Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,829
lifetime
Volume
$23.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$72
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 06-10 18:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62%
Politics
38%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 315 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +32 $33 94¢ $30 $-3 06-10 23:49
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -16 $-15 98¢ $-16 $-1 06-09 01:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -13 $-9 94¢ $-13 $-3 06-11 00:17
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 $-0 06-09 22:52
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -6 $-5 94¢ $-6 $-1 06-10 22:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $2 98¢ $-1 $-3 06-08 13:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-1 06-10 23:25
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-10 15:56
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-04 09:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-10 10:36
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-09 18:31
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 06-10 17:27
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-09 06:08
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-11 00:02
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-07 01:24
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 05-29 11:06
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $-0 06-04 12:04
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-10 08:20