Icky-Timing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.39K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

Trades

401

lifetime

Volume

$4.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-20 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

99% 17% +$1,407

Other

1% 15% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+14	$2	57¢	$8	+$6	09-29 22:38
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+7	$1	57¢	$4	+$3	09-23 09:18
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+33	$1	3¢	$1	+$0	09-23 02:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	9	$1.7K	1,710	1,710	+0	Yes	+$1,648	09-22 19:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$359	408	408	+0	No	+$351	05-28 01:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$230	701	0	+701	Yes	-$230	06-01 19:30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	1	$212	0	300	-300	Yes	-$88	06-15 06:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$198	159	159	+0	No	+$118	04-29 17:58
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$150	1,186	0	+1,186	No	-$150	06-15 06:21
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	5	$114	24,184	0	+24,184	Yes	-$114	05-30 06:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$106	324	0	+324	No	+$218	04-20 05:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	3	$103	1,081	81	+1,000	No	+$58	04-25 05:17
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	5	$87	1,188	88	+1,100	No	+$35	09-22 19:17
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	5	$80	389	0	+389	No	-$80	08-14 21:03
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	6	$76	1,039	0	+1,039	No	-$76	06-12 23:07
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	8	$61	395	0	+395	No	-$61	08-17 08:17
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	7	$56	517	0	+517	No	-$56	09-06 21:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$40	43	43	+0	No	+$20	04-29 18:00
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?	7	$29	224	0	+224	open	—	10-20 03:09
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$27	1,044	0	+1,044	No	-$27	06-03 07:37
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?	7	$23	304	0	+304	open	—	10-17 03:01
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	12	$22	317	0	+317	open	—	10-16 02:47
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	12	$20	403	0	+403	open	—	10-16 01:50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	8	$16	2,806	0	+2,806	No	-$16	06-15 06:23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	11	$15	826	0	+826	No	-$15	09-04 21:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	1	$15	1,154	0	+1,154	Yes	-$15	06-21 08:16
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$15	52	0	+52	No	+$37	04-19 15:05
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	8	$14	349	0	+349	open	—	10-16 01:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	10	$13	1,210	0	+1,210	No	-$13	08-30 13:41
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Turkey by December 31, 2026?	7	$12	303	0	+303	open	—	10-16 02:51
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Italy by December 31, 2026?	5	$12	317	0	+317	open	—	10-16 02:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	1	$10	30	0	+30	No	+$20	04-25 09:31
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	4	$10	306	0	+306	open	—	10-16 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 03:09:36	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xe2ff65…
10-20 03:08:48	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x8a763a…
10-20 03:08:18	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	13¢	$17	0x8bd296…
10-17 03:01:44	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x2a0eb4…
10-17 03:00:54	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xc1a105…
10-17 02:59:29	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	7¢	$5	0x35be45…
10-17 02:56:26	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0xb80a31…
10-16 02:58:16	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3670de…
10-16 02:57:09	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x2e0e3d…
10-16 02:55:57	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x063db2…
10-16 02:52:36	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0xafae4d…
10-16 02:51:10	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Turkey by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x22f903…
10-16 02:50:27	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x47cdd7…
10-16 02:47:24	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x1be4eb…
10-16 02:46:04	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xf465e7…
10-16 02:38:45	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Italy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0x499ddc…
10-16 02:36:21	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Turkey by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xbfada1…
10-16 02:32:55	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xd235d9…
10-16 02:31:21	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x63e480…
10-16 02:27:07	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	2¢	$2	0xa0c253…
10-16 02:03:18	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xb2f225…
10-16 01:59:19	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Turkey by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xa7e076…
10-16 01:50:13	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	3¢	$3	0x3a0f4c…
10-16 01:25:16	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xea8f16…
10-16 01:21:09	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iraq by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xeed36d…
10-16 01:17:31	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	283	0¢	$1	0x000150…
10-15 23:03:00	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	0¢	$1	0x90ae52…
10-15 23:02:07	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	2¢	$5	0xa1ca81…
10-02 05:50:36	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0x9b213a…
10-02 05:49:20	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	1¢	$2	0xbb2571…
10-02 05:48:30	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	0¢	$2	0x879c6e…
10-02 05:47:44	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iraq by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	366	0¢	$1	0xa5bea5…
10-02 05:47:02	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xe9a84f…
10-02 05:41:42	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Turkey by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0xaffa2a…
10-02 05:39:18	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$0	0xed6017…
10-02 05:37:24	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Italy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x4bb2d9…
10-02 05:36:20	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0xe29d4e…
10-02 05:32:51	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	6¢	$3	0xf6d14d…
10-02 05:30:20	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	8¢	$10	0x0c5c42…
10-02 05:26:56	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xd4e10d…
09-29 23:52:53	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Turkey by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x02c03b…
09-29 23:13:05	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xb78b7e…
09-29 23:11:42	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x76c9b2…
09-29 23:10:30	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x305265…
09-29 22:56:48	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	0¢	$1	0xeada85…
09-29 22:56:27	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xec29c9…
09-29 22:56:17	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8185a9…
09-29 22:55:33	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0x1029eb…
09-29 22:55:21	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x297547…
09-29 22:55:11	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0x4e2a99…
09-29 22:51:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb5ac51…
09-29 22:51:38	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x942c66…
09-29 22:38:33	Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3b6902…
09-29 22:38:09	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Turkey by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x4dca60…
09-29 22:37:51	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Italy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x4aed25…
09-29 22:37:42	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xcf6cef…
09-29 22:36:18	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xe78b7e…
09-29 22:35:53	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbce9f5…
09-29 22:35:44	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xbbce59…
09-29 22:35:33	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Italy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xf5aa21…
09-29 22:35:18	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc59e05…
09-29 22:35:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x1e8930…
09-29 22:32:35	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	0¢	$0	0x673313…
09-29 22:32:23	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x8afa93…
09-29 22:32:12	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	0¢	$1	0xa501c3…
09-29 22:32:03	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	0¢	$1	0x36b7e6…
09-29 22:31:48	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iraq by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	0¢	$1	0x7a4e42…
09-29 22:31:39	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfaf5d8…
09-29 22:30:51	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x37f63d…
09-28 11:05:30	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x364af3…
09-28 11:05:14	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x904331…
09-24 07:25:32	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xda3ce2…
09-24 07:25:23	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xff249c…
09-24 07:23:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x233e3a…
09-24 07:22:44	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iraq by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xfd3c52…
09-24 07:22:26	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iraq by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x00d314…
09-24 07:22:11	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x816d6a…
09-24 07:21:53	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0xe7c62c…
09-24 07:21:44	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0xf3aa38…
09-24 07:20:54	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6c572a…
09-24 01:33:28	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd5ba67…
09-24 01:32:29	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0xb685cd…
09-24 01:32:10	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x4ea4e7…
09-24 01:31:50	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x74904a…
09-24 01:30:41	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xaa790b…
09-24 01:30:16	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xf01b35…
09-24 01:29:53	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xb77223…
09-24 01:29:32	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iraq by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xf86ef6…
09-24 01:29:17	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xab187a…
09-24 01:29:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x60a24a…
09-24 01:28:55	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x994dd3…
09-24 01:27:46	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4888fe…
09-24 01:27:34	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x67c833…
09-24 01:27:17	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x876159…
09-24 01:27:07	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x219942…
09-24 01:26:56	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9f4dd7…
09-24 01:26:47	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9ad709…
09-24 01:26:38	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb4b047…
09-24 01:25:37	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x91d465…
09-24 01:25:04	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0xea190c…