Realized P&L
+$6.90K
Unrealized P&L
+$510
Hit rate
98.1%
Resolved
10,011
Trades
32,592
lifetime
Volume
$1.51M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$18.4K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 15:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Crypto
93% 98% +$6,155
Politics
4% 96% +$747
Other
3% 95% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +3,605 $3,425 97¢ $3.5K +$83 06-14 22:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +3,478 $3,264 98¢ $3.4K +$143 09-01 21:51
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,105 $2,000 95¢ $2.0K +$8 09-01 21:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,281 $1,800 84¢ $1.9K +$116 09-01 21:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,099 $1,000 98¢ $1.1K +$77 06-14 22:35
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +1,062 $940 97¢ $1.0K +$94 06-25 13:01
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,600 $1,120 62¢ $1000 -$120 05-29 12:36
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +1,000 $890 96¢ $960 +$70 05-17 16:50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $780 92¢ $915 +$135 05-17 17:21
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +666 $620 99¢ $660 +$39 10-05 22:05
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +567 $500 98¢ $559 +$59 09-01 21:49
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -500 -$490 99¢ $-494 -$4 06-14 22:42
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +485 $342 72¢ $352 +$10 06-15 07:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +500 $425 57¢ $286 -$139 05-20 01:03
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No -500 -$160 44¢ $-222 -$62 05-28 12:39