Realized P&L
-$8.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.66K
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
376
Trades
4,658
lifetime
Volume
$167.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$3.92K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 06:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Crypto
46% 51% -$5,565
Politics
27% 52% +$953
Other
19% 24% -$4,309
Tech
4% 35% +$73
Sports
3% 50% +$102
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,534 $1,350 16¢ $725 -$625 10-19 19:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +2,100 $1,316 34¢ $724 -$591 10-28 06:54
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +1,314 $488 55¢ $716 +$228 10-12 06:34
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes +700 $418 71¢ $497 +$79 10-15 23:22
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,874 $272 18¢ $337 +$65 10-16 18:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +853 $518 35¢ $299 -$219 10-28 02:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +1,618 $291 14¢ $218 -$73 09-21 02:51
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +100 $78 94¢ $93 +$15 07-16 18:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +222 $124 32¢ $72 -$52 08-27 18:19
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $65 11¢ $52 -$12 10-17 09:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +114 $37 45¢ $52 +$15 07-18 04:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +9,389 $1,757 0¢ $42 -$1,715 09-21 22:15
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,600 $737 1¢ $36 -$701 09-21 02:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +200 $74 8¢ $17 -$57 05-01 21:46
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes +700 $22 2¢ $16 -$6 09-19 08:51
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +48 $20 28¢ $13 -$6 07-13 21:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -28 -$6 18¢ $-5 +$1 08-03 19:22
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 0¢ $0 -$7 09-16 10:51