Realized P&L
+$41.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.97K
Hit rate
64.0%
Resolved
542
Trades
16,529
lifetime
Volume
$331.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$3.67K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-30 04:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Politics
41% 51% +$13,951
Sports
33% 25% +$12,868
Other
26% 23% +$14,564
Tech
0% 12% -$255
Crypto
0% 73% +$51
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +4,378 $837 20¢ $854 +$16 10-26 13:40
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +6,185 $1,381 12¢ $711 -$670 10-20 14:26
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +192,745 $578 0¢ $675 +$96 10-26 04:27
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +92,512 $695 1¢ $601 -$94 10-22 06:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +8,305 $754 2¢ $208 -$546 10-26 13:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? Yes +2,000 $100 8¢ $150 +$50 10-29 17:33
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes +9,353 $1,041 1¢ $126 -$915 10-25 17:13
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31 Yes +7,115 $919 1¢ $103 -$816 10-26 12:36
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? Yes +995 $52 6¢ $57 +$5 10-28 09:20
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +2,125 $168 2¢ $52 -$116 10-16 13:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? Yes +51,325 $57 0¢ $51 -$6 10-30 04:50
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +4,423 $27 1¢ $35 +$9 10-14 04:23
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +693 $160 4¢ $31 -$129 07-31 03:10
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +47 $10 24¢ $11 +$1 10-15 17:24
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes -335 -$9 0¢ $-1 +$8 06-25 06:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -3 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$1 05-12 06:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$1 05-02 23:58
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 -$132 3¢ $0 +$132 09-12 21:47