Realized P&L
-$8.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.65K
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
376
Trades
4,648
lifetime
Volume
$165.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$3.76K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Crypto
47% 51% -$5,565
Politics
27% 52% +$953
Other
19% 24% -$4,309
Tech
4% 35% +$73
Sports
3% 50% +$102
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,534 $1,350 18¢ $839 -$511 10-19 19:39
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +1,314 $488 40¢ $519 +$31 10-12 06:34
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No — +653 $374 74¢ $480 +$106 10-28 02:02
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes +700 $418 64¢ $444 +$26 10-15 23:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes — +534 $294 72¢ $387 +$93 10-27 23:40
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,874 $272 20¢ $375 +$102 10-16 18:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +1,618 $291 15¢ $235 -$57 09-21 02:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +222 $124 44¢ $99 -$26 08-27 18:19
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +100 $78 92¢ $91 +$13 07-16 18:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +9,389 $1,757 1¢ $75 -$1,682 09-21 22:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +114 $37 55¢ $63 +$27 07-18 04:40
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $65 12¢ $62 -$2 10-17 09:47
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,600 $737 1¢ $38 -$700 09-21 02:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +200 $74 11¢ $21 -$53 05-01 21:46
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes +700 $22 3¢ $19 -$3 09-19 08:51
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +48 $20 16¢ $8 -$12 07-13 21:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -28 -$6 18¢ $-5 +$1 08-03 19:22
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 0¢ $0 -$7 09-16 10:51