Plain-Mezzanine 0xafaa25…dff0e4
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$114
Unrealized P&L
+$79
Hit rate
76.1%
Resolved
8
Trades
9,828
lifetime
Volume
$349.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$2.16K
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 06-10 02:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
70% 50% $-119
Other
27% 50% +$4
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +848 $828 99¢ $837 +$9 06-09 20:22
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +453 $368 100¢ $453 +$85 06-07 22:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -240 $-206 88¢ $-210 $-4 05-27 22:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +166 $155 93¢ $154 $-1 06-08 15:06
New pandemic in 2026? No -130 $-113 88¢ $-115 $-1 06-08 20:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -317 $-114 32¢ $-103 +$11 06-09 00:23
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No -83 $-83 99¢ $-83 $-0 06-08 17:09
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -194 $-35 34¢ $-65 $-30 05-29 17:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -303 $-36 12¢ $-38 $-2 06-08 20:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +199 $16 16¢ $33 +$17 06-10 02:06
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -31 $-29 92¢ $-29 $-0 06-08 20:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -136 $-15 11¢ $-14 +$1 06-06 01:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -59 $-36 20¢ $-12 +$24 06-09 20:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -17 $18 68¢ $-11 $-29 06-09 06:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -50 $-8 18¢ $-9 $-1 05-31 19:05