Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.33K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.45K

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$344.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.41K

Open exposure

$121.2K

6 positions

First seen

2026-06-08

last 08-09 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

50% 94% +$4,511

Politics

43% 50% -$6,051

Crypto

7% 100% +$205

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+117,011	$102,373	92¢	$107.1K	+$4,692	08-09 19:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+5,435	$5,000	97¢	$5.3K	+$266	06-16 10:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+5,618	$4,551	82¢	$4.6K	+$27	06-11 07:48
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,600	92¢	$1.8K	+$240	06-11 15:07
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,875	$1,700	98¢	$1.8K	+$129	06-16 10:20
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	+608	$500	97¢	$593	+$93	06-10 19:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	83	$102.4K	117,011	0	+117,011	open	—	08-09 19:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	6	$74.4K	40,484	40,484	+0	open	—	08-09 19:14
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	13	$20.5K	10,964	10,964	+0	open	—	08-05 20:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	19	$18.3K	10,435	8,281	+2,154	No	+$328	06-25 19:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	12	$13.4K	15,047	0	+15,047	No	+$1,605	06-23 22:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	18	$12.9K	7,499	7,499	+0	No	+$2,067	08-04 11:18
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	3	$12.1K	6,375	6,375	+0	open	—	08-04 11:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$9.5K	10,394	0	+10,394	No	+$885	06-10 19:06
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	7	$9.4K	10,077	0	+10,077	No	+$637	06-11 12:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	15	$7.6K	8,281	0	+8,281	No	+$653	06-11 15:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	4	$6.6K	3,333	3,333	+0	No	+$77	06-25 19:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$5.5K	2,845	2,845	+0	No	+$46	08-04 11:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	1	$5.0K	5,435	0	+5,435	open	—	06-16 10:18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$4.9K	2,976	2,976	+0	open	—	08-09 16:51
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	2	$4.7K	2,364	2,364	+0	No	+$53	06-25 19:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$4.6K	5,618	0	+5,618	open	—	06-11 07:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$4.4K	4,581	0	+4,581	Yes	-$4,375	06-11 07:37
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	4	$3.5K	3,639	0	+3,639	No	+$142	06-11 18:19
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	7	$3.1K	3,333	0	+3,333	No	+$233	06-11 14:59
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	1	$2.5K	2,660	0	+2,660	No	+$160	06-16 10:17
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$2.2K	2,517	0	+2,517	Yes	-$2,166	06-10 23:57
ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	2	$2.1K	2,208	0	+2,208	No	+$89	06-09 10:41
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	1	$2.0K	2,205	0	+2,205	No	+$205	06-22 20:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	2	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$78	06-12 07:22
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,875	0	+1,875	open	—	06-16 10:20
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	4	$1.6K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-11 15:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	3	$1.5K	1,768	0	+1,768	No	+$230	06-11 13:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	-$1,275	06-08 11:24
congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	1	$1000	1,093	0	+1,093	Yes	-$1,000	06-09 10:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	1	$900	968	0	+968	No	+$68	06-08 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 19:21:33	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	214	88¢	$189	0xe74677…
08-09 19:21:16	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x876eee…
08-09 19:21:12	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x3f1860…
08-09 19:21:07	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x0a932d…
08-09 19:20:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x6ffd08…
08-09 19:20:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xb39f8f…
08-09 19:20:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xc5b8bb…
08-09 19:20:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xaeb382…
08-09 19:20:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xfd0db7…
08-09 19:20:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x489330…
08-09 19:20:25	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xce2f36…
08-09 19:20:22	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x3c33b8…
08-09 19:20:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x9b4652…
08-09 19:20:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x875ece…
08-09 19:19:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xa9196c…
08-09 19:19:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xa32a39…
08-09 19:19:33	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x83b514…
08-09 19:19:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x59e502…
08-09 19:18:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x19fe1c…
08-09 19:18:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x7d028e…
08-09 19:18:39	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x34f679…
08-09 19:18:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xfd0816…
08-09 19:18:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x01d3c3…
08-09 19:18:19	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xf223cc…
08-09 19:18:06	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xdeece7…
08-09 19:18:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x05a993…
08-09 19:17:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xa0f657…
08-09 19:17:36	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x14cde0…
08-09 19:17:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x04cccd…
08-09 19:17:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xf90f76…
08-09 19:17:19	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x26e36d…
08-09 19:17:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x161a84…
08-09 19:16:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x9ceea4…
08-09 19:16:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xb78782…
08-09 19:16:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xcbf8be…
08-09 19:16:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x81cf39…
08-09 19:16:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xd36b69…
08-09 19:16:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xdf4358…
08-09 19:16:07	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xf2df90…
08-09 19:16:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x27bb0d…
08-09 19:15:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xda66b1…
08-09 19:15:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xd78f49…
08-09 19:15:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x3e878e…
08-09 19:15:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x99d0fd…
08-09 19:15:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x759e9a…
08-09 19:15:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x61586e…
08-09 19:15:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0xd11e99…
08-09 19:15:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	546	88¢	$481	0x724d4c…
08-09 19:15:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	138	88¢	$121	0x628af5…
08-09 19:15:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	454	88¢	$400	0x5a21d1…
08-09 19:15:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	92	88¢	$81	0x29d3a8…
08-09 19:14:58	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xb287b0…
08-09 19:14:58	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	483	88¢	$425	0x56d4c4…
08-09 19:14:58	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x51d3ff…
08-09 19:14:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xdbf14f…
08-09 19:14:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	472	88¢	$415	0x9132c3…
08-09 19:14:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	360	88¢	$317	0x4ffa22…
08-09 19:14:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x4ac75f…
08-09 19:14:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x979284…
08-09 19:14:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x90d2f4…
08-09 19:14:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x8d34a8…
08-09 19:14:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x8b8dd2…
08-09 19:14:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	725	88¢	$638	0x573975…
08-09 19:14:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x2812c8…
08-09 19:14:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x7fcb41…
08-09 19:14:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0xdc94d2…
08-09 19:14:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	502	88¢	$442	0xae04f0…
08-09 19:14:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	724	88¢	$637	0x006896…
08-09 19:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xd9fb35…
08-09 19:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0xd5b930…
08-09 19:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0xb0bf94…
08-09 19:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x733fec…
08-09 19:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x6a41dd…
08-09 19:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x60c949…
08-09 19:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x592d04…
08-09 19:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x376e37…
08-09 19:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,979	88¢	$3,502	0x2efa60…
08-09 19:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x243e14…
08-09 19:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x0eed8e…
08-09 19:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x01e2b2…
08-09 19:14:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	40,484	93¢	$37,650	0x3db89a…
08-09 17:51:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	22,525	89¢	$20,000	0x6cff21…
08-09 16:57:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	22,727	88¢	$20,000	0x865bd3…
08-09 16:51:46	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,976	80¢	$2,370	0x4327f8…
08-05 20:04:33	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	2,214	94¢	$2,092	0x9126fa…
08-05 18:33:36	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x745233…
08-05 17:03:05	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x6f8033…
08-05 14:29:00	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	3,699	94¢	$3,496	0x473b00…
08-04 16:30:11	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x20a943…
08-04 16:25:54	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x82a23c…
08-04 16:25:53	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xc866ea…
08-04 12:44:39	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xff4ef0…
08-04 11:18:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7,499	100¢	$7,491	0xab22e5…
08-04 11:16:56	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	38,759	86¢	$33,333	0x28b971…
08-04 11:16:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	2,845	98¢	$2,789	0x161743…
08-04 11:14:29	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	94¢	$4,722	0xbc6b41…
08-04 11:13:29	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6,375	96¢	$6,126	0xe90ea3…
06-25 19:15:08	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	648	92¢	$599	0x61ec37…
06-25 19:15:08	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	4,745	93¢	$4,401	0x56fa71…
06-25 19:14:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	8,281	99¢	$8,240	0xcbba17…