Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.79K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

21,267

lifetime

Volume

$5.13M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$241

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 23:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

73% 67% +$3,039

Other

21% 100% +$802

Sports

6% 50% $-51

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	422	$358.4K	198,162	174,430	+23,732	open	—	03-01 10:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	211	$196.3K	120,041	120,069	-28	open	—	08-06 18:02
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	258	$154.4K	126,190	126,577	-387	open	—	02-28 06:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	317	$146.6K	96,766	91,005	+5,760	open	—	02-01 04:00
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	352	$122.5K	96,853	84,850	+12,003	open	—	02-02 19:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	280	$113.4K	77,947	57,390	+20,557	open	—	01-26 19:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	51	$112.6K	56,916	57,416	-500	open	—	04-01 22:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	339	$112.0K	68,127	70,456	-2,329	open	—	03-01 02:02
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	114	$106.5K	60,757	48,046	+12,711	open	—	02-10 03:19
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	327	$100.8K	82,245	28,568	+53,676	open	—	03-02 22:08
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	210	$96.7K	49,159	52,074	-2,914	open	—	01-30 22:57
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	179	$89.3K	43,620	52,712	-9,092	open	—	01-24 03:05
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	165	$77.1K	39,147	40,068	-920	open	—	02-01 05:48
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	452	$75.6K	58,819	128,907	-70,089	open	—	01-26 03:06
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	115	$70.5K	40,080	39,088	+992	open	—	02-28 06:20
trump out as president by march 31	18	$69.0K	34,521	35,319	-798	open	—	03-27 19:52
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	88	$67.7K	33,473	39,115	-5,642	open	—	02-20 22:08
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	305	$67.0K	77,969	59,967	+18,002	open	—	02-28 02:27
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	64	$56.9K	29,347	30,386	-1,039	open	—	02-14 04:04
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	219	$56.7K	40,151	44,574	-4,423	open	—	01-15 04:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	50	$53.7K	32,928	35,951	-3,023	open	—	02-28 07:08
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	61	$52.6K	35,428	23,570	+11,858	open	—	02-24 21:40
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	521	$52.5K	26,961	26,554	+407	open	—	01-30 10:25
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	72	$52.4K	25,815	27,075	-1,260	open	—	03-01 09:20
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	423	$52.2K	85,512	48,770	+36,741	open	—	02-28 02:26
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	120	$49.6K	28,250	25,400	+2,850	open	—	01-14 01:17
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	142	$47.8K	31,525	27,570	+3,956	open	—	01-27 00:14
iran strike on israel by february 28	82	$43.7K	22,946	25,446	-2,500	open	—	02-28 11:11
us government funding lapse on january 31	105	$40.4K	26,988	15,347	+11,642	open	—	01-30 23:32
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	37	$38.8K	29,040	10,222	+18,818	open	—	02-03 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 23:41:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	50	85¢	$43	0x74784b…
08-07 21:07:19	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	550	93¢	$512	0x49d2d7…
08-07 11:27:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	89¢	$1,335	0xe77cda…
08-06 19:24:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	155	19¢	$29	0x2f3ec7…
08-06 19:02:38	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x4c0b55…
08-06 18:54:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x899f2b…
08-06 18:54:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x4489a5…
08-06 18:49:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x58aa8d…
08-06 18:20:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	207	19¢	$39	0x82abdd…
08-06 18:02:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0xf0d9ea…
08-05 16:01:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	71	73¢	$52	0xafc94e…
08-05 16:00:03	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1dc27c…
08-05 04:19:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	350	96¢	$335	0x547ceb…
08-05 03:55:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	149	96¢	$143	0x4af0b8…
08-05 02:36:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	122	96¢	$117	0x5c5b8a…
08-05 02:10:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	276	38¢	$105	0xa3d8bc…
08-05 02:09:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x8d063a…
08-05 02:09:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	221	38¢	$84	0xbb0ec0…
08-05 02:03:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0x3e6477…
08-04 22:56:29	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	63	75¢	$48	0xcab770…
08-04 22:55:36	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	194	75¢	$145	0x134cb4…
08-04 19:11:32	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	350	59¢	$206	0x4d278a…
08-04 19:03:57	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0x295817…
08-04 15:27:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	36	75¢	$27	0x22fded…
08-04 11:51:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,500	80¢	$2,000	0xfe38d2…
08-04 03:04:21	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,198	89¢	$1,066	0x933807…
08-03 21:29:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	2,000	62¢	$1,240	0x463ce1…
08-03 18:01:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	1,100	76¢	$836	0xfb64f1…
08-03 18:01:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	963	74¢	$713	0x19979d…
08-03 17:34:20	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0x17b5b4…
08-03 17:26:21	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6d51b7…
08-03 17:24:42	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	150	46¢	$69	0xcc013d…
08-03 17:23:35	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	68	46¢	$31	0xa92dea…
08-03 17:23:23	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x4f07be…
08-03 17:23:12	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	205	47¢	$96	0x82a8f1…
08-03 16:35:27	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	250	49¢	$122	0xc690f3…
08-03 12:04:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,500	78¢	$1,170	0x8e836f…
08-03 02:47:47	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	483	96¢	$461	0x5845ae…
08-03 00:57:56	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x05bfff…
08-02 23:34:56	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0x9dcc50…
08-02 18:49:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0x09109f…
08-02 11:04:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3,000	80¢	$2,400	0x638ccb…
08-02 03:55:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	83¢	$1,660	0xd92766…
08-02 03:50:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12,000	82¢	$9,840	0xc73e9c…
08-02 02:17:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	2,000	74¢	$1,480	0x98ec08…
08-01 18:54:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	74¢	$1,480	0x251e64…
08-01 18:49:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	260	29¢	$75	0x36fbdc…
08-01 18:13:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	42	29¢	$12	0x5b1edb…
08-01 17:54:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x75e6fc…
08-01 16:11:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	797	29¢	$231	0xa44127…
08-01 16:07:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x6b4e35…
08-01 15:49:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xb9db19…
08-01 15:26:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x0c2e44…
08-01 15:23:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	134	29¢	$39	0x40eece…
08-01 14:10:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	280	29¢	$81	0xd505ab…
08-01 12:13:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x53c021…
08-01 12:04:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xb00eae…
08-01 10:33:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0xa7cdc4…
08-01 10:33:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xce1857…
08-01 10:25:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xfe3915…
08-01 10:04:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x23c734…
08-01 10:04:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x150108…
08-01 09:35:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xe46aee…
08-01 01:10:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	173	77¢	$133	0xc74ad7…
07-31 06:24:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	103	77¢	$79	0x134282…
07-30 21:34:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1,263	98¢	$1,234	0x57d604…
07-30 17:16:45	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0xeb9687…
07-30 17:09:15	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3f8a50…
07-30 05:55:56	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x89ae62…
07-30 03:49:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	36¢	$720	0x92e62d…
07-30 00:15:47	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0x845b13…
07-29 23:49:39	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0xc6aae2…
07-29 23:07:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,500	75¢	$1,125	0x2868bb…
07-29 21:49:03	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	235	100¢	$234	0xab54a8…
07-29 21:48:29	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb34e20…
07-29 21:48:18	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	173	99¢	$171	0xd84d5e…
07-29 21:45:54	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xd93b5b…
07-29 21:39:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x216dcd…
07-29 19:54:15	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x072fbd…
07-29 19:51:17	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd1cb9f…
07-29 19:51:06	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	558	100¢	$556	0x317ffb…
07-28 21:40:04	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0xd851af…
07-28 11:37:38	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0x36888d…
07-28 02:34:54	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x7fdba3…
07-28 02:21:16	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x7b6522…
07-28 00:51:34	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	159	98¢	$157	0x0c3335…
07-28 00:16:51	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x20b6d3…
07-27 21:44:19	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0xb8a22c…
07-27 21:43:34	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0xf2cc1b…
07-27 21:38:58	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	125	98¢	$123	0xaee1a9…
07-27 21:38:39	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x68764f…
07-27 21:09:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	600	70¢	$420	0xbe7a07…
07-27 20:58:28	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7fef22…
07-27 19:34:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	449	79¢	$355	0x82dd9a…
07-27 19:30:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	551	79¢	$435	0x9d0618…
07-27 19:20:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xa84a9c…
07-27 19:20:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd1bd4b…
07-27 19:20:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xfb978a…
07-27 19:20:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2bbbe1…
07-27 19:19:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x769c2f…