Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$31,750
Trades
3,663
Unique wallets
720
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
37¢
Latest NO mid
63¢
End date
2026-10-12
First seen
2026-10-12
last 10-12 23:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.1¢
(top1%: 28% YES on $18.1K
vs crowd: 32% YES on $29.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 151 | $5.5K | $14.6K | $9.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 222 | $2.6K | $3.6K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 205 | $1.0K | $1.5K | $470 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 142 | $314 | $620 | $306 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 151 | $5.0K | $13.1K | $8.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 90 | $1.1K | $1.2K | $76 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 40 | $117 | $143 | $26 |
| Median | 41 | $32 | $156 | $124 |
| Below median | 143 | $335 | $1.0K | $705 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 88 | $553 | $669 | $117 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 115 | $1.2K | $1.9K | $678 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 52 | $1.1K | $2.1K | $1.1K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmless-Region 0xb077…8fe8 | Down | +3,187 | $1,604 | $1,604 | 12 | 10-12 23:29 |
| Peaceful-Disk 0xd4fc…42af | Up | +1,581 | $610 | $610 | 2 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +1,291 | $630 | $630 | 61 | 10-12 23:32 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +1,185 | $407 | $407 | 71 | 10-12 23:33 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +1,087 | $639 | $639 | 62 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +1,028 | $1,018 | $1,018 | 2 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | +1,000 | $990 | $990 | 1 | 10-12 23:33 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +909 | $900 | $900 | 15 | 10-12 23:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +815 | $335 | $335 | 94 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +766 | $434 | $434 | 21 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +762 | $339 | $339 | 24 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +761 | $374 | $374 | 31 | 10-12 23:32 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +746 | $99 | $99 | 29 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +740 | $425 | $425 | 77 | 10-12 23:32 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | +685 | $335 | $335 | 12 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Up | +660 | $297 | $297 | 4 | 10-12 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +653 | $319 | $319 | 20 | 10-12 23:32 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +632 | $257 | $257 | 47 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +631 | $139 | $139 | 37 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | +624 | $350 | $350 | 1 | 10-12 23:30 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +554 | $363 | $363 | 23 | 10-12 23:33 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +531 | $350 | $350 | 50 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +526 | $373 | $373 | 30 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-12 23:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +463 | $62 | $62 | 13 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +408 | $187 | $187 | 30 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | +407 | $199 | $199 | 2 | 10-12 23:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 10 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Down | +388 | $193 | $193 | 14 | 10-12 23:31 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +379 | $174 | $174 | 12 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +376 | $179 | $179 | 11 | 10-12 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Down | +373 | $284 | $284 | 6 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Down | +368 | $173 | $173 | 17 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +343 | $152 | $152 | 10 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +330 | $189 | $189 | 20 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +330 | $202 | $202 | 25 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xa442…3b25 | Down | +327 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-12 23:32 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +323 | $170 | $170 | 7 | 10-12 23:33 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-12 23:33 |
| Pessimistic-Blow 0xe64f…7d13 | Up | +300 | $146 | $146 | 8 | 10-12 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xa442…3b25 | Up | +300 | $9 | $9 | 12 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +285 | $201 | $201 | 26 | 10-12 23:33 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +278 | $193 | $193 | 7 | 10-12 23:33 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +259 | $33 | $33 | 14 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Up | +257 | $50 | $50 | 10 | 10-12 23:32 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Down | +250 | $245 | $245 | 1 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | +250 | $2 | $2 | 5 | 10-12 23:33 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +250 | $33 | $33 | 9 | 10-12 23:33 |
| Mountainous-Rating 0xccf5…42f2 | Up | +240 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 10-12 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Down | +237 | $130 | $130 | 6 | 10-12 23:31 |
| Tiny-Flash 0x4c3a…9395 | Down | +233 | $150 | $150 | 41 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +231 | $83 | $83 | 20 | 10-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +220 | $113 | $113 | 8 | 10-12 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +217 | $63 | $63 | 28 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e11…5b20 | Down | +214 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e51…d214 | Down | +208 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x0362…94e2 | Down | +208 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-12 23:33 |
| Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 10-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b77…eeda | Down | +185 | $86 | $86 | 5 | 10-12 23:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 23:36:38 | (anonymous) 0x140a…913f | Down | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x418553… |
| 10-12 23:36:38 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x418553… |
| 10-12 23:35:42 | (anonymous) 0x7100…e082 | Down | SELL | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x03eaa3… |
| 10-12 23:35:42 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x03eaa3… |
| 10-12 23:34:54 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $495 | 0x32298f… |
| 10-12 23:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x32298f… |
| 10-12 23:34:30 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x7a6cba… |
| 10-12 23:34:30 | Creamy-Brace 0xe0e1…4995 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7a6cba… |
| 10-12 23:34:20 | (anonymous) 0x7f52…8c59 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb2f8d8… |
| 10-12 23:34:20 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb2f8d8… |
| 10-12 23:34:00 | (anonymous) 0x50d1…2c0c | Down | SELL | 78 | 99¢ | $77 | 0x6ae787… |
| 10-12 23:34:00 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 78 | 99¢ | $77 | 0x6ae787… |
| 10-12 23:33:54 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xee3b6c… |
| 10-12 23:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x26ca…843b | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xee3b6c… |
| 10-12 23:33:44 | Warped-Need 0x7e74…091d | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xadfcfa… |
| 10-12 23:33:44 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xadfcfa… |
| 10-12 23:33:39 | (anonymous) 0x361c…b40b | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3228ec… |
| 10-12 23:33:39 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3228ec… |
| 10-12 23:33:39 | (anonymous) 0x364c…754c | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8a6b0f… |
| 10-12 23:33:39 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8a6b0f… |
| 10-12 23:33:36 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 44 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x07f09b… |
| 10-12 23:33:36 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xadc3e5… |
| 10-12 23:33:36 | (anonymous) 0x42eb…988e | Down | SELL | 44 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x07f09b… |
| 10-12 23:33:36 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xadc3e5… |
| 10-12 23:33:33 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xcdad6c… |
| 10-12 23:33:33 | (anonymous) 0x5e97…82ad | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1c5441… |
| 10-12 23:33:33 | (anonymous) 0x0933…567a | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xcdad6c… |
| 10-12 23:33:33 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x1c5441… |
| 10-12 23:33:32 | (anonymous) 0x59a6…4f4f | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0c0cbb… |
| 10-12 23:33:32 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0c0cbb… |
| 10-12 23:33:29 | (anonymous) 0x203e…8fbd | Down | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xcc1b05… |
| 10-12 23:33:29 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xcc1b05… |
| 10-12 23:33:27 | (anonymous) 0xa76e…3466 | Down | SELL | 47 | 99¢ | $47 | 0x9c12ec… |
| 10-12 23:33:27 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9c12ec… |
| 10-12 23:33:27 | (anonymous) 0x373b…c855 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9c12ec… |
| 10-12 23:33:27 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x9c12ec… |
| 10-12 23:33:27 | (anonymous) 0xbfa0…cd6d | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9c12ec… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Hasty-Seeker 0x9842…00d7 | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xe5109e… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xbfff…2b8d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xebe6…b969 | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x9540…c2bc | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x8441…bc73 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 107 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1eab3c… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x9d2b…fb2c | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x1eab3c… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 99¢ | $990 | 0x1eab3c… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1eab3c… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcd4da0… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Impossible-Slice 0xb5c2…c05e | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x787fff… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 68 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1eab3c… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xe21325… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xea19…deab | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xe21325… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x5747…8b6e | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x9d93…f4b6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1eab3c… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x73cc86… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x09139d… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x2eac…1b5d | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x1536…1cda | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 232 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xbb4736… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Circular-Boot 0x608c…4f52 | Down | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x977a…4b41 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x73cc86… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xafa0…5847 | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x787fff… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xdaca…7e97 | Up | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1eab3c… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x09139d… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe5109e… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xbebe…b844 | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1eab3c… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x1eab3c… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcd4da0… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 308 | 99¢ | $305 | 0xbb4736… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 117 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 720 | 99¢ | $713 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 76 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbb4736… |
| 10-12 23:33:26 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc6c7f… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x94cb81… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Up | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3592b9… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | Expert-Margin 0xc07d…c0da | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xac9fc1… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xea0f84… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x94cb81… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4ae66a… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x94cb81… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | Forceful-Nick 0x5695…60e9 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xb977bd… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Down | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xf3940c… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c3830… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf6bb68… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0xdcad…dede | Up | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c3830… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | Hairy-Secretariat 0x9742…9253 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9ac14c… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0xca8b…f58b | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xea0f84… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a6e6d… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa37af… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcb343a… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0xdcad…dede | Up | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7a940b… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x51b7db… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x51b7db… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8e20d8… |
| 10-12 23:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x3aa3…1c49 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4ae66a… |