Expert-Margin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved

18,165

Trades

34,593

lifetime

Volume

$138.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-27 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% -$146

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 624 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	—	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-27 14:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:35 UTC	4	$405	219	218	+1	Up	+$6	03-20 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:20 UTC	3	$255	171	169	+3	Up	+$84	03-20 08:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:05 UTC	3	$187	431	0	+431	Down	-$187	03-18 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:00 UTC	4	$148	101	100	+1	Down	+$49	03-20 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:55 UTC	1	$130	256	0	+256	Down	-$130	03-18 17:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 07:30 UTC	2	$116	67	66	+1	Up	+$16	03-20 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:20 UTC	4	$111	80	78	+1	Up	+$43	03-20 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 15:15 UTC	2	$104	53	53	+0	Up	+$1	04-19 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:10 UTC	2	$85	67	66	+1	Up	+$46	03-20 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 07:05 UTC	5	$77	125	0	+125	Up	-$77	03-20 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:15 UTC	1	$76	77	0	+77	Up	+$1	03-31 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:25 UTC	2	$73	56	55	+1	Down	+$5	03-20 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$62	42	36	+5	Down	+$3	05-27 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:15 UTC	3	$56	74	0	+74	Up	+$18	03-27 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 23:20 UTC	2	$55	69	0	+69	Up	-$55	03-19 23:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:25 UTC	1	$53	105	0	+105	Up	-$53	03-20 09:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 15:25 UTC	2	$53	82	0	+82	Down	+$30	03-19 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 08:15 UTC	4	$51	34	33	+1	Up	+$15	03-31 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	10	$50	52	0	+52	Down	+$2	09-18 23:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:20 UTC	10	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	09-25 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:10 UTC	2	$48	26	26	+0	Up	+$3	03-20 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$48	118	100	+18	Down	-$12	05-30 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:45 UTC	3	$47	121	0	+121	Down	-$47	03-20 19:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:15 UTC	3	$45	76	0	+76	Down	+$31	03-26 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:20 UTC	3	$45	53	0	+53	Up	+$9	04-17 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:40 UTC	3	$43	69	0	+69	Down	+$27	03-27 02:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 10:00 UTC	3	$41	82	0	+82	Up	+$5	03-22 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 08:25 UTC	3	$41	27	27	+0	Down	+$13	03-24 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 05:10 UTC	2	$40	65	0	+65	Up	+$24	03-27 05:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:30 UTC	8	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	09-17 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x89112b…
10-27 14:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x80c42a…
10-27 14:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4ea312…
10-27 14:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb98f13…
10-27 14:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa32285…
10-27 14:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x96a88f…
10-27 14:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x72a28c…
10-27 14:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2dc432…
10-27 14:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4f55c5…
10-27 14:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc0b2f5…
10-27 14:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0e4b4c…
10-27 14:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa198b1…
10-27 14:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x477fec…
10-27 14:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4c44bf…
10-27 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xae8b7a…
10-27 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x4d2c06…
10-27 14:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4809b8…
10-27 14:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x35b0c6…
10-27 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf4a7fd…
10-27 13:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbfaa30…
10-27 13:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x866a8d…
10-27 13:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2cf01d…
10-27 13:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x160767…
10-27 13:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe70b6b…
10-27 13:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x03e1f1…
10-27 13:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xac08aa…
10-27 13:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8479c5…
10-27 13:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa7d00d…
10-27 13:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe84a9b…
10-27 13:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x97d271…
10-27 13:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x73d940…
10-27 13:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4a404d…
10-27 13:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x05c30b…
10-27 13:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5d93da…
10-27 13:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1d458f…
10-27 13:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x959e05…
10-27 13:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x77cfae…
10-27 13:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x70cd42…
10-27 13:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb59839…
10-27 13:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2811b0…
10-27 13:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa80b02…
10-27 13:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6a0143…
10-27 13:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa68d8f…
10-27 12:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x918ae9…
10-27 12:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x861428…
10-27 12:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xac59b0…
10-27 12:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x584605…
10-27 12:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x41efa0…
10-27 12:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd340e8…
10-27 12:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x93a0bb…
10-27 12:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa3a494…
10-27 12:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6a983a…
10-27 12:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x060d3f…
10-27 11:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbaac21…
10-27 11:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf3b839…
10-27 11:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xea6de6…
10-27 11:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd2ac5f…
10-27 11:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xc8303d…
10-27 11:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe3f045…
10-27 11:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xbe37bd…
10-27 11:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd8cd6e…
10-27 11:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8f2446…
10-27 11:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x61b457…
10-27 11:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x006093…
10-27 11:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd7bc66…
10-27 11:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x82944f…
10-27 11:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf51684…
10-27 11:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xba473a…
10-27 11:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf30f71…
10-27 11:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x405d68…
10-27 11:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xdc5cf4…
10-27 11:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1d0b8f…
10-27 11:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x261c3b…
10-27 11:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x47efcf…
10-27 11:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x50fcdc…
10-27 11:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2c16d0…
10-27 11:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x340443…
10-27 11:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3a036f…
10-27 11:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x86f20f…
10-27 11:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x612498…
10-27 11:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf46894…
10-27 11:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xeb7a0a…
10-27 11:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xcc8c99…
10-27 11:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4734a7…
10-27 11:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7a7ece…
10-27 11:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x45690c…
10-27 11:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x397372…
10-27 11:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1df55d…
10-27 10:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x72f899…
10-27 10:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x82aca3…
10-27 10:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1c6bae…
10-27 10:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa59cd6…
10-27 10:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9ef5cc…
10-27 10:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xed49d1…
10-27 10:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x138de1…
10-27 10:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa898b4…
10-27 10:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x45306d…
10-27 10:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x982560…
10-27 10:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x087a6c…
10-27 10:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8cb0b0…