Different-Flugelhorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

328

Trades

883

lifetime

Volume

$1.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 09-30 08:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

73% 56% -$68

Politics

16% 48% -$13

Sports

9% 46% +$1

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$49	203	203	+0	No	-$49	05-30 18:18
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	10	$42	45	45	+0	open	—	09-30 08:49
CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5	4	$26	17	17	+0	Over	+$3	04-29 22:38
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?	5	$25	15	15	+0	No	+$2	04-30 19:05
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders	7	$24	14	13	+1	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$2	04-26 18:33
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	5	$24	28	28	+0	open	—	09-30 08:48
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	6	$23	29	29	+0	No	-$1	06-03 03:45
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	5	$22	34	9	+25	Yes	+$9	05-08 18:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	09-30 08:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$20	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-07 21:21
MLP Academics Heidelberg vs. Mitteldeutscher BC	2	$19	19	19	+0	MLP Academics Heidelberg	-$2	05-04 19:40
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik	8	$19	24	24	+0	Jakub Mensik	-$1	04-27 20:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$19	16	16	+0	open	—	07-01 22:55
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-30?	5	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	04-30 23:17
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	7	$17	155	13	+142	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$7	04-28 05:07
FC Bayern Munchen vs. SC RASTA Vechta	3	$17	12	12	+0	FC Bayern Munchen	-$1	05-03 16:09
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	7	$17	14	14	+0	Yes	+$7	05-15 10:41
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions	4	$17	33	33	+0	Guangdong Southern Tigers	-$4	05-03 13:12
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$16	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	09-30 08:48
Strasbourg vs. Monaco	4	$16	37	7	+30	Monaco	+$2	05-03 18:37
Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5	4	$16	10	10	+0	Over	+$5	04-26 18:49
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknech	6	$15	16	16	+0	Vit Kopriva	$0	04-26 18:45
Utsunomiya Brex vs. Ryukyu Golden Kings	2	$15	12	12	+0	Ryukyu Golden Kings	+$5	05-03 07:42
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	3	$14	19	8	+12	cancelled	$0	07-01 22:53
Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls	5	$14	33	33	+0	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	-$5	05-02 13:32
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-29?	5	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$3	04-30 00:22
Will SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	5	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	04-27 20:37
Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	6	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	06-10 22:16
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	2	$13	91	91	+0	No	-$7	06-11 19:28
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$12	13	13	+0	No	-$4	05-20 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 08:49:53	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xcdd942…
09-30 08:49:48	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x7af726…
09-30 08:49:41	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x2093ab…
09-30 08:49:36	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xf9ac47…
09-30 08:49:30	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xde0ff0…
09-30 08:49:26	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xda4269…
09-30 08:49:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x886efa…
09-30 08:49:12	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x208d57…
09-30 08:49:02	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x9b1f5b…
09-30 08:48:56	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x832195…
09-30 08:48:39	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0x2c430f…
09-30 08:48:30	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xb3ad93…
09-30 08:48:26	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xe4db08…
09-30 08:48:20	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x03e108…
09-30 08:48:15	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x851a7c…
09-30 08:48:08	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xf5b423…
09-30 08:48:05	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xba72c8…
09-30 08:47:57	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$5	0x986fac…
09-30 08:47:53	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xd80b80…
09-30 08:47:47	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0x93e27e…
09-30 08:47:39	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x8b2301…
09-30 08:46:59	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	22	34¢	$7	0x56ba82…
09-30 08:46:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xfdcc9b…
07-22 20:30:07	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x29bca3…
07-22 19:00:45	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x59d0b6…
07-22 16:48:52	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0xe156b1…
07-21 02:08:31	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x3e197f…
07-20 01:51:24	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd0a9d1…
07-19 22:46:25	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$0	0x4207a6…
07-19 00:06:45	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x862c3a…
07-18 00:08:09	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x59a1bd…
07-16 03:42:19	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xcb5037…
07-13 20:41:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x7dd07d…
07-12 22:53:52	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x2e2087…
07-12 21:30:28	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x7ee14f…
07-10 20:57:20	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x96ce01…
07-09 11:57:10	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x4b5ea5…
07-09 02:16:41	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xe9df79…
07-08 15:25:53	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x41fb98…
07-08 10:11:44	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x42e3b3…
07-07 20:38:29	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x833d8e…
07-07 11:00:20	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe788d9…
07-07 02:22:38	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x66683d…
07-07 02:21:47	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x2283c1…
07-07 00:51:37	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x75bc25…
07-06 19:57:38	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x0189a8…
07-06 19:56:44	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x8c30f9…
07-03 22:31:35	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x1804ff…
07-03 22:00:47	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x3eaca4…
07-03 09:56:01	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x14bbe7…
07-02 00:49:28	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xb1492d…
07-01 22:58:25	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd5b080…
07-01 22:57:46	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5f2d5d…
07-01 22:55:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xe90afd…
07-01 22:54:14	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xe54926…
07-01 22:53:47	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x246f51…
06-29 19:41:38	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x689b33…
06-17 18:13:19	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x94beb7…
06-17 17:09:05	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x5279e6…
06-15 08:58:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4b5660…
06-14 18:31:40	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x289b78…
06-14 17:42:03	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x879fba…
06-11 19:28:06	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	91	3¢	$3	0xc9e3c5…
06-11 16:42:07	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x4068bb…
06-10 22:16:04	Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xcc0e88…
06-10 06:35:52	Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x0b8497…
06-10 01:34:01	Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x63192c…
06-10 01:28:21	Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe47b6d…
06-06 05:35:31	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xbb12c8…
06-04 19:07:27	Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xd34df0…
06-03 15:38:27	Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xa5a84c…
06-03 04:12:04	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xdd95e7…
06-03 03:45:53	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x701922…
06-01 01:41:01	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x0fc36c…
05-30 18:18:53	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	203	0¢	$0	0x7ecb4c…
05-30 16:19:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	203	24¢	$49	0xe3c8fe…
05-28 17:17:54	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x6a523f…
05-28 13:57:07	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfaeffe…
05-27 22:57:26	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x712158…
05-27 22:18:41	Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa1a571…
05-26 14:37:37	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xd52f0e…
05-26 09:05:52	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x27fa7e…
05-24 16:12:29	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xe2df50…
05-22 19:05:28	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xe84317…
05-22 15:32:21	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x79749f…
05-22 14:54:40	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x1a62f9…
05-21 17:55:27	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x603167…
05-21 14:24:05	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xd3041e…
05-21 09:09:10	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x83df4c…
05-21 09:05:44	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xe67814…
05-20 17:54:23	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x1c0a8e…
05-20 16:39:59	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa8f2a5…
05-20 14:30:22	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x6dd2e7…
05-19 16:37:31	Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xa797df…
05-19 16:02:45	Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x585083…
05-19 14:31:38	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xb2160e…
05-19 14:31:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xaff2e7…
05-16 21:22:08	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xfe2fc0…
05-15 10:41:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x08ff3c…
05-14 03:30:59	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xcc68ef…