Made-Up-Sectional — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

123

Trades

1,157

lifetime

Volume

$5.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$101

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-03 11:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 67% $-26

Other

18% — —

Politics

17% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$28	88¢	$35	+$7	07-03 07:31
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?	No	+36	$30	85¢	$31	+$1	06-27 11:14
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?	No	+17	$15	94¢	$16	+$1	07-03 08:47
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	+37	$15	40¢	$15	$-0	07-03 11:26
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+6	$3	74¢	$4	+$1	06-26 11:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	8	$139	71	71	+0	open	—	06-22 18:47
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	11	$112	355	355	+0	open	—	06-17 22:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	17	$104	156	126	+30	open	—	06-16 23:26
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	6	$88	103	30	+73	open	—	06-30 22:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$84	88	88	+0	open	—	06-21 07:02
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	5	$76	74	19	+55	open	—	07-02 12:47
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	16	$73	58	58	+0	open	—	06-26 11:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$70	229	209	+20	open	—	06-30 00:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	4	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	06-29 22:38
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	5	$66	67	26	+40	open	—	07-03 07:31
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	4	$62	33	33	+0	open	—	07-01 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	18	$59	118	0	+118	open	—	05-30 08:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	7	$56	40	40	+0	open	—	06-29 19:30
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$48	79	79	+0	open	—	06-29 23:13
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	3	$46	65	28	+37	open	—	07-03 11:26
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?	4	$45	35	18	+17	open	—	07-03 08:47
world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	3	$45	57	0	+57	open	—	06-24 04:53
will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	3	$45	48	0	+48	open	—	06-16 20:21
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	3	$45	48	0	+48	open	—	07-02 12:14
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	3	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	06-25 22:00
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	3	$45	49	0	+49	open	—	07-01 06:23
israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	3	$45	48	0	+48	open	—	07-01 08:27
over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	3	$45	49	0	+49	open	—	07-03 01:46
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	3	$45	57	0	+57	open	—	06-30 23:35
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	5	$45	40	10	+30	open	—	06-30 13:08
world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	3	$44	46	0	+46	open	—	06-29 16:41
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-29 23:16
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	4	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	06-23 10:36
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	3	$37	45	0	+45	open	—	07-02 09:05
Iran leadership change by June 30?	6	$34	23	13	+10	open	—	06-30 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 11:26:52	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x6b1644…
07-03 11:25:34	Will Wizkid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xefa7a2…
07-03 08:47:11	Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xe470ab…
07-03 07:31:05	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0xba6081…
07-03 03:52:10	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x83bc60…
07-03 01:46:10	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x1f9184…
07-02 12:47:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x42c842…
07-02 12:15:49	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xc10638…
07-02 12:14:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xb8a72e…
07-02 11:22:01	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x0c13f2…
07-02 09:05:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xda51ed…
07-02 03:45:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x8f660a…
07-02 01:48:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xc6a510…
07-02 00:43:34	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xf76632…
07-01 18:11:47	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6e971f…
07-01 17:56:35	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8fa3a9…
07-01 16:47:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	71¢	$19	0xc486a8…
07-01 16:41:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0xd2e471…
07-01 14:05:56	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xb74126…
07-01 14:04:35	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xf57501…
07-01 13:48:59	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x472211…
07-01 13:31:53	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xa7c210…
07-01 09:49:16	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x4511f5…
07-01 08:27:23	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x5ef75d…
07-01 06:23:41	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x04321a…
07-01 03:42:52	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x9cfaaf…
06-30 23:35:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xfc343e…
06-30 22:47:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x308606…
06-30 22:36:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x8fca4f…
06-30 21:33:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x5ed2c6…
06-30 21:20:38	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xc653f4…
06-30 18:59:58	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ae5bf…
06-30 18:59:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xac738f…
06-30 18:44:53	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x5c2a6d…
06-30 18:44:46	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xe7f405…
06-30 17:58:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2d60ca…
06-30 13:08:34	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x625d29…
06-30 12:24:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0xec45d2…
06-30 12:24:04	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x7a5981…
06-30 09:50:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x763f1e…
06-30 09:47:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x1bb858…
06-30 09:45:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0xeb0e2b…
06-30 09:45:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xc9d0a1…
06-30 07:10:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x5bd92e…
06-30 00:19:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xef050b…
06-30 00:08:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	194	1¢	$1	0x5c2a9c…
06-29 23:28:43	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa985a8…
06-29 23:16:50	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9fa469…
06-29 23:13:28	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	79	42¢	$33	0x288d75…
06-29 22:47:58	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0xfb219e…
06-29 22:38:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xaf0fda…
06-29 19:30:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0xae25d8…
06-29 19:30:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x5ac918…
06-29 19:12:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x4b8259…
06-29 19:10:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x9da2ad…
06-29 19:09:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x4f2583…
06-29 16:41:53	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x32870c…
06-29 16:15:44	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x1cdb9c…
06-29 14:11:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xe64648…
06-29 13:44:04	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xf2f279…
06-29 11:48:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xbf5c56…
06-29 11:48:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc0711a…
06-29 07:08:49	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x08f587…
06-27 15:47:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x17fc0f…
06-27 12:40:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x157252…
06-27 11:27:17	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xab19cc…
06-27 11:14:52	Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xbc9578…
06-27 11:14:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x258c85…
06-27 02:17:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x1e465e…
06-26 13:05:43	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x8a8774…
06-26 13:03:42	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0xf7b732…
06-26 13:00:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x0c502c…
06-26 11:46:23	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	62¢	$15	0x463720…
06-26 01:55:32	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9193bc…
06-25 22:00:05	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1e83ec…
06-25 20:10:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x581446…
06-24 23:58:25	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0f7f6d…
06-24 23:57:52	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x0c6731…
06-24 21:23:46	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0xd304b5…
06-24 17:49:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xbcaf8c…
06-24 16:57:04	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0xece337…
06-24 16:57:04	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xdf178a…
06-24 13:03:04	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x879db5…
06-24 07:12:25	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3035fd…
06-24 06:17:56	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7fe191…
06-24 04:53:35	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x65a0e2…
06-23 21:31:34	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x400217…
06-23 20:18:05	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xf2e14e…
06-23 10:36:26	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x090fcc…
06-23 05:28:58	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xe6fc81…
06-22 18:47:07	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x83e86b…
06-22 02:30:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0xdf4a4f…
06-21 23:18:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x078b07…
06-21 07:02:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xaf25f0…
06-19 17:02:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0x789cf9…
06-19 12:00:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xaf6c8b…
06-19 06:53:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xf7b981…
06-19 00:22:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x65bf93…
06-18 23:32:26	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x228f75…
06-18 20:47:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x060f2e…