Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$115
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
6,663
lifetime
Volume
$1.69M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$254
Open exposure
$17.2K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 22:24
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57%
Politics
25%
Crypto
12%
Tech
4%
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,469 $2,184 90¢ $2.2K +$26 07-17 17:57
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -2,200 $-2,079 97¢ $-2126 $-47 07-15 18:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -2,183 $-2,069 96¢ $-2093 $-24 06-20 22:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,600 $1,509 90¢ $1.4K $-75 07-14 17:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,986 $1,283 72¢ $1.4K +$137 07-21 16:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1,416 $-1,199 92¢ $-1296 $-97 06-26 06:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,300 $1,275 99¢ $1.3K +$10 07-21 22:24
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -1,269 $-1,117 96¢ $-1216 $-99 06-03 14:03
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1,200 $1,149 95¢ $1.1K $-4 07-08 10:57
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +1,387 $1,187 82¢ $1.1K $-52 07-20 03:17
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +699 $683 98¢ $687 +$3 07-22 02:46
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +400 $357 95¢ $380 +$23 06-19 11:27
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -336 $-296 90¢ $-304 $-8 06-01 02:14
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -354 $-262 69¢ $-244 +$18 06-14 20:43
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +131 $127 99¢ $129 +$2 06-01 13:33
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +150 $72 77¢ $116 +$43 07-19 19:10
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -1 $-31 90¢ $-1 +$30 07-22 04:15