Realized P&L
-$10.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$192
Hit rate
58.2%
Resolved
2,268
Trades
41,644
lifetime
Volume
$617.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$5.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 10-29 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Crypto
66% 76% -$3,035
Other
17% 57% -$5,928
Politics
16% 73% -$1,869
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 14471 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -1,479 -$1,408 99¢ $-1459 -$51 06-12 14:09
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No -1,000 -$910 97¢ $-966 -$56 07-02 23:13
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +849 $692 84¢ $709 +$16 10-03 11:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +537 $459 82¢ $443 -$15 10-28 23:47
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +275 $262 97¢ $267 +$6 10-29 17:38
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +196 $196 96¢ $189 -$7 10-29 17:40
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No +160 $156 98¢ $157 +$1 10-29 17:40
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +133 $124 97¢ $129 +$5 10-10 15:07
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +162 $141 77¢ $126 -$15 10-29 17:54
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +134 $112 80¢ $107 -$6 10-11 04:33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +117 $100 85¢ $100 $0 10-21 16:43
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +80 $33 80¢ $64 +$31 09-08 18:16
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +60 $51 81¢ $49 -$2 10-29 17:16
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +50 $45 90¢ $45 $0 10-29 17:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +41 $40 96¢ $39 -$1 10-29 17:39
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +37 $36 100¢ $37 +$0 10-17 03:20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +40 $27 80¢ $32 +$4 10-16 03:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +41 $37 72¢ $29 -$8 10-28 18:26
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +118 $23 23¢ $27 +$3 10-27 14:40
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No +21 $17 98¢ $21 +$3 10-21 10:35
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +541 $128 3¢ $18 -$110 08-24 07:49
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +53 $4 24¢ $13 +$9 09-11 18:46
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +28 $9 39¢ $11 +$2 08-23 07:50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 10-16 14:17
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 09-11 13:59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $4 72¢ $4 $0 10-13 09:40
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +4 $2 93¢ $3 +$1 09-14 03:55
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 $0 10-07 01:35
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +30 $2 6¢ $2 +$0 10-26 17:48
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +1 $2 96¢ $1 $0 10-29 17:41