Realized P&L
+$280
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
50
Trades
15,798
lifetime
Volume
$5.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$318
Open exposure
$8.13K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 12:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
83% 100% +$280
Sports
14% 100% +$1
Politics
2%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 326 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,782 $1,777 100¢ $1.8K +$3 06-30 10:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +810 $808 100¢ $809 +$0 06-30 03:12
Trump out as President by June 30? No +750 $749 100¢ $749 +$0 06-29 07:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +586 $585 100¢ $585 +$0 06-30 05:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +486 $486 100¢ $486 +$0 06-30 03:08
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +486 $486 100¢ $485 $-0 06-30 13:35
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +381 $380 100¢ $380 $-0 06-30 01:53
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +324 $324 100¢ $324 +$0 06-29 14:03
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +324 $324 100¢ $324 +$0 06-29 23:16
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No +324 $322 100¢ $324 +$1 06-29 14:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +324 $322 100¢ $323 +$1 06-29 12:08
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? No +225 $224 100¢ $224 $-0 06-30 16:44
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30? No +195 $195 99¢ $194 $-1 06-30 05:40
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? No +172 $171 100¢ $172 +$1 06-30 02:23
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +162 $162 100¢ $162 +$0 06-30 02:26
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +162 $162 100¢ $162 +$0 06-27 15:01
Chirayu Rana divorced? No +162 $162 100¢ $162 $-0 06-30 05:41
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +162 $162 100¢ $162 +$0 06-30 12:02
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +162 $162 100¢ $162 $-0 06-29 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +162 $160 100¢ $161 +$1 06-29 04:48
Obama divorce before 2027? No -7 $-6 95¢ $-6 +$0 06-25 15:01