Fabulous-Eponym — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.09K

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

415

Trades

7,446

lifetime

Volume

$394.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$1.02K

7 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 09-25 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

65% 37% -$33,540

Politics

22% 22% -$3,630

Crypto

13% 55% -$5,870

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+9,000	$1,353	8¢	$765	-$588	09-05 14:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+4,995	$350	3¢	$127	-$222	08-07 07:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+6,494	$384	2¢	$97	-$287	09-05 14:41
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-1,109	-$60	1¢	$-13	+$46	07-20 15:18
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	-735	-$11	1¢	$-10	+$1	05-04 02:33
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	+520	$52	2¢	$8	-$44	04-30 22:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	09-20 18:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	705	$57.2K	452,789	406,085	+46,704	No	-$28,182	03-31 11:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	166	$30.3K	31,998	31,423	+575	Yes	+$5,857	04-30 04:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	172	$29.9K	26,609	30,058	-3,449	Yes	+$1,895	04-28 10:45
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	164	$29.2K	79,273	80,300	-1,027	Yes	-$1,826	03-30 16:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	361	$25.7K	302,795	345,429	-42,634	No	-$7,120	04-28 06:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	216	$15.1K	494,842	121,032	+373,810	No	-$7,755	05-20 07:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	107	$13.4K	12,424	14,854	-2,430	Yes	+$3,496	04-29 14:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	18	$13.2K	61,509	58,154	+3,355	Yes	+$12,672	02-28 20:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 01:15 UTC	22	$13.0K	6,708	6,708	+0	Down	+$59	02-15 01:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	17	$9.3K	5,889	5,140	+749	Yes	+$1,121	04-23 00:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	138	$8.2K	151,839	51,839	+100,000	No	-$5,768	05-19 22:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	33	$7.9K	11,390	11,076	+314	No	+$2,168	04-12 15:55
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	48	$7.2K	4,932	5,162	-230	Yes	+$2,741	04-14 21:32
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	125	$7.0K	15,738	11,335	+4,403	No	-$2,437	05-03 11:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 01:30 UTC	264	$6.4K	8,000	2,000	+6,000	Down	-$4,467	02-15 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 01:00 UTC	8	$5.4K	5,496	0	+5,496	Up	+$121	02-15 01:13
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	164	$5.3K	207,925	75,563	+132,362	No	-$3,638	05-20 19:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	20	$5.1K	30,707	15,110	+15,597	No	-$1,778	05-01 02:31
Iran leadership change by April 30?	148	$5.0K	50,190	38,203	+11,987	No	-$1,065	04-29 07:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	25	$4.1K	12,719	2,719	+10,000	Yes	+$123	05-18 21:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	48	$4.0K	26,398	14,145	+12,253	No	-$1,953	04-30 10:13
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$3.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$641	02-21 04:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	70	$3.5K	7,099	7,294	-195	No	+$1,546	04-16 18:07
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$3.1K	1,825	1,825	+0	Yes	+$89	04-05 04:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	16	$3.1K	1,803	1,787	+15	Yes	+$263	04-14 14:56
Iran leadership change by May 31?	15	$3.0K	18,279	3,279	+15,000	No	-$1,788	05-02 23:47
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	18	$2.7K	33,851	2,876	+30,975	No	-$847	03-20 18:17
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	13	$2.7K	2,055	2,050	+5	Yes	+$468	03-23 19:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 22:15 UTC	62	$2.6K	2,807	1,930	+877	Down	+$357	02-14 22:29
Will the US strike Iran next?	64	$2.5K	65,410	13,608	+51,801	No	-$1,896	03-01 14:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 15:16:02	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	323	4¢	$13	0x89a8da…
09-20 18:45:56	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$4	0x6d640f…
09-20 18:38:19	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe17be0…
09-20 18:29:09	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	519	2¢	$10	0xb9c137…
09-20 18:29:04	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	2¢	$2	0xc6bf21…
09-05 14:41:57	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	5¢	$75	0x0bf522…
09-05 14:40:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6,700	15¢	$1,005	0x3b9627…
08-27 07:54:01	Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xba14f5…
08-10 02:40:07	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	450	2¢	$9	0x988857…
08-10 02:25:07	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x46dbf0…
08-09 22:38:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x342c23…
08-09 13:08:10	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xbad4ba…
08-09 04:12:28	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x826f26…
08-07 20:56:52	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	Yes	SELL	286	1¢	$4	0x161463…
08-07 15:37:24	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc632ee…
08-07 13:56:37	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x52699d…
08-07 07:46:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x958533…
08-07 07:46:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	19¢	$380	0xc50363…
08-07 07:45:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,995	7¢	$350	0x0750c3…
08-07 07:44:52	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,999	6¢	$240	0x3a7905…
08-06 13:47:03	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x395b15…
07-22 12:09:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	86	78¢	$67	0xa154ea…
07-22 12:07:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x5af895…
07-21 23:05:49	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013251723	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x504a70…
07-21 22:46:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xba7c3b…
07-21 20:26:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x096ff2…
07-21 20:25:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1aa958…
07-21 20:25:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xecf219…
07-21 20:24:09	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x2c3215…
07-21 20:22:00	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$4	0x316ce0…
07-21 20:21:31	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$4	0x22fbd3…
07-21 20:20:18	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	Yes	BUY	867	2¢	$14	0x2908c1…
07-21 20:14:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x63ea3b…
07-21 15:42:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x4bd808…
07-21 15:42:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x70505f…
07-21 15:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x115258…
07-21 15:08:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8e5490…
07-20 15:45:33	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	272	3¢	$7	0x8bd648…
07-20 15:39:06	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x39de06…
07-20 15:21:13	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0xd4baca…
07-20 15:18:30	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x64e986…
07-20 07:32:40	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xb2a3ef…
07-20 02:37:28	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x547c97…
07-20 02:13:21	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x9bfb5d…
07-19 21:54:24	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x61f47c…
07-19 18:44:06	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xc5a0f2…
07-19 18:44:06	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x3bff4e…
07-19 16:29:55	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xe2d749…
07-19 15:37:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	31¢	$155	0xe38b7b…
07-19 15:35:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	647	5¢	$30	0x0066bc…
07-19 15:34:54	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xa19eaa…
07-19 15:34:43	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x1d8a5d…
07-19 15:34:42	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xbb261a…
07-19 15:29:39	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x767b12…
07-19 15:20:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0xdfbc5d…
07-19 15:20:28	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	791	7¢	$55	0xb48b06…
07-19 15:20:24	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0xaa37f9…
07-19 15:20:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	105	7¢	$7	0x7a64bf…
05-25 03:07:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc0f25c…
05-25 02:42:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	3,000	1¢	$18	0x11cb44…
05-25 02:41:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$20	0x076c3e…
05-25 02:41:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	3,000	1¢	$18	0x33873c…
05-25 02:40:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$18	0x399f67…
05-25 02:38:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	300	3¢	$8	0xe5b767…
05-22 04:48:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	1,500	0¢	$3	0xab04e6…
05-21 08:41:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	No	SELL	1,184	0¢	$1	0x276235…
05-20 21:00:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	1,500	5¢	$72	0x3aac04…
05-20 20:59:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	No	BUY	1,184	1¢	$18	0xe569e6…
05-20 19:47:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xefcf73…
05-20 19:47:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xa9f48f…
05-20 19:47:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x4a8eb2…
05-20 19:47:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x407e19…
05-20 19:22:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	384	0¢	$2	0x4a856b…
05-20 19:08:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17,711	0¢	$89	0xb494c8…
05-20 07:47:50	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	959	1¢	$8	0xe0cb87…
05-20 07:47:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xded660…
05-20 07:46:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x28ecdd…
05-20 07:46:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf61a10…
05-20 07:46:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4c6fea…
05-20 07:45:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	810	1¢	$7	0x4a4dcf…
05-20 06:22:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x7662b2…
05-20 04:59:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20,810	1¢	$208	0xe31ae3…
05-20 02:17:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35,000	1¢	$420	0x354137…
05-19 23:58:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,000	1¢	$56	0x0e6a9f…
05-19 23:54:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,811	1¢	$25	0x8d21e0…
05-19 23:52:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1a534b…
05-19 23:50:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x3a6388…
05-19 23:41:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,639	1¢	$37	0xe04f07…
05-19 23:41:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x7758ec…
05-19 23:12:43	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	530	8¢	$42	0x3fa037…
05-19 23:10:39	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5305dd…
05-19 22:53:14	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	730	1¢	$5	0xc0f588…
05-19 22:53:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8,013	1¢	$48	0x8acce7…
05-19 22:53:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5,420	0¢	$27	0x5ac542…
05-19 22:53:06	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,878	0¢	$20	0x9b45be…
05-19 22:52:29	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$37	0x94663d…
05-19 22:51:26	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$74	0x3675d6…
05-19 22:42:34	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x008327…
05-19 22:42:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0x8fcdca…
05-19 22:41:33	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,728	4¢	$133	0xae7b35…