Realized P&L
+$3.79K
Unrealized P&L
+$169
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved
9
Trades
21,119
lifetime
Volume
$5.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$240
Open exposure
$39.8K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 19:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
73% 67% +$3,039
Other
21% 100% +$802
Sports
6% 50% $-51
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -17,687 $-12,915 72¢ $-12823 +$92 07-19 08:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +8,000 $7,240 90¢ $7.2K $-80 07-19 22:38
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -4,984 $-4,794 96¢ $-4772 +$23 06-20 17:30
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5,372 $-4,186 74¢ $-3948 +$238 07-14 11:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,500 $-2,380 94¢ $-2362 +$18 06-28 08:46
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -2,500 $-2,110 86¢ $-2138 $-28 06-16 06:58
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +2,000 $1,820 94¢ $1.9K +$50 06-12 22:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +2,900 $1,858 55¢ $1.6K $-277 07-16 13:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,039 $737 78¢ $816 +$79 07-11 05:57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -800 $-728 92¢ $-736 $-8 06-20 02:46
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,000 $690 66¢ $655 $-35 07-17 00:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,000 $390 46¢ $465 +$75 07-16 07:37
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No -243 $-228 96¢ $-232 $-4 06-04 18:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +250 $192 88¢ $219 +$26 06-21 16:43
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +36 $32 90¢ $33 +$0 07-17 08:11