Expert-Margin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved

18,151

Trades

34,558

lifetime

Volume

$138.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-27 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% -$151

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 624 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:35 UTC	4	$405	219	218	+1	Up	+$6	03-20 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:20 UTC	3	$255	171	169	+3	Up	+$84	03-20 08:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:05 UTC	3	$187	431	0	+431	Down	-$187	03-18 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:00 UTC	4	$148	101	100	+1	Down	+$49	03-20 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:55 UTC	1	$130	256	0	+256	Down	-$130	03-18 17:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 07:30 UTC	2	$116	67	66	+1	Up	+$16	03-20 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:20 UTC	4	$111	80	78	+1	Up	+$43	03-20 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 15:15 UTC	2	$104	53	53	+0	Up	+$1	04-19 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:10 UTC	2	$85	67	66	+1	Up	+$46	03-20 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 07:05 UTC	5	$77	125	0	+125	Up	-$77	03-20 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:15 UTC	1	$76	77	0	+77	Up	+$1	03-31 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:25 UTC	2	$73	56	55	+1	Down	+$5	03-20 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$62	42	36	+5	Down	+$3	05-27 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:15 UTC	3	$56	74	0	+74	Up	+$18	03-27 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 23:20 UTC	2	$55	69	0	+69	Up	-$55	03-19 23:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:25 UTC	1	$53	105	0	+105	Up	-$53	03-20 09:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 15:25 UTC	2	$53	82	0	+82	Down	+$30	03-19 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 08:15 UTC	4	$51	34	33	+1	Up	+$15	03-31 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	10	$50	52	0	+52	Down	+$2	09-18 23:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:20 UTC	10	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	09-25 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:10 UTC	2	$48	26	26	+0	Up	+$3	03-20 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$48	118	100	+18	Down	-$12	05-30 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:45 UTC	3	$47	121	0	+121	Down	-$47	03-20 19:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:15 UTC	3	$45	76	0	+76	Down	+$31	03-26 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:20 UTC	3	$45	53	0	+53	Up	+$9	04-17 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:40 UTC	3	$43	69	0	+69	Down	+$27	03-27 02:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 10:00 UTC	3	$41	82	0	+82	Up	+$5	03-22 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 08:25 UTC	3	$41	27	27	+0	Down	+$13	03-24 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 05:10 UTC	2	$40	65	0	+65	Up	+$24	03-27 05:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:30 UTC	8	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	09-17 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xac59b0…
10-27 12:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x584605…
10-27 12:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x41efa0…
10-27 12:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd340e8…
10-27 12:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x93a0bb…
10-27 12:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa3a494…
10-27 12:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6a983a…
10-27 12:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x060d3f…
10-27 11:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbaac21…
10-27 11:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf3b839…
10-27 11:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xea6de6…
10-27 11:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd2ac5f…
10-27 11:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xc8303d…
10-27 11:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe3f045…
10-27 11:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xbe37bd…
10-27 11:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd8cd6e…
10-27 11:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8f2446…
10-27 11:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x61b457…
10-27 11:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x006093…
10-27 11:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd7bc66…
10-27 11:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x82944f…
10-27 11:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf51684…
10-27 11:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xba473a…
10-27 11:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf30f71…
10-27 11:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x405d68…
10-27 11:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xdc5cf4…
10-27 11:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1d0b8f…
10-27 11:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x261c3b…
10-27 11:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x47efcf…
10-27 11:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x50fcdc…
10-27 11:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2c16d0…
10-27 11:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x340443…
10-27 11:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3a036f…
10-27 11:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x86f20f…
10-27 11:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x612498…
10-27 11:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf46894…
10-27 11:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xeb7a0a…
10-27 11:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xcc8c99…
10-27 11:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4734a7…
10-27 11:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7a7ece…
10-27 11:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x45690c…
10-27 11:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x397372…
10-27 11:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1df55d…
10-27 10:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x72f899…
10-27 10:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x82aca3…
10-27 10:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1c6bae…
10-27 10:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa59cd6…
10-27 10:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9ef5cc…
10-27 10:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xed49d1…
10-27 10:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x138de1…
10-27 10:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa898b4…
10-27 10:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x45306d…
10-27 10:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x982560…
10-27 10:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x087a6c…
10-27 10:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8cb0b0…
10-27 10:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe16ac8…
10-27 10:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x75b2c1…
10-27 10:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x80c862…
10-27 10:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x34ea4a…
10-27 10:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x70f4b8…
10-27 10:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1c6b5b…
10-27 10:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa7e972…
10-27 10:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x97ced0…
10-27 10:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe5bf7b…
10-27 10:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdb5487…
10-27 09:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7c4a4b…
10-27 09:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1bafe0…
10-27 09:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x11f273…
10-27 09:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xdffaef…
10-27 09:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1e234f…
10-27 09:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x96ad3c…
10-27 09:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf674de…
10-27 09:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8dbced…
10-27 09:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb181f9…
10-27 09:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5331ab…
10-27 09:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xda3b21…
10-27 09:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x551987…
10-27 09:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xbca9a4…
10-27 09:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x81df15…
10-27 09:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x3c359b…
10-27 09:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1b1911…
10-27 09:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd2b141…
10-27 09:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x44648e…
10-27 09:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x06c13f…
10-27 09:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x26c3e5…
10-27 09:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdbc3e1…
10-27 09:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x2cfaab…
10-27 09:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf6f769…
10-27 09:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x0e406a…
10-27 09:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2146e6…
10-27 09:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xda8ce7…
10-27 08:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xab5022…
10-27 08:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x62f81a…
10-27 08:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0cf55e…
10-27 08:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xef2452…
10-27 08:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xcf7b4e…
10-27 08:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xee079b…
10-27 08:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x576036…
10-27 08:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5f2494…
10-27 08:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf80440…