Realized P&L
+$3.79K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.29K
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved
9
Trades
20,945
lifetime
Volume
$4.94M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$236
Open exposure
$82.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
73%
67%
+$3,039
Other
22%
100%
+$802
Sports
6%
50%
$-51
Crypto
0%
—
—
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk
• peak 131 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +18,314 | $14,995 | 86¢ | $15.7K | +$663 | 06-29 02:40 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | +11,604 | $11,368 | 100¢ | $11.6K | +$224 | 06-20 23:13 | |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | No | -7,614 | $-7,584 | 100¢ | $-7607 | $-23 | 06-18 20:38 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | No | +7,321 | $7,259 | 100¢ | $7.3K | +$55 | 06-17 07:21 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | -4,984 | $-4,794 | 96¢ | $-4782 | +$13 | 06-20 17:30 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | -4,221 | $-4,204 | 100¢ | $-4216 | $-13 | 06-18 20:33 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | No | +2,528 | $2,473 | 100¢ | $2.5K | +$52 | 06-25 06:15 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | -2,514 | $-2,444 | 100¢ | $-2511 | $-67 | 06-04 03:21 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | -2,500 | $-2,380 | 92¢ | $-2287 | +$93 | 06-28 08:46 | |
| Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | +2,253 | $2,214 | 99¢ | $2.2K | +$24 | 06-12 22:59 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | -2,500 | $-2,110 | 86¢ | $-2162 | $-52 | 06-16 06:58 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | No | +2,000 | $1,981 | 100¢ | $2.0K | +$17 | 06-16 11:46 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? | No | +1,998 | $1,986 | 100¢ | $2.0K | +$10 | 06-12 18:45 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | +2,000 | $1,820 | 94¢ | $1.9K | +$50 | 06-12 22:58 | |
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | +1,546 | $1,532 | 100¢ | $1.5K | +$11 | 06-12 23:00 | |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | No | +1,500 | $1,395 | 100¢ | $1.5K | +$100 | 06-25 06:23 | |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | +1,431 | $1,406 | 100¢ | $1.4K | +$19 | 06-18 20:59 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | +1,628 | $1,484 | 84¢ | $1.4K | $-124 | 06-30 18:51 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | No | +1,225 | $1,183 | 100¢ | $1.2K | +$40 | 06-19 16:42 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | +1,162 | $1,137 | 100¢ | $1.2K | +$24 | 06-10 21:07 | |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | No | +1,000 | $981 | 100¢ | $999 | +$18 | 06-02 17:13 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | -800 | $-728 | 90¢ | $-716 | +$12 | 06-20 02:46 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | +899 | $630 | 70¢ | $634 | +$3 | 06-25 06:16 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? | No | +567 | $562 | 100¢ | $566 | +$4 | 06-18 20:38 | |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | No | +507 | $495 | 100¢ | $504 | +$9 | 06-20 23:10 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | +505 | $384 | 100¢ | $504 | +$120 | 06-19 20:29 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | No | +441 | $438 | 100¢ | $440 | +$2 | 06-25 11:53 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | No | +413 | $407 | 100¢ | $411 | +$4 | 06-18 19:40 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | No | +403 | $400 | 100¢ | $402 | +$2 | 06-16 17:11 | |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | No | -243 | $-228 | 96¢ | $-232 | $-4 | 06-04 18:23 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 422 | $358.4K | 198,162 | 174,430 | +23,732 | open | — | 03-01 10:31 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 258 | $154.4K | 126,190 | 126,577 | -387 | open | — | 02-28 06:59 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 317 | $146.6K | 96,766 | 91,005 | +5,760 | open | — | 02-01 04:00 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 352 | $122.5K | 96,853 | 84,850 | +12,003 | open | — | 02-02 19:15 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 280 | $113.4K | 77,947 | 57,390 | +20,557 | open | — | 01-26 19:08 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 51 | $112.6K | 56,916 | 57,416 | -500 | open | — | 04-01 22:01 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 339 | $112.0K | 68,127 | 70,456 | -2,329 | open | — | 03-01 02:02 |
| us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751 | 114 | $106.5K | 60,757 | 48,046 | +12,711 | open | — | 02-10 03:19 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 327 | $100.8K | 82,245 | 28,568 | +53,676 | open | — | 03-02 22:08 |
| will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 210 | $96.7K | 49,159 | 52,074 | -2,914 | open | — | 01-30 22:57 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 179 | $89.3K | 43,620 | 52,712 | -9,092 | open | — | 01-24 03:05 |
| will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322 | 165 | $77.1K | 39,147 | 40,068 | -920 | open | — | 02-01 05:48 |
| will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026 | 452 | $75.6K | 58,819 | 128,907 | -70,089 | open | — | 01-26 03:06 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 115 | $70.5K | 40,080 | 39,088 | +992 | open | — | 02-28 06:20 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 18 | $69.0K | 34,521 | 35,319 | -798 | open | — | 03-27 19:52 |
| us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553 | 88 | $67.7K | 33,473 | 39,115 | -5,642 | open | — | 02-20 22:08 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 305 | $67.0K | 77,969 | 59,967 | +18,002 | open | — | 02-28 02:27 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 109 | $63.7K | 50,541 | 25,569 | +24,972 | open | — | 06-29 02:40 |
| us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931 | 64 | $56.9K | 29,347 | 30,386 | -1,039 | open | — | 02-14 04:04 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 219 | $56.7K | 40,151 | 44,574 | -4,423 | open | — | 01-15 04:26 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 50 | $53.7K | 32,928 | 35,951 | -3,023 | open | — | 02-28 07:08 |
| us strikes iran by february 24 2026 | 61 | $52.6K | 35,428 | 23,570 | +11,858 | open | — | 02-24 21:40 |
| will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 521 | $52.5K | 26,961 | 26,554 | +407 | open | — | 01-30 10:25 |
| will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026 | 72 | $52.4K | 25,815 | 27,075 | -1,260 | open | — | 03-01 09:20 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 423 | $52.2K | 85,512 | 48,770 | +36,741 | open | — | 02-28 02:26 |
| us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771 | 120 | $49.6K | 28,250 | 25,400 | +2,850 | open | — | 01-14 01:17 |
| us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511 | 142 | $47.8K | 31,525 | 27,570 | +3,956 | open | — | 01-27 00:14 |
| iran strike on israel by february 28 | 82 | $43.7K | 22,946 | 25,446 | -2,500 | open | — | 02-28 11:11 |
| us government funding lapse on january 31 | 105 | $40.4K | 26,988 | 15,347 | +11,642 | open | — | 01-30 23:32 |
| will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666 | 37 | $38.8K | 29,040 | 10,222 | +18,818 | open | — | 02-03 20:08 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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