Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,690

lifetime

Volume

$51.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$448

11 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 11-01 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$2

Other

23% 67% +$0

Politics

7% — —

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+122	$119	99¢	$120	+$1	10-31 23:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-116	-$113	99¢	$-115	-$2	09-16 20:15
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-66	-$64	99¢	$-66	-$2	10-31 07:06
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	-51	-$51	98¢	$-50	+$1	10-30 23:44
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	-26	-$25	94¢	$-24	+$1	05-01 16:35
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$18	99¢	$20	+$2	10-31 09:55
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+21	$17	97¢	$20	+$3	10-31 21:04
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	-17	-$17	98¢	$-16	+$1	09-24 15:21
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	+13	$13	99¢	$13	+$0	10-26 14:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+4	$3	97¢	$4	+$1	11-01 00:45
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	+0	-$1	97¢	$0	+$1	05-14 01:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	538	$10.9K	5,840	5,819	+21	open	—	10-31 21:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	502	$7.5K	3,864	3,980	-116	open	—	09-16 20:15
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	238	$4.3K	2,190	2,206	-17	open	—	09-24 15:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	204	$3.7K	2,006	2,006	+0	open	—	05-14 01:15
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	118	$3.3K	1,720	1,720	+0	open	—	11-01 02:51
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	127	$3.0K	1,760	1,760	+0	open	—	09-26 15:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	106	$2.9K	1,499	1,495	+4	open	—	11-01 00:45
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	153	$2.9K	1,523	1,401	+122	open	—	10-31 23:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	130	$2.4K	1,241	1,241	+0	open	—	09-21 09:48
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	94	$1.9K	964	944	+20	open	—	10-31 09:55
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	90	$1.8K	927	979	-51	open	—	10-30 23:44
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	98	$1.7K	817	884	-66	open	—	10-31 07:06
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	111	$1.6K	803	803	+0	open	—	09-17 18:24
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	68	$1.5K	787	787	+0	No	+$2	05-11 04:37
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	71	$1.2K	607	607	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 11:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	10	$300	160	140	+20	No	+$0	10-18 23:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	9	$220	140	80	+60	No	+$0	10-27 13:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	10-28 00:33
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	18	$55	34	22	+13	open	—	10-26 14:31
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	2	$25	0	26	-26	open	—	05-01 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:51:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	82	97¢	$80	0x295a77…
11-01 00:45:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x6db999…
11-01 00:14:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x348bc6…
10-31 23:53:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2dc463…
10-31 23:52:07	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1d92de…
10-31 23:50:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xdc3251…
10-31 23:50:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0xc217b9…
10-31 23:15:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe9a55c…
10-31 23:13:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3cba4a…
10-31 23:10:09	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x88494d…
10-31 23:08:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x77e2be…
10-31 23:06:51	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1171d1…
10-31 22:54:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd82243…
10-31 22:22:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	129	97¢	$125	0x8c8419…
10-31 21:17:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x16e75b…
10-31 21:04:42	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x64ddac…
10-31 21:04:06	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1bbb63…
10-31 20:57:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7b936c…
10-31 19:30:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa03089…
10-31 18:56:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0x3fe04d…
10-31 17:48:31	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xbe48fe…
10-31 17:45:48	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf9eb93…
10-31 17:11:06	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x6b2ed7…
10-31 16:58:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x47e581…
10-31 16:32:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x3a447c…
10-31 15:35:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x7bcd64…
10-31 15:35:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0dff56…
10-31 15:21:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1f5617…
10-31 15:13:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0caedd…
10-31 15:13:42	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x17d53b…
10-31 15:07:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x408471…
10-31 13:11:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0a1874…
10-31 13:09:37	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd1c0d2…
10-31 11:22:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	97	97¢	$94	0xf5f24c…
10-31 11:09:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x74502e…
10-31 10:21:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x6c2e68…
10-31 09:55:04	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf28654…
10-31 09:37:58	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x3974a2…
10-31 08:59:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8bc7d1…
10-31 08:41:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xb7237d…
10-31 07:06:34	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9d9cb3…
10-31 06:47:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe5cc83…
10-31 06:27:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe4b598…
10-31 05:46:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf61f0e…
10-31 03:02:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaf5939…
10-31 02:40:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	104	97¢	$100	0x5d8848…
10-31 01:04:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf56af5…
10-30 23:44:07	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x8bef38…
10-30 22:53:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc0ed61…
10-30 22:15:30	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc0ac19…
10-30 21:47:24	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x4d5828…
10-30 21:35:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	124	97¢	$120	0x847f97…
10-30 21:07:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4b980d…
10-30 21:07:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xcf2996…
10-30 21:03:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1e6031…
10-30 20:59:43	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x644cab…
10-30 20:58:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xd4c316…
10-30 20:53:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9940ac…
10-30 20:52:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x82b91d…
10-30 20:52:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x6004da…
10-30 20:51:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7a5bc3…
10-30 20:49:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x4ee95f…
10-30 20:08:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xcc9b98…
10-30 19:36:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x877b0c…
10-30 14:16:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xf47cc6…
10-30 13:44:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb70c0e…
10-30 13:37:58	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x9c3d1f…
10-30 12:01:06	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0a59a1…
10-30 11:05:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xfec221…
10-30 10:24:06	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x4879a9…
10-30 09:11:33	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1fc0cf…
10-30 09:11:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xea794e…
10-30 09:10:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	118	96¢	$113	0x3fc463…
10-30 08:53:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x20b640…
10-30 05:27:30	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5686bc…
10-30 03:52:22	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf57c0e…
10-30 02:38:24	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xdee3c9…
10-30 01:48:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb28e12…
10-30 00:33:16	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x246230…
10-30 00:23:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xef8c51…
10-29 23:56:52	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x623641…
10-29 23:14:27	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd80abe…
10-29 23:04:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x874478…
10-29 17:37:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x82939f…
10-29 17:37:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1d0049…
10-29 17:17:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x83b254…
10-29 17:16:46	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xfbc466…
10-29 17:16:26	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9f6403…
10-29 16:58:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x876e32…
10-29 16:29:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x74123b…
10-29 15:22:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xdcf2c0…
10-29 13:08:29	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0x8ad7f1…
10-29 12:50:05	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	186	97¢	$180	0xc712f9…
10-29 11:52:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4c9c3d…
10-29 11:47:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x2a338b…
10-29 11:43:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x99f777…
10-29 11:39:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb0fb82…
10-29 11:17:02	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x73b10e…
10-29 09:10:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x261db2…
10-29 09:02:31	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x08d7cd…