Sentimental-Investigation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$109

Unrealized P&L

-$575

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

941

lifetime

Volume

$23.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$2.21K

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-24 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

50% 0% $-11

Other

42% 0% $-34

Crypto

8% 0% $-63

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-4,752	$-929	30¢	$-1449	$-520	07-24 18:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+2,384	$338	10¢	$226	$-111	06-19 22:37
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	+681	$228	32¢	$218	$-10	07-24 16:57
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+673	$45	28¢	$185	+$140	07-21 18:56
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+1,840	$202	7¢	$129	$-74	06-01 23:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	140	$3.0K	4,958	4,908	+50	open	—	04-12 23:33
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	62	$2.3K	3,720	3,773	-54	open	—	05-26 18:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	16	$1.8K	1,319	1,319	+0	open	—	04-05 03:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	16	$1.2K	1,330	910	+420	open	—	04-07 19:40
nothing ever happens khamenei	6	$1.2K	1,060	1,060	+0	open	—	02-28 21:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	14	$1.2K	750	5,502	-4,752	open	—	07-24 18:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	28	$1.1K	1,367	1,568	-201	open	—	05-22 20:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	21	$929	2,038	2,080	-42	open	—	04-23 00:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?	12	$917	1,139	1,123	+16	open	—	04-07 13:37
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	47	$838	1,375	1,375	+0	open	—	04-13 01:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	29	$685	1,806	2,101	-295	open	—	05-01 04:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	15	$588	541	539	+2	open	—	04-23 17:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	20	$579	879	879	+0	open	—	04-29 18:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	5	$464	3,084	700	+2,384	open	—	06-19 22:37
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	21	$452	328	328	+0	open	—	02-28 06:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	25	$434	1,091	1,091	+0	No	$-11	05-05 21:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	18	$376	313	311	+2	open	—	04-28 12:56
Iran leadership change by December 31?	12	$357	1,273	600	+673	open	—	07-21 18:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	6	$350	413	413	+0	open	—	05-04 22:00
Iran leadership change by May 31?	17	$287	2,013	0	+2,013	open	—	05-01 22:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	13	$282	513	513	+0	open	—	05-18 14:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$263	261	261	+0	open	—	05-24 19:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	17	$240	806	471	+335	open	—	05-12 21:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	9	$231	270	270	+0	open	—	05-16 04:33
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	10	$228	681	0	+681	open	—	07-24 16:57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	2	$202	1,840	0	+1,840	open	—	06-01 23:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	16	$200	560	560	+0	open	—	04-11 11:59
Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?	48	$197	2,002	1,729	+273	open	—	04-30 20:28
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	11	$183	300	300	+0	open	—	06-08 04:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$182	140	140	+0	open	—	05-24 16:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 18:55:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	196	30¢	$59	0x4cef08…
07-24 16:57:06	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	82	33¢	$27	0x9e7395…
07-24 14:16:45	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x5a8d7c…
07-24 10:22:45	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	68	33¢	$22	0x4724c7…
07-24 08:33:54	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	108	34¢	$37	0x2ac462…
07-23 21:31:36	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0x35f108…
07-23 21:21:55	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe11f56…
07-23 21:20:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	30¢	$13	0xa2ff5c…
07-23 21:18:48	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xf44f50…
07-23 21:14:43	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	160	34¢	$54	0xffb0ac…
07-23 21:13:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0xe2cf85…
07-23 21:12:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	150	30¢	$45	0x60af07…
07-23 14:57:51	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xad0028…
07-22 08:35:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	346	29¢	$100	0xd31a4e…
07-22 00:43:24	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	184	33¢	$61	0xa8892a…
07-21 19:37:55	mohammed ghalibaf out as speaker of iran parliament by december 31 2026 20260710000011405	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x4ba42e…
07-21 19:37:12	mohammed ghalibaf out as speaker of iran parliament by december 31 2026 20260710000011405	Yes	BUY	618	19¢	$117	0x9cf6c1…
07-21 18:56:07	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	600	26¢	$156	0x8d1cd4…
07-20 00:23:21	btc updown 5m 1784506800	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4fd1b8…
07-20 00:21:28	btc updown 5m 1784506800	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc50673…
07-19 00:17:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x7c50b9…
07-19 00:17:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x0af980…
07-18 23:12:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	52	9¢	$5	0x74662d…
07-18 22:43:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3719b7…
07-18 22:43:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8f46e1…
07-18 22:43:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x495ec3…
07-18 22:19:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	63	26¢	$16	0x3d89b3…
07-16 22:13:35	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	63	64¢	$40	0x659e7e…
06-27 02:17:43	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 spread home 2pt5	Egypt	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x429305…
06-27 02:17:41	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 spread home 2pt5	Egypt	BUY	78	5¢	$4	0x3aa3c2…
06-27 02:11:22	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	305	16¢	$49	0xd9039d…
06-24 11:53:25	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x11c5fa…
06-22 12:29:19	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	244	16¢	$39	0xdfa8b8…
06-21 09:23:56	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	81	16¢	$13	0x2584ec…
06-19 23:00:05	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0x87f566…
06-19 23:00:05	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x6004dc…
06-19 22:37:50	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	700	9¢	$63	0xf85496…
06-15 08:40:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	340	15¢	$51	0xa4c828…
06-15 06:42:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xd6c4f8…
06-15 06:41:10	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x6f449d…
06-15 06:40:45	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xa296a1…
06-15 06:40:36	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x50c426…
06-15 06:03:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x48be3e…
06-15 00:36:30	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0xd04f96…
06-14 23:07:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xcb09d3…
06-11 04:05:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	350	22¢	$77	0x969ce8…
06-11 03:45:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	190	21¢	$40	0x94d8fa…
06-11 03:44:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xf8cbb8…
06-11 03:36:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x4e9119…
06-11 03:33:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	21¢	$12	0xfeae33…
06-10 11:55:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	750	18¢	$135	0x12d676…
06-08 15:59:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	97	15¢	$15	0xc1ccca…
06-08 04:07:04	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	36¢	$14	0xe72c2d…
06-08 04:05:45	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xff9814…
06-08 04:05:43	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x931d7c…
06-08 04:05:43	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x3e59c2…
06-08 04:05:42	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	36¢	$11	0xfc98f5…
06-08 04:02:30	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	31¢	$22	0x93f86e…
06-08 04:02:07	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	31¢	$9	0xc1a19d…
06-08 03:49:01	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x9f5eb9…
06-08 03:47:27	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x177af6…
06-08 03:43:16	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x130da0…
06-08 03:42:40	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xf047c4…
06-07 19:22:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	58	85¢	$49	0x350a91…
06-07 19:17:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	43	79¢	$34	0x28a4dd…
06-07 14:15:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	130	10¢	$13	0xe24b2f…
06-07 14:11:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x798b2c…
06-03 16:35:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	378	14¢	$54	0x4fe315…
06-03 16:32:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xe93138…
06-03 14:42:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	810	13¢	$105	0x93a85e…
06-03 11:13:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	17¢	$170	0x99b99f…
06-02 23:03:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	91	13¢	$12	0x2b7fab…
06-02 22:18:52	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0x85f5d1…
06-02 22:06:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	57	11¢	$6	0xb30bc6…
06-02 22:06:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x2c2fe2…
06-02 22:06:11	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	67	11¢	$7	0x5d2ecd…
06-02 22:05:58	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	54	10¢	$6	0xf31236…
06-02 22:05:57	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	67	11¢	$7	0x5950da…
06-02 16:54:13	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0xf5e569…
06-02 15:04:47	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x7514f8…
06-02 03:11:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	333	16¢	$53	0x68c52f…
06-01 23:02:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	170	13¢	$22	0x3fda66…
06-01 23:01:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,013	2¢	$20	0x2b7b5d…
06-01 23:00:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xa826bb…
06-01 22:59:29	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,013	1¢	$12	0x0d5948…
06-01 22:58:38	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,740	11¢	$191	0x33bd8e…
06-01 22:57:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,013	13¢	$262	0xfb1d6f…
06-01 22:13:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,667	17¢	$453	0x12fdb4…
05-26 18:37:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	234	9¢	$21	0x4bd938…
05-24 19:11:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x4bbda3…
05-24 18:08:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	72¢	$48	0x79d55e…
05-24 18:06:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	72¢	$24	0x733e4e…
05-24 16:22:45	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	64	63¢	$40	0x380ddf…
05-24 16:07:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	140	86¢	$120	0xc1e870…
05-24 00:50:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	36¢	$19	0xd68889…
05-24 00:49:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc79069…
05-24 00:42:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x22b7fb…
05-24 00:41:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x1602f4…
05-24 00:40:37	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	54	27¢	$14	0x502aa9…
05-24 00:35:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xeefa04…