Expert-Margin — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$186

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved (7d)

999

Trades (7d)

3,229

35,371 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$13.8K

$142.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-29 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 192 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% -$65

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 624 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:35 UTC	4	$405	219	218	+1	Up	+$6	03-20 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:20 UTC	3	$255	171	169	+3	Up	+$84	03-20 08:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:05 UTC	3	$187	431	0	+431	Down	-$187	03-18 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:00 UTC	4	$148	101	100	+1	Down	+$49	03-20 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:55 UTC	1	$130	256	0	+256	Down	-$130	03-18 17:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 07:30 UTC	2	$116	67	66	+1	Up	+$16	03-20 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:20 UTC	4	$111	80	78	+1	Up	+$43	03-20 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 15:15 UTC	2	$104	53	53	+0	Up	+$1	04-19 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:10 UTC	2	$85	67	66	+1	Up	+$46	03-20 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 07:05 UTC	5	$77	125	0	+125	Up	-$77	03-20 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:15 UTC	1	$76	77	0	+77	Up	+$1	03-31 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:25 UTC	2	$73	56	55	+1	Down	+$5	03-20 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$62	42	36	+5	Down	+$3	05-27 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 04:15 UTC	3	$56	74	0	+74	Up	+$18	03-27 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 23:20 UTC	2	$55	69	0	+69	Up	-$55	03-19 23:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:25 UTC	1	$53	105	0	+105	Up	-$53	03-20 09:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 15:25 UTC	2	$53	82	0	+82	Down	+$30	03-19 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 08:15 UTC	4	$51	34	33	+1	Up	+$15	03-31 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	10	$50	52	0	+52	Down	+$2	09-18 23:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:20 UTC	10	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	09-25 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:10 UTC	2	$48	26	26	+0	Up	+$3	03-20 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$48	118	100	+18	Down	-$12	05-30 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:45 UTC	3	$47	121	0	+121	Down	-$47	03-20 19:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:15 UTC	3	$45	76	0	+76	Down	+$31	03-26 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:20 UTC	3	$45	53	0	+53	Up	+$9	04-17 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:40 UTC	3	$43	69	0	+69	Down	+$27	03-27 02:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 10:00 UTC	3	$41	82	0	+82	Up	+$5	03-22 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 08:25 UTC	3	$41	27	27	+0	Down	+$13	03-24 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 05:10 UTC	2	$40	65	0	+65	Up	+$24	03-27 05:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:30 UTC	8	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	09-17 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa95c95…
10-29 10:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x824b93…
10-29 10:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3d59a8…
10-29 10:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x335273…
10-29 10:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2e8a4f…
10-29 10:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe610f4…
10-29 10:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x55ec02…
10-29 10:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe031b2…
10-29 10:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc64f5c…
10-29 10:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfa5500…
10-29 10:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8f1c1c…
10-29 10:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x56ac2a…
10-29 10:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x87124e…
10-29 10:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4867b0…
10-29 10:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc01a40…
10-29 10:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb88417…
10-29 10:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x532176…
10-29 10:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3030a0…
10-29 09:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaec197…
10-29 09:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb0fb42…
10-29 09:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf85d2e…
10-29 09:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6a5328…
10-29 09:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x27f377…
10-29 09:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x82ae07…
10-29 09:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3fa6a0…
10-29 09:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcc38b2…
10-29 09:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x395a88…
10-29 09:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbfcf26…
10-29 09:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc51a4e…
10-29 09:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9f89ef…
10-29 08:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0dcb8f…
10-29 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6ec691…
10-29 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3ed93b…
10-29 08:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfaf6cf…
10-29 08:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbe698f…
10-29 08:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7bf4d6…
10-29 08:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x14a4f7…
10-29 08:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe7708d…
10-29 08:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x076d35…
10-29 07:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa2cec8…
10-29 07:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x95a09d…
10-29 07:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x613977…
10-29 07:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3b7ab8…
10-29 07:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0xb12e6d…
10-29 07:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b5bde…
10-29 07:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6f205f…
10-29 07:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfc2fd5…
10-29 07:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x03ea3f…
10-29 07:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3610a6…
10-29 06:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf3a8c9…
10-29 06:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3b9b3a…
10-29 06:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf3dafa…
10-29 06:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7c2ea0…
10-29 06:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe385ec…
10-29 06:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x492586…
10-29 06:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb371c5…
10-29 06:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9ebb0c…
10-29 06:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd69c92…
10-29 06:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xaa6144…
10-29 06:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x14521b…
10-29 06:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcf0ff5…
10-29 06:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x729455…
10-29 06:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x744314…
10-29 06:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x671099…
10-29 06:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1efaf3…
10-29 06:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa5cfd5…
10-29 06:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa065ac…
10-29 06:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8e6efb…
10-29 06:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc31ced…
10-29 06:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x55ea0a…
10-29 05:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4f339b…
10-29 05:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x22053f…
10-29 05:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x837ff4…
10-29 05:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4a8095…
10-29 05:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x136214…
10-29 05:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x109cf0…
10-29 05:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf54a10…
10-29 05:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa084f2…
10-29 05:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdd6d9d…
10-29 05:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa8c0a0…
10-29 05:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x688daf…
10-29 05:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x319564…
10-29 05:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x55c3e5…
10-29 05:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4e898a…
10-29 05:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb1dc61…
10-29 05:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x693185…
10-29 05:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x608eed…
10-29 05:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd61c39…
10-29 05:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd27d17…
10-29 04:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc5b145…
10-29 04:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe1399e…
10-29 04:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4a048a…
10-29 04:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc13102…
10-29 04:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa36e81…
10-29 04:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5245e6…
10-29 04:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01ab1d…
10-29 04:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa079a0…
10-29 04:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6e0571…
10-29 04:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb218ca…
10-29 04:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x31f52c…