +$33 06-09 13:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +1,800 $398 24¢ $423 +$25 06-06 20:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -308 $-197 62¢ $-193 +$5 06-07 12:37
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +1,000 $150 17¢ $170 +$20 06-05 09:45
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +500 $120 25¢ $125 +$5 06-07 19:19
Epstein client list released by June 30? Yes -2,192 $-82 $-58 +$24 06-09 15:11
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +500 $95 $32 $-62 06-06 23:48
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +1,297 $14 $24 +$10 06-07 12:59