Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$4.49K

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

4,658 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$167.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$1.98K

18 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 51% -$5,565

Politics

27% 53% +$1,765

Other

19% 23% -$5,095

Tech

4% 35% +$73

Sports

3% 50% +$102

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,534	$1,350	15¢	$657	-$693	10-19 19:39
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	+700	$418	68¢	$476	+$58	10-15 23:22
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,874	$272	12¢	$225	-$47	10-16 18:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+1,618	$291	10¢	$154	-$138	09-21 02:51
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$78	94¢	$94	+$16	07-16 18:12
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+260	$98	34¢	$90	-$8	10-11 08:39
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	+114	$37	61¢	$70	+$33	07-18 04:40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+222	$124	24¢	$52	-$72	08-27 18:19
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+500	$65	8¢	$42	-$22	10-17 09:47
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	+150	$21	19¢	$28	+$7	10-21 11:48
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	+48	$20	50¢	$24	+$4	07-13 21:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+200	$74	12¢	$23	-$51	05-01 21:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	+9,389	$1,757	0¢	$14	-$1,743	09-21 22:15
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+67	$10	18¢	$12	+$2	10-14 00:06
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	+700	$22	1¢	$9	-$12	09-19 08:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	+2,100	$1,316	0¢	$4	-$1,312	10-28 06:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-28	-$6	11¢	$-3	+$3	08-03 19:22
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	+853	$518	0¢	$1	-$517	10-28 02:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	29	$4.8K	8,261	9,000	-739	No	+$439	02-19 02:02
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 25 in february	3	$4.0K	2,137	2,137	+0	Yes	+$203	02-18 17:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:30 UTC	72	$3.9K	3,209	1,456	+1,753	Up	+$688	02-28 13:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	51	$3.6K	16,000	6,611	+9,389	open	—	09-21 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:40 UTC	121	$3.0K	4,699	3,744	+955	Up	+$367	03-01 06:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	7	$3.0K	4,300	4,300	+0	open	—	10-27 23:32
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	36	$2.9K	4,019	2,296	+1,723	No	+$406	02-10 22:12
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	62	$2.7K	3,674	2,226	+1,448	Yes	-$157	07-18 01:33
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?	22	$2.7K	3,094	0	+3,094	Yes	-$2,680	07-19 20:55
Broncos vs. Chiefs	11	$2.4K	2,940	0	+2,940	Chiefs	+$551	09-15 02:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$2.4K	3,800	3,325	+475	Yes	-$80	02-28 14:54
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	4	$2.3K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$195	02-23 03:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 09:50 UTC	109	$2.2K	1,317	1,312	+6	Up	+$255	02-19 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:30 UTC	23	$2.2K	2,767	2,748	+19	Up	-$2,150	03-01 07:34
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	13	$2.2K	5,400	5,400	+0	Yes	+$134	02-28 05:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	14	$2.1K	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	10-23 17:19
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	21	$2.1K	2,411	2,100	+311	Yes	+$696	07-12 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:25 UTC	35	$2.0K	1,503	1,486	+17	Down	-$17	03-01 07:29
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$2.0K	728	1,328	-600	No	-$20	02-18 21:08
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	17	$1.9K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$181	02-23 04:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 08:15 UTC	55	$1.8K	1,166	1,100	+66	Up	+$165	02-19 08:19
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	26	$1.8K	3,135	3,100	+35	No	+$68	01-26 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 08:10 UTC	86	$1.7K	1,895	991	+904	Down	+$470	02-19 08:13
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	6	$1.6K	1,400	2,400	-1,000	No	+$232	01-15 01:31
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	24	$1.5K	4,827	293	+4,534	open	—	10-19 19:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	9	$1.3K	9,600	9,600	+0	No	-$389	09-19 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:00 UTC	62	$1.3K	3,816	0	+3,816	Down	-$1,318	03-01 07:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	15	$1.3K	2,100	0	+2,100	open	—	10-28 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:55 UTC	70	$1.3K	1,488	1,190	+297	Down	-$375	03-01 06:59
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	4	$1.3K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$1,721	07-18 22:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:54:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0xa69909…
10-28 06:27:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	41	55¢	$23	0xeb2f96…
10-28 06:09:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x6a406d…
10-28 06:06:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	130	55¢	$71	0xef7b43…
10-28 05:00:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0x6fc373…
10-28 02:59:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	160	71¢	$114	0xfa64c6…
10-28 02:59:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	220	71¢	$156	0x0a4a99…
10-28 02:59:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xcef438…
10-28 02:02:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	37	66¢	$25	0x44eb62…
10-28 02:01:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	13	66¢	$8	0x72fd97…
10-28 01:56:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xedaf42…
10-28 01:55:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	24	66¢	$16	0xc61529…
10-28 00:20:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xec8981…
10-28 00:15:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	160	57¢	$91	0x3af7d1…
10-27 23:40:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x0b0f5f…
10-27 23:40:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	34	55¢	$19	0xfd282c…
10-27 23:40:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x626629…
10-27 23:38:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x5b61a2…
10-27 23:38:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x38eede…
10-27 23:37:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	297	55¢	$163	0x98c7b7…
10-27 23:37:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0xf8a91c…
10-27 23:37:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	380	55¢	$209	0x7961ca…
10-27 23:36:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xc7ceb5…
10-27 23:32:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,222	42¢	$933	0xbbba75…
10-27 23:32:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,078	42¢	$873	0x327630…
10-27 02:47:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,250	26¢	$585	0xc5d1e3…
10-25 18:02:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,050	27¢	$284	0xd844f4…
10-25 08:40:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	800	14¢	$112	0x8d5fcb…
10-25 03:31:54	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	BUY	897	7¢	$60	0xe50c5f…
10-24 01:54:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	727	28¢	$204	0x9b6ee6…
10-24 01:49:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0xd255ee…
10-24 01:47:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	257	28¢	$72	0xb0e47c…
10-23 23:03:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	3,600	8¢	$288	0xedf5aa…
10-23 17:19:32	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,600	45¢	$720	0x306cbf…
10-23 02:18:57	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	800	81¢	$648	0x9d3f87…
10-22 19:21:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,214	35¢	$425	0x02d869…
10-22 19:21:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	386	35¢	$135	0x9ab25f…
10-21 11:48:32	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0xe252fd…
10-19 19:39:03	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	27¢	$24	0xef02cb…
10-19 17:20:53	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xaab905…
10-19 14:29:23	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x61b0f8…
10-19 14:29:23	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x1d32e7…
10-18 12:28:05	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	27¢	$33	0x9312a9…
10-17 09:47:42	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	449	13¢	$58	0x2e4b11…
10-17 09:14:54	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	19¢	$15	0x2d15d0…
10-17 09:08:45	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x848b4a…
10-17 09:08:45	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x1f85ba…
10-17 05:41:35	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x85f304…
10-16 18:24:36	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x858113…
10-16 07:49:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	637	17¢	$108	0x5afc0b…
10-16 06:14:18	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x509674…
10-16 04:15:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x7cafd4…
10-16 02:02:54	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0f0a9e…
10-15 23:22:01	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x7c09f0…
10-15 23:20:01	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	18¢	$27	0x61fc10…
10-15 23:19:57	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xb6b5cc…
10-15 23:19:55	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x261b79…
10-15 23:19:36	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x107061…
10-15 17:29:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x310986…
10-15 16:16:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	143	17¢	$24	0x3b9c92…
10-15 09:15:40	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x62df5e…
10-14 16:17:25	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	113	64¢	$72	0x045538…
10-14 16:14:39	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xabb2bf…
10-14 16:13:42	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xdb0136…
10-14 16:13:34	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x8a08cb…
10-14 13:03:47	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$3	0xf40890…
10-14 10:07:08	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xbe5aa2…
10-14 10:07:07	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0x422e85…
10-14 10:07:05	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xec5833…
10-14 10:07:05	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	14¢	$29	0xbfc1c8…
10-14 10:07:05	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	14¢	$34	0x78785e…
10-14 10:07:05	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	780	14¢	$109	0x049144…
10-14 00:06:28	Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xfebe28…
10-12 17:38:47	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x6d71c3…
10-12 15:44:53	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x91708d…
10-12 15:40:09	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x860f15…
10-12 15:38:36	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	94	57¢	$54	0x93582b…
10-12 15:11:33	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xd81004…
10-12 14:51:45	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0xc7908c…
10-12 14:51:45	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x128d61…
10-12 14:38:05	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	16¢	$47	0x4642a3…
10-12 14:09:15	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x573177…
10-12 06:34:27	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	82	37¢	$30	0xd87d73…
10-12 04:43:54	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xdd2d3c…
10-12 03:30:29	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xa6081b…
10-11 08:39:18	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd03693…
10-11 08:39:18	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	36¢	$31	0x9c64d0…
10-11 08:39:16	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xc1ab50…
10-11 06:22:20	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xdc53d3…
10-11 05:30:50	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x34a9c0…
10-10 19:59:12	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xc64e2d…
10-10 18:52:42	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x7861d5…
10-10 18:51:36	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x4af5b7…
10-10 17:51:03	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4fb056…
10-10 16:08:09	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0xeabcbc…
10-10 15:23:03	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	383	38¢	$146	0x5bfe71…
10-10 15:16:04	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe82b06…
10-10 13:51:04	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	81	38¢	$31	0xf4726b…
10-10 13:15:48	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x386d0b…
10-10 13:15:46	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	226	38¢	$86	0x6f93c5…