(anonymous) 0x64b212…de55de
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Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
21.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,248
lifetime
Volume
$1.40K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$118
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-15 23:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
70% 33% $-27
Other
19% — —
Crypto
11% 0% $-0
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +78 $65 98¢ $77 +$11 06-15 10:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -14 $-13 96¢ $-14 $-0 06-11 21:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-15 19:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 06-12 07:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4 $3 88¢ $4 +$0 06-15 20:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 06-15 07:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 $-0 06-15 21:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +4 $2 54¢ $2 +$0 06-15 12:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes +48 $2 4¢ $2 $-0 06-01 08:51
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-11 04:30
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-06 02:10
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-06 21:14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 08:22
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +62 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-03 07:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +42 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-03 07:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-4 1¢ $-0 +$4 06-12 16:22