Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

11.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$80

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-26 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

60% 29% -$24

Other

35% 10% -$16

Sports

6% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+4	$4	90¢	$4	$0	05-12 02:15
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	-15	-$1	5¢	$-1	$0	09-19 12:53
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-32	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	10-26 20:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$9	55	0	+55	No	-$9	03-08 15:00
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$6	17	8	+8	No	-$3	03-08 13:07
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$6	192	50	+142	No	-$4	02-19 02:00
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$6	325	176	+149	No	-$4	03-06 18:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$6	17	17	+0	No	$0	03-04 14:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$5	5	4	+0	Yes	+$4	03-02 23:25
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	3	$5	42	15	+28	No	-$2	03-06 18:48
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$4	17	0	+17	No	-$4	06-29 23:52
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$4	21	0	+21	No	-$4	10-26 20:02
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-12 02:15
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	6	0	+6	Yes	+$2	05-16 22:09
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$3	39	0	+39	No	-$3	10-26 20:03
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$3	21	0	+21	No	-$3	10-26 20:16
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	9	0	+9	No	-$3	05-16 22:06
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	3	$2	8	8	+0	Mbappé	-$2	10-26 22:54
Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	2	$1	17	17	+0	No	-$1	10-26 20:37
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	10-26 20:48
Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	10-26 20:12
will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	1	$1	75	0	+75	No	-$1	02-19 02:08
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	06-29 23:50
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	1	$1	15	0	+15	No	-$1	02-19 02:17
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$1	18	0	+18	No	-$1	02-19 01:59
will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	1	$1	48	0	+48	No	-$1	02-19 02:00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	1	$1	0	15	-15	open	—	09-19 12:53
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$0	0	32	-32	open	—	10-26 20:50
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	1	$0	0	5	-5	No	+$0	06-29 23:49
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	1	$0	0	8	-8	No	+$0	06-29 23:50
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	1	$0	0	3	-3	No	+$0	06-29 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:54:30	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x522592…
10-26 20:51:35	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfa20ae…
10-26 20:50:44	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0xa5db90…
10-26 20:48:50	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe5e000…
10-26 20:37:42	Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xb33184…
10-26 20:16:26	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x17eb41…
10-26 20:12:42	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x08ce90…
10-26 20:12:38	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0a9380…
10-26 20:09:20	Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x34e772…
10-26 20:05:50	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6a6a6b…
10-26 20:03:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xefabf0…
10-26 20:02:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x8d8039…
09-19 12:53:39	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xd445ba…
06-29 23:52:04	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0xe0f214…
06-29 23:50:50	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8d44f5…
06-29 23:50:20	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xedce0f…
06-29 23:50:01	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x544b5a…
06-29 23:49:38	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc178ed…
05-16 22:09:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$3	0xc8e2da…
05-16 22:06:33	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x449138…
05-12 02:15:38	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x638362…
03-08 15:00:45	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x523ed5…
03-08 15:00:39	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xa67aa4…
03-08 13:07:29	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x06fcdb…
03-08 13:06:19	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$2	0x5cdaf5…
03-06 18:48:05	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdf7b6f…
03-06 18:46:37	Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x18ae3a…
03-04 14:37:17	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xc63911…
03-04 14:18:25	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$3	0x6209df…
03-04 14:14:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x853317…
03-04 13:57:03	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0xc8022c…
03-04 13:51:51	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaa001d…
03-04 13:44:35	Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	176	1¢	$1	0xf91bb6…
03-03 12:45:11	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x689a2b…
03-02 23:29:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xb14571…
03-02 23:26:33	Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	234	2¢	$4	0xdbcf64…
03-02 23:25:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb7774f…
02-19 02:17:32	will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x10b608…
02-19 02:08:42	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x83923d…
02-19 02:08:08	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xbfa904…
02-19 02:00:36	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x4e56bf…
02-19 02:00:18	will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf25bf4…
02-19 01:59:08	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xcd9556…
02-19 01:57:14	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0x17cfaa…