Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab1d…3a97a4
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.78K
Unrealized P&L
+$76
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved
751
Trades
8,125
lifetime
Volume
$2.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$265
Open exposure
$22.0K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 01:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Other
59% 84% +$2,485
Politics
23% 82% -$5,913
Crypto
10% 92% -$2,406
Tech
5% 75% -$247
Sports
3% 65% +$296
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -4,967 -$4,531 97¢ $-4815 -$284 05-12 01:35
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -3,000 -$2,823 98¢ $-2944 -$121 07-15 18:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2,400 -$2,174 98¢ $-2356 -$182 06-26 06:36
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -2,152 -$1,813 96¢ $-2056 -$242 05-11 09:30
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1,939 $1,896 99¢ $1.9K +$16 07-24 11:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,800 -$1,831 97¢ $-1754 +$77 10-01 08:16
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -1,449 -$1,374 97¢ $-1403 -$28 05-22 17:03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -1,263 -$1,074 97¢ $-1227 -$153 05-22 16:44
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -1,206 -$1,025 96¢ $-1160 -$134 05-01 10:29
ebola pandemic in 2026 No +829 $733 97¢ $801 +$68 06-03 23:54
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -1,063 -$840 40¢ $-430 +$410 06-14 20:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -331 -$591 94¢ $-310 +$282 10-27 01:49
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -381 -$339 80¢ $-307 +$32 10-07 06:10
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +245 $359 94¢ $231 -$129 10-23 16:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -157 -$516 82¢ $-129 +$387 10-09 19:14
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -117 -$108 92¢ $-108 +$0 05-07 00:22
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -15 -$12 96¢ $-14 -$2 05-22 17:03
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -4 -$3 95¢ $-4 $0 10-07 06:11
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 100¢ $0 +$1 06-01 13:33
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +0 -$71 96¢ $0 +$71 07-31 02:47
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +0 -$4 96¢ $0 +$4 06-01 02:14
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$4 95¢ $0 +$4 06-03 14:03