Realized P&L
+$9.46K
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved
1,351
Trades
3,204
lifetime
Volume
$305.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$363
7 positions
First seen
2026-10-10
last 11-01 02:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Crypto
86% 76% -$7,786
Politics
11% 40% +$15,871
Other
2% 67% +$3,073
Tech
2% 0% -$1,697
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +131 $118 90¢ $119 +$1 11-01 01:57
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +103 $90 100¢ $103 +$13 10-28 23:16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +139 $100 72¢ $99 -$1 11-01 02:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +13 $12 94¢ $12 $0 11-01 02:01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $10 78¢ $10 $0 11-01 01:59
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $10 74¢ $10 $0 11-01 01:59
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $10 70¢ $10 $0 11-01 01:58