Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$272
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
50
lifetime
Volume
$4.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$1.33K
12 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 06-08 23:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
64%
Other
36%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +10,659 $279 $341 +$63 06-09 21:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,500 $255 18¢ $278 +$22 06-08 12:49
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +917 $-16 26¢ $234 +$249 06-08 21:08
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,971 $217 11¢ $207 $-10 06-08 12:18
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,100 $132 11¢ $121 $-11 06-08 12:19
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +820 $42 $36 $-6 06-08 12:24
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +190 $27 14¢ $27 +$0 06-08 12:17
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? Yes +396 $40 $22 $-18 06-08 12:28
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +550 $38 $21 $-18 06-08 12:15
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +1,160 $17 $20 +$3 06-08 12:16
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? Yes +105 $19 16¢ $17 $-2 06-08 12:41
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes +65 $9 12¢ $8 $-1 06-08 12:14