Long-Term-Telephone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

Trades

8,480

lifetime

Volume

$334.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$83

Crypto

24% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-107

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 629 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	12	$5.0K	4,428	2,671	+1,757	open	—	08-08 15:24
dota2 aur1 liquid 2026 07 11 game1	23	$4.8K	3,747	2,061	+1,686	open	—	07-11 13:21
dota2 vg pari 2026 07 08 game2	8	$4.5K	2,455	2,455	-0	open	—	07-08 17:54
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	15	$4.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-06 14:51
lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game2	12	$4.4K	2,941	2,941	+0	open	—	07-04 08:21
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	25	$4.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-04 07:58
dota2 vg pari 2026 07 08 game1	18	$4.0K	2,250	2,250	+0	open	—	07-08 17:19
dota2 playti ngx 2026 07 11 game1	6	$3.8K	2,627	2,061	+565	open	—	07-11 13:39
dota2 xtreme flc 2026 07 11 game2	16	$3.3K	1,920	1,920	+0	open	—	07-11 11:47
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06 total 144pt5	22	$2.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-06 14:52
dota2 flc bb4 2026 07 07 game2	4	$2.7K	1,828	1,828	+0	open	—	07-07 11:47
dota2 ts8 mouz 2026 07 07 game2	12	$2.7K	1,619	1,619	+0	open	—	07-07 18:16
dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	7	$2.5K	1,428	1,428	+0	open	—	07-07 17:47
lol g2 tes 2026 07 04 game1	20	$2.2K	1,615	1,527	+87	open	—	07-03 06:39
lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game4	10	$2.2K	4,549	0	+4,549	open	—	07-04 09:18
lol ewi tog 2026 07 07	6	$2.2K	1,301	1,301	+0	open	—	07-07 15:52
lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game1	10	$2.2K	1,422	1,422	+0	open	—	07-04 08:21
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	3	$2.1K	2,000	1,972	+28	open	—	04-04 12:25
dota2 mouz vg 2026 07 12 game1	32	$2.1K	3,827	0	+3,827	open	—	07-12 09:33
dota2 pari ts8 2026 07 12 game1	13	$2.1K	3,269	0	+3,269	open	—	07-12 09:35
lol blg hle1 2026 07 12 game3	27	$2.1K	4,063	0	+4,063	open	—	07-12 09:26
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	2	$2.0K	2,000	1,056	+944	open	—	03-29 13:58
lol g2 tes 2026 07 04 game4	5	$2.0K	1,362	1,362	+0	open	—	07-03 09:16
lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game3	2	$2.0K	1,220	1,020	+199	open	—	07-01 10:26
lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28 game3	2	$2.0K	1,124	1,020	+103	open	—	06-28 05:31
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29 spread home 7pt5	4	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-29 12:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	23	$2.0K	1,766	948	+818	open	—	08-04 00:25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	10	$2.0K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-16 16:47
dota2 pr1 yes 2026 06 27 game2	8	$1.9K	1,300	1,020	+279	open	—	06-27 16:48
lol blg hle1 2026 07 12 game2	1	$1.9K	3,992	0	+3,992	open	—	07-12 08:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:04:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x98ede3…
08-11 10:46:54	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	74	72¢	$53	0xb5dbc9…
08-11 08:08:34	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	BUY	115	17¢	$20	0x39bc9f…
08-11 07:59:03	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	267	78¢	$208	0x76df40…
08-11 05:43:37	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x312ebc…
08-11 05:42:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x3697b1…
08-11 05:42:46	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xc559a4…
08-11 04:09:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	18	79¢	$15	0x789fde…
08-11 03:37:16	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa69462…
08-11 03:31:16	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	193	77¢	$148	0x4830ef…
08-10 08:48:51	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x93d7e9…
08-10 08:48:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x724d19…
08-10 06:27:39	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x2a3648…
08-09 19:21:51	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7d5291…
08-09 19:21:51	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x540832…
08-09 19:06:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0xb6553a…
08-09 18:08:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x560b48…
08-09 18:08:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	44	85¢	$38	0x16cc5c…
08-09 17:51:13	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	183	95¢	$174	0x531d32…
08-09 17:46:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5d988a…
08-09 17:44:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x4cb2fa…
08-09 17:24:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x93574f…
08-09 17:22:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x0e19f6…
08-09 17:21:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf7ae82…
08-09 17:17:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	57	85¢	$48	0xf02c8e…
08-09 17:17:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6c251b…
08-09 17:17:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x03970e…
08-09 17:15:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0xb58082…
08-09 17:15:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x961e3f…
08-09 17:14:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0xa649d1…
08-09 17:03:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x19d776…
08-09 16:07:54	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x942095…
08-09 16:07:54	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x6ac305…
08-09 16:07:54	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x26d9ec…
08-09 16:07:46	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xd80ac6…
08-09 15:56:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x5b284d…
08-09 15:56:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x198f15…
08-09 15:55:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xe95bf2…
08-09 11:39:15	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	221	78¢	$172	0x5e2ca4…
08-09 06:28:27	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	20	84¢	$16	0xd5bf6a…
08-09 01:18:39	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x62a396…
08-09 01:18:25	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xe25eda…
08-08 22:59:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe9863b…
08-08 22:43:54	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xb93cec…
08-08 22:40:36	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xdc2605…
08-08 22:40:28	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x55b108…
08-08 22:06:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x02dfbb…
08-08 21:28:24	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x7decf8…
08-08 20:18:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x644024…
08-08 19:46:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	51	12¢	$6	0xbad6cc…
08-08 19:16:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	15	69¢	$11	0xbdbdc9…
08-08 19:06:39	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	SELL	283	55¢	$157	0x319779…
08-08 19:06:33	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x586526…
08-08 19:06:19	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	107	60¢	$64	0x43e16f…
08-08 19:05:45	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xceb56a…
08-08 19:05:10	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	148	64¢	$94	0xc20a8c…
08-08 17:15:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	59	62¢	$37	0xb17815…
08-08 16:55:12	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0xd032f2…
08-08 16:25:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0x2f1ffd…
08-08 16:15:13	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x722331…
08-08 16:15:13	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0x617e64…
08-08 16:15:13	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x540e4d…
08-08 16:15:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x682923…
08-08 16:09:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x9302bd…
08-08 16:09:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x587919…
08-08 16:03:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xfad489…
08-08 16:02:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x6f561c…
08-08 16:01:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	71	65¢	$46	0x32f1b8…
08-08 15:25:03	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	534	49¢	$262	0xadae5c…
08-08 15:24:58	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	431	48¢	$207	0xc18ad0…
08-08 15:24:09	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	147	72¢	$106	0xd8ac78…
08-08 15:24:07	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	1,437	72¢	$1,034	0x93afbb…
08-08 15:24:04	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	67	72¢	$48	0xde84ba…
08-08 15:24:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	SELL	1,417	70¢	$992	0xe7100b…
08-08 15:23:57	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xcbc772…
08-08 15:23:55	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	101	71¢	$71	0x53c389…
08-08 15:23:51	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	1,376	71¢	$977	0xeb3047…
08-08 15:23:46	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xf03b0a…
08-08 15:23:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	SELL	1,254	69¢	$865	0x8293eb…
08-08 15:23:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb6ef20…
08-08 15:23:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	1,006	70¢	$704	0x3ac462…
08-08 15:22:57	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	243	70¢	$170	0xff6963…
08-08 12:26:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xba991e…
08-08 12:21:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	97	95¢	$93	0xcfe83b…
08-08 10:00:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xeae96a…
08-08 09:22:30	lisa cook out as fed governor by december 31 20260807204638266	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x6a8e0c…
08-08 07:07:27	lisa cook out as fed governor by december 31 20260807204638266	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x18e242…
08-08 07:01:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xb4bd1b…
08-08 06:39:39	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xdb068b…
08-08 06:38:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x82ac87…
08-08 06:37:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	103	77¢	$79	0x954a48…
08-08 06:37:31	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	56	76¢	$42	0x8169dd…
08-08 06:37:31	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x528145…
08-08 06:37:12	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0x4e216b…
08-08 06:36:19	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x5aa422…
08-08 06:33:37	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0x87a493…
08-08 06:21:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	73	87¢	$63	0x7f8390…
08-08 06:20:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xec2dc1…
08-08 06:08:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xe99a9b…
08-08 06:07:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x03ff15…