(anonymous) 0xca84e3…c327f4
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
7,737
lifetime
Volume
$49.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$88
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 06-30 12:45
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
53% — —
Politics
47% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 315 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +47 $53 94¢ $44 $-9 06-30 17:21
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -16 $-15 100¢ $-16 $-1 06-09 01:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -10 $0 95¢ $-9 $-10 06-30 17:35
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -6 $-5 95¢ $-5 $-0 06-29 15:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-14 21:07
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -5 $-2 96¢ $-5 $-3 06-30 16:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $2 100¢ $-1 $-3 06-08 13:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $-1 06-27 18:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $-1 06-14 22:01
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-0 06-30 09:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-24 22:12
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-30 10:16
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-23 01:16
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-04 09:43
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-29 17:39
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-26 22:23
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-22 00:58
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-14 07:10
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-14 16:20
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-13 09:49
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-19 20:19
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-28 06:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-17 11:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-20 02:04
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-22 00:26
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 05-29 11:06
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-12 18:29
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-29 07:21