Dark-Thunderstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$108

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-06 05:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

48% 73% +$2

Politics

29% 82% +$6

Crypto

20% 88% +$2

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+113	$110	96¢	$108	-$1	10-06 05:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	8	$301	201	110	+91	No	+$3	02-24 16:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	3	$285	206	93	+113	open	—	10-06 05:28
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	5	$255	135	135	+0	Yes	+$1	08-17 20:45
Trump out as President by September 30?	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	+$0	09-23 00:48
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$219	111	111	+0	open	—	07-11 02:51
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$219	162	162	+0	No	+$0	07-09 02:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$218	110	110	+0	No	+$0	07-14 00:25
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$216	110	110	+0	No	+$0	07-08 07:48
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	3	$215	109	109	+0	No	+$1	04-18 05:58
will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	5	$214	108	108	+0	No	+$0	03-25 12:46
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$213	107	107	+0	No	+$0	03-15 14:24
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$212	109	109	+0	No	$0	02-12 13:59
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$212	107	107	+0	No	+$0	02-12 10:58
will trump talk to pope leo xiv in january	2	$212	107	107	+0	No	-$1	01-29 07:44
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$212	106	106	+0	No	+$0	02-12 04:25
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	5	$211	110	110	+0	No	+$3	06-06 10:45
Netanyahu out by April 30?	5	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$1	04-06 11:52
will warsh be out as fed chair by december 31 2026 20260723173503767	3	$183	95	95	+0	open	—	08-17 11:29
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$137	69	69	+0	No	+$1	06-28 07:44
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	2	$120	61	61	+0	No	$0	01-22 11:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	09-23 02:51
will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	2	$109	110	0	+110	No	+$0	08-20 14:30
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$108	108	0	+108	No	+$1	04-18 10:34
will ethereum dip to 2000 in january 2026 647	1	$105	106	0	+106	No	+$0	01-29 08:13
will gta 6 cost 100	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	01-13 07:30
will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	2	$99	51	51	+0	No	+$1	01-13 03:50
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	2	$99	54	54	+0	open	—	06-06 05:24
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	01-07 12:36
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$92	93	0	+93	No	+$1	03-25 13:36
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	2	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 05:28:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	113	98¢	$110	0x1a08ae…
09-23 02:51:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe7c878…
09-23 00:48:50	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x1ca7b1…
09-16 23:32:03	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x0280f4…
08-20 14:30:22	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xad8137…
08-20 14:29:09	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xa69f3b…
08-19 07:54:40	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x280e4e…
08-17 20:45:48	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xe52198…
08-17 11:29:18	will warsh be out as fed chair by december 31 2026 20260723173503767	No	SELL	65	96¢	$63	0xb7a312…
08-14 02:49:43	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x56cc75…
08-12 12:30:57	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xe3088f…
08-12 01:55:28	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	No	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x55eec9…
08-12 01:29:42	will warsh be out as fed chair by december 31 2026 20260723173503767	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x480f26…
08-04 04:41:29	will warsh be out as fed chair by december 31 2026 20260723173503767	No	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0x70866b…
08-04 04:40:06	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xb80194…
08-03 16:05:12	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	117	94¢	$110	0x6aef42…
07-23 00:45:22	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x92f670…
07-22 04:32:48	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x2b9e54…
07-14 01:01:59	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	74	94¢	$70	0x19d2f4…
07-14 00:34:25	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x75ef84…
07-14 00:25:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0x80482f…
07-11 02:52:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x0264ad…
07-11 02:51:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	111	98¢	$109	0xfb76ba…
07-09 05:53:14	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0xf65b97…
07-09 02:01:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	162	68¢	$109	0xdaeead…
07-09 01:13:17	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	162	68¢	$109	0xfe219f…
07-08 07:48:13	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0xe8807c…
07-02 01:18:07	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x881745…
07-02 00:44:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	93	94¢	$88	0xc9a76d…
06-28 07:51:43	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	93	94¢	$87	0x99b550…
06-28 07:46:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4af13b…
06-28 07:44:55	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x807882…
06-28 06:15:49	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x5c0724…
06-25 02:47:31	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x91ce86…
06-23 09:54:22	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xa94ab7…
06-06 10:45:15	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x928025…
06-06 09:26:39	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xdff53d…
06-06 05:24:03	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	54	91¢	$49	0x0ff29b…
06-06 05:23:25	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x0fad09…
05-18 15:32:05	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x0f8283…
05-14 00:01:13	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x4adc8e…
05-13 23:51:21	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0xa0ce33…
05-10 21:18:58	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x3fe5a7…
05-03 00:58:58	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	95¢	$75	0x4112d8…
04-18 10:34:06	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$108	0x4063b0…
04-18 05:58:36	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x725e01…
04-06 16:21:21	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0x84bd49…
04-06 16:17:29	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x55e466…
04-06 11:52:29	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdc8d23…
04-06 11:46:15	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xf307d7…
04-06 11:31:09	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1d8049…
04-06 11:08:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xe82d1b…
04-06 11:04:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x61c9d8…
04-06 09:17:47	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xef01b5…
04-01 12:40:09	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc372b4…
03-25 13:36:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xd7b920…
03-25 13:11:25	another us strike on venezuela by march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f1deb…
03-25 13:07:23	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x839119…
03-25 12:46:03	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x5e6046…
03-15 17:47:27	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x4bc597…
03-15 16:49:07	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x140ef1…
03-15 15:50:13	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d8f67…
03-15 15:46:47	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22f721…
03-15 14:24:03	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xffd5fa…
03-04 07:34:43	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x8fb1f3…
02-24 16:25:24	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x109d3c…
02-24 16:16:18	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x381160…
02-24 16:00:42	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbce69d…
02-24 16:00:16	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x963fbc…
02-24 15:50:52	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xc58a5a…
02-24 15:43:40	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x129567…
02-24 15:42:12	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4ef7e1…
02-24 15:41:18	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xeda910…
02-24 15:41:18	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x4cd8e9…
02-24 15:38:32	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x26a110…
02-12 13:59:23	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	109	97¢	$106	0x10c282…
02-12 12:34:05	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	109	97¢	$106	0x4a44c5…
02-12 10:58:23	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0xa5b55f…
02-12 10:57:13	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbdcd64…
02-12 07:10:05	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x900b99…
02-12 04:25:09	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xc1661d…
02-03 02:55:18	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	106	99¢	$106	0x90df7a…
01-29 08:13:56	will ethereum dip to 2000 in january 2026 647	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0xd3b592…
01-29 07:44:14	will trump talk to pope leo xiv in january	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x73cd99…
01-28 23:19:16	will trump talk to pope leo xiv in january	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0xa10d22…
01-22 11:12:26	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0xd2dca9…
01-22 10:19:44	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x48e566…
01-13 07:30:11	will gta 6 cost 100	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x20cf57…
01-13 03:51:05	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1b6686…
01-13 03:50:43	will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x3698b3…
01-07 14:06:05	will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xf7d5a2…
01-07 12:36:05	Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xa57a9a…
01-07 11:03:23	Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x2118be…