Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,575
lifetime
Volume
$3.94K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$110
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 07-06 18:41
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
88%
Crypto
9%
Other
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 467 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -46 $-39 84¢ $-38 +$1 07-03 17:47
New pandemic in 2026? No +24 $23 92¢ $22 $-0 07-06 18:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +13 $13 96¢ $13 $-0 07-06 18:35
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 $-0 07-06 18:37
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 $-0 07-06 18:37
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $-0 07-06 18:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 07-06 18:37
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-3 78¢ $-3 $-0 06-07 06:35
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $-0 07-06 18:38
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +20 $3 13¢ $3 $-0 07-06 16:54
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 07-06 18:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2 $-1 84¢ $-2 $-1 07-06 18:40
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +3 $2 52¢ $2 $-0 07-06 18:39
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 07-06 18:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $-2 16¢ $1 +$3 07-06 18:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-04 22:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +45 $5 $0 $-5 06-26 12:24