Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$46
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
21
422 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$41
$4.11K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$201
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 11-07 12:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Politics
99% 17% +$1,406
Other
1% 15% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? Yes +224 $29 35¢ $78 +$49 10-20 03:09
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Turkey by December 31, 2026? Yes +303 $12 5¢ $14 +$2 10-16 02:51
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026? Yes +995 $11 1¢ $11 +$0 11-07 12:35
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,658 $15 1¢ $11 -$4 11-07 12:39
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? Yes +431 $12 2¢ $9 -$3 11-07 12:07
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +403 $20 2¢ $8 -$11 10-16 01:50
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $2 52¢ $8 +$5 09-29 22:38
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026? Yes +336 $11 2¢ $7 -$4 11-07 12:16
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +374 $4 2¢ $7 +$4 11-07 12:42
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Italy by December 31, 2026? Yes +595 $17 1¢ $7 -$10 11-07 12:06
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026? Yes +348 $12 2¢ $6 -$6 11-07 12:14
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026? Yes +358 $26 2¢ $6 -$20 11-07 12:02
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +376 $15 2¢ $6 -$10 11-07 12:11
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026? Yes +408 $24 1¢ $5 -$19 11-07 12:08
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026? Yes +998 $9 0¢ $4 -$5 11-07 12:33
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +7 $1 55¢ $4 +$3 09-23 09:18
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iraq by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,097 $7 0¢ $3 -$4 11-07 12:37
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +117 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 11-07 12:49
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2026? Yes +899 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 10-16 02:58
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026? Yes +336 $6 0¢ $2 -$4 11-07 12:04
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2026? Yes +575 $8 0¢ $1 -$7 11-07 12:41