Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
13,164
lifetime
Volume
$77.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$64
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 07-21 00:05
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
51%
Politics
49%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 315 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +52 $64 96¢ $50 $-14 07-21 05:27
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-1 07-20 21:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -5 $11 96¢ $-5 $-16 07-21 05:00
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2 $7 96¢ $2 $-5 07-21 05:19
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +1 $2 98¢ $1 $-1 07-20 10:31
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $1 94¢ $0 $-0 07-20 17:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 07-19 20:14
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-29 17:39
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 07-10 19:07
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 07-20 20:42
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 07-12 09:19
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 07-15 19:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 89¢ $0 $-0 07-17 13:34
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 07-15 23:09
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-18 19:51
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-20 13:23
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-17 18:44