Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$377
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
6,283
lifetime
Volume
$1.61M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$256
Open exposure
$12.0K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 05:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57%
Politics
24%
Crypto
13%
Tech
5%
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2,555 $2,417 99¢ $2.5K +$121 06-30 06:16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -2,183 $-2,069 96¢ $-2093 $-24 06-20 22:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,444 $1,219 90¢ $1.3K +$87 06-11 17:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,429 $1,022 86¢ $1.2K +$214 06-28 20:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1,416 $-1,199 86¢ $-1225 $-26 06-26 06:36
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -1,269 $-1,117 91¢ $-1154 $-37 06-03 14:03
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -1,100 $-1,034 94¢ $-1039 $-5 06-25 14:16
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +500 $365 76¢ $382 +$18 06-11 17:19
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +400 $357 94¢ $375 +$18 06-19 11:27
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -336 $-296 92¢ $-308 $-12 06-01 02:14
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -354 $-262 69¢ $-243 +$19 06-14 20:43
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +131 $127 99¢ $129 +$2 06-01 13:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-2 100¢ $0 +$2 06-30 06:23