Realized P&L
+$5.55K
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved
11,806
Trades
61,520
lifetime
Volume
$183.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$228
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 10-20 06:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 55% +$5,939
Other
4% 53% -$101
Politics
3% 60% -$294
Sports
1% 48% -$23
Tech
0% 78% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 964 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +34 $24 96¢ $32 +$8 08-29 12:21
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +25 $25 97¢ $25 $0 10-19 16:45
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +99 $12 21¢ $21 +$9 08-28 23:40
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +23 $19 84¢ $19 +$0 08-31 12:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -21 -$13 82¢ $-17 -$4 09-01 17:40
No one announced as next James Bond? No +22 $18 76¢ $17 -$1 08-28 13:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +124 $19 14¢ $17 -$2 08-31 15:20
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +38 $9 38¢ $14 +$6 09-01 19:15
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +21 $10 52¢ $11 +$1 08-30 02:02
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 09-01 20:58
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +41 $5 22¢ $9 +$4 08-28 05:30
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +175 $20 4¢ $7 -$13 09-01 13:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +7 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 08-30 20:27
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +50 $18 12¢ $6 -$12 09-01 19:48
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +16 $10 22¢ $3 -$6 09-01 11:25
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +105 $17 3¢ $3 -$14 09-01 16:03
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +104 $20 3¢ $3 -$17 08-30 20:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10 $5 29¢ $3 -$2 08-31 11:26
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +119 $11 2¢ $2 -$9 08-28 19:26
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +7 $5 14¢ $1 -$4 08-28 19:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +27 $8 3¢ $1 -$7 05-06 14:57
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes +13 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 08-30 17:41