Welcome-Zephyr — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

4,233

Trades

5,028

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 10-13 02:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 53% +$134

Other

5% 55% -$43

Sports

5% 60% -$10

Politics

2% 65% -$6

Tech

0% 83% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	16	$59	50	42	+8	Yes	-$1	06-16 23:26
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$54	41	41	+0	No	+$1	07-07 18:21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$53	58	58	-0	No	+$1	07-08 12:31
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$36	108	108	+0	No	+$4	07-07 17:25
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$35	142	142	+0	Yes	+$3	07-06 17:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$32	17	17	+0	No	$0	06-26 13:22
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	12	$30	17	15	+2	No	$0	07-02 02:15
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$30	31	31	-0	Yes	-$2	07-08 12:31
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	8	$30	45	45	+0	Yes	-$2	07-07 15:42
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$26	129	129	+0	No	+$0	07-06 17:12
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	7	$25	20	20	+0	Yes	+$14	07-05 23:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	8	$24	29	29	-0	No	-$5	06-19 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	22	$24	209	0	+209	Down	-$24	07-29 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	12	$24	141	0	+141	Down	-$24	07-29 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	38	$23	187	0	+187	Down	-$23	07-29 01:43
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	7	$23	19	19	+0	No	-$2	05-27 21:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	5	$23	20	11	+10	No	+$1	06-30 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	11	$23	173	0	+173	Down	-$23	07-29 03:04
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	6	$22	14	14	+0	Yes	+$2	05-27 21:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$22	22	22	+0	No	-$2	07-08 12:31
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	9	$21	28	28	-0	No	+$1	05-28 12:55
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	4	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 10:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:10 UTC	9	$20	49	0	+49	Up	+$30	07-28 13:13
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?	12	$19	12	12	-0	Yes	-$1	06-07 22:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:55 UTC	18	$18	167	0	+167	Up	-$18	07-28 12:00
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5	2	$17	12	12	+0	Over	+$1	06-16 02:00
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$17	20	9	+11	No	+$1	06-26 02:49
Spurs vs. Thunder	5	$17	21	7	+13	Spurs	+$0	05-19 02:32
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	07-06 14:06
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	7	$16	8	8	-0	No	+$0	06-29 23:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 02:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdae10a…
10-13 02:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x22bcc9…
10-13 02:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x911ae4…
10-13 02:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x68e370…
10-13 02:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xccabd6…
10-13 02:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8ac17f…
10-13 01:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x134eef…
10-13 01:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb2b995…
10-13 01:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x01fb9d…
10-13 01:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3a2f08…
10-13 01:38:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6e91dc…
10-13 01:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd3b80e…
10-13 01:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x25c5c3…
10-13 01:00:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd6310c…
10-13 00:55:06	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x57efd3…
10-13 00:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x80e460…
10-13 00:50:09	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf20ad6…
10-13 00:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x173939…
10-13 00:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa3bc6c…
10-13 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7f26e8…
10-13 00:40:06	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6e73c0…
10-13 00:35:06	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x08acd3…
10-13 00:30:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x26d527…
10-13 00:25:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xebc184…
10-13 00:25:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xe6ef63…
10-13 00:20:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5b9946…
10-13 00:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3e1391…
10-13 00:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x82219b…
10-12 23:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6cdf38…
10-12 23:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xec3a68…
10-12 23:35:06	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x846556…
10-12 23:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe94857…
10-12 23:30:06	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xca7b7f…
10-12 23:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6abae1…
10-12 23:20:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1b0800…
10-12 23:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd47ca9…
10-12 23:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0xae4e62…
10-12 23:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x20b1d7…
10-12 23:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2f2130…
10-12 23:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf47b9b…
10-12 23:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x839cc2…
10-12 22:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3866d9…
10-12 22:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2c0f21…
10-12 22:50:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6b26a2…
10-12 22:40:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x58f56a…
10-12 22:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8750f7…
10-12 22:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x25877e…
10-12 22:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbde35d…
10-12 22:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x02633d…
10-12 22:15:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa1ed5b…
10-12 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x49f996…
10-12 21:45:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe380c0…
10-12 21:05:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0fdeef…
10-12 21:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4f72b7…
10-12 20:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb5bad8…
10-12 20:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa178b3…
10-12 18:35:06	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3d63a0…
10-12 18:30:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x79bd5c…
10-12 18:25:06	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x12c727…
10-12 18:20:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x01b8f8…
10-12 17:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc57558…
10-12 17:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5cfaba…
10-12 14:50:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x110d35…
10-12 14:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x570ab0…
10-12 14:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x318925…
10-12 14:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2b4479…
10-12 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x02751c…
10-12 13:30:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xea99f4…
10-12 13:20:06	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x673f10…
10-12 13:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x80e995…
10-12 13:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x62a115…
10-12 13:10:06	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x226373…
10-12 13:05:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc1a272…
10-12 12:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf957e1…
10-12 12:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4ed459…
10-12 12:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb025d5…
10-12 12:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5c3d1d…
10-12 11:50:11	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa79048…
10-12 09:50:07	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x137613…
10-12 09:45:07	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xad1bdc…
10-12 09:35:07	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x210914…
10-12 09:04:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x674dcb…
10-12 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x34d44e…
10-12 08:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xeb8363…
10-12 08:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0d9178…
10-12 08:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0d529e…
10-12 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4c53e5…
10-12 08:23:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x596bf0…
10-12 08:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x801d2a…
10-12 07:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x34d327…
10-12 07:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xea795f…
10-12 07:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5626c6…
10-12 06:30:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1b0f55…
10-12 05:10:08	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x701688…
10-12 05:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb266f5…
10-12 05:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb1ac62…
10-12 05:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcff26e…
10-12 01:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2b23e8…
10-12 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd3c9ee…
10-12 00:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1215b7…