Plain-Mezzanine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.60K

Unrealized P&L

-$215

Hit rate

41.1%

Resolved

318

Trades

18,888

lifetime

Volume

$641.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$656

13 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-28 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Politics

54% 45% -$2,197

Other

22% 42% +$487

Sports

22% 8% -$2,916

Crypto

1% 100% +$24

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 316 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+2,506	$328	8¢	$188	-$140	10-28 20:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+194	$128	68¢	$133	+$5	10-26 00:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+278	$75	26¢	$74	-$2	10-21 08:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-79	-$39	82¢	$-64	-$25	10-26 03:09
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	-61	-$57	97¢	$-59	-$2	05-04 16:38
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+82	$35	45¢	$37	+$2	09-21 17:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	-35	$1	94¢	$-33	-$34	05-25 17:14
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	+28	-$26	94¢	$26	+$52	10-26 15:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	+28	$21	74¢	$20	-$1	10-23 23:50
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+375	$36	3¢	$12	-$25	10-20 19:52
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,016	$20	0¢	$5	-$15	06-23 23:41
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+60	$28	8¢	$5	-$23	10-28 19:30
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+16	$8	1¢	$0	-$7	10-23 17:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	183	$28.7K	23,513	22,958	+556	No	+$108	03-04 16:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	394	$24.5K	24,780	25,136	-356	Yes	-$249	03-01 01:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	186	$22.2K	19,002	16,391	+2,611	No	+$130	04-23 00:20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	521	$22.2K	28,351	26,313	+2,038	No	-$586	07-15 21:04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	886	$20.2K	25,154	14,793	+10,360	No	-$3,358	07-14 20:46
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	122	$16.3K	14,757	11,664	+3,094	No	-$206	07-05 21:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	318	$14.6K	13,267	13,267	+0	No	-$31	10-26 00:03
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	536	$12.5K	17,517	14,759	+2,758	No	-$195	07-06 20:59
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	414	$12.4K	9,352	8,241	+1,111	Yes	+$94	03-12 17:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	211	$11.6K	21,992	20,339	+1,653	Yes	-$180	04-09 00:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	218	$11.5K	10,154	10,324	-170	Yes	+$161	02-28 22:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	234	$11.0K	11,824	10,626	+1,198	Yes	-$91	10-25 23:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	258	$10.9K	10,977	10,994	-17	No	-$425	04-22 14:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	470	$10.7K	13,911	13,862	+50	No	-$332	05-31 15:21
netanyahu out by march 31 854	113	$10.6K	8,467	8,467	+0	No	+$89	03-25 01:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	308	$10.5K	10,472	9,672	+799	Yes	+$108	04-08 00:16
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	121	$10.5K	11,372	7,080	+4,292	No	-$205	06-29 23:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	390	$10.5K	11,060	10,867	+193	No	-$126	03-30 00:19
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	280	$9.9K	6,994	6,994	-0	No	+$450	06-12 06:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	392	$8.9K	8,777	8,777	+0	Yes	-$102	05-04 16:38
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	205	$8.9K	7,019	7,045	-26	No	+$437	04-12 19:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	314	$8.3K	8,983	8,983	+0	Yes	-$179	06-16 00:03
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	492	$8.2K	12,410	8,616	+3,794	Yes	+$3,180	07-14 21:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	233	$8.1K	6,731	6,729	+2	Yes	-$165	04-09 11:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	237	$8.0K	7,092	7,092	+0	Yes	-$6	06-14 22:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	237	$7.9K	7,278	7,212	+66	No	-$145	04-28 02:15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	99	$7.9K	15,692	8,928	+6,765	No	+$23	06-03 23:06
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	201	$7.7K	12,344	8,452	+3,893	No	-$317	07-15 20:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	188	$7.7K	5,823	5,823	+0	open	—	10-28 18:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	332	$6.9K	5,278	5,277	+1	No	+$16	06-15 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:03:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x01161d…
10-28 20:03:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x9cfadf…
10-28 20:03:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	217	8¢	$17	0x7da33c…
10-28 19:51:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	306	8¢	$24	0xaecb58…
10-28 19:37:10	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x213147…
10-28 19:33:50	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x446889…
10-28 19:33:50	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	443	7¢	$31	0x30dcc3…
10-28 19:30:32	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xcdbc33…
10-28 19:30:32	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	576	7¢	$40	0x5cff59…
10-28 19:30:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x5a79cc…
10-28 19:30:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x46c9e9…
10-28 19:30:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x3375c7…
10-28 19:30:10	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	193	7¢	$14	0x1609f8…
10-28 19:12:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0xbb52ca…
10-28 18:00:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	96	53¢	$51	0x14d990…
10-28 17:59:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0xc45973…
10-28 17:50:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	398	97¢	$387	0x2bbf01…
10-28 06:17:08	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	57	32¢	$18	0x4a8885…
10-28 06:15:28	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	57	33¢	$19	0x7cc744…
10-28 04:37:26	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0x7bb932…
10-28 04:36:25	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0xb93ee4…
10-28 03:32:24	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	21	32¢	$7	0xf72224…
10-28 03:32:04	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x26a448…
10-28 00:48:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	85	47¢	$40	0x22cd3f…
10-28 00:47:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x87e28d…
10-28 00:47:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0x26e27b…
10-28 00:27:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0xe9f6df…
10-28 00:27:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xa59a49…
10-28 00:27:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x046af6…
10-28 00:20:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0x8257d1…
10-28 00:20:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0xb6f34f…
10-28 00:19:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0x949175…
10-27 23:12:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	83	92¢	$77	0xdd13e1…
10-27 23:11:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	83	93¢	$77	0xe86cf3…
10-27 23:05:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	178	61¢	$109	0xcb6e33…
10-27 23:03:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	74	60¢	$44	0x5a3b3c…
10-27 23:03:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	104	60¢	$63	0x1a50c1…
10-27 22:54:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0x0ac132…
10-27 22:52:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x736fc4…
10-27 22:51:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	56	57¢	$32	0x852896…
10-27 22:51:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	56	57¢	$32	0xfc2e0a…
10-27 22:47:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	34	90¢	$30	0xcd6559…
10-27 22:45:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x4b1c2f…
10-27 22:40:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	62	52¢	$32	0xe5841b…
10-27 22:38:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x5a9fff…
10-27 22:38:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x124ea0…
10-27 22:38:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x338049…
10-27 22:37:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	27	51¢	$14	0x1143a1…
10-27 22:35:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$7	0x7b96ae…
10-27 22:35:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0x7a54fd…
10-27 21:51:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	23	36¢	$8	0xd83625…
10-27 21:50:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x23207c…
10-27 20:51:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	28	81¢	$22	0x1722d5…
10-27 20:37:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	127	69¢	$87	0xd960d3…
10-27 20:35:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfd2269…
10-27 20:35:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x400809…
10-27 20:35:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x19e836…
10-27 20:35:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	81	70¢	$56	0xc83987…
10-27 20:35:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	56	69¢	$38	0x44fb56…
10-27 20:34:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x53048e…
10-27 20:30:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	165	17¢	$28	0x43999e…
10-27 20:29:17	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x974472…
10-27 20:18:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	56	73¢	$41	0x63568b…
10-27 20:07:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	28	70¢	$19	0xf5eac8…
10-27 20:06:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$19	0x285423…
10-27 20:02:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	517	65¢	$336	0x90aa30…
10-27 19:58:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x078ed2…
10-27 19:57:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	66	77¢	$51	0xa49596…
10-27 19:57:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x47bd1e…
10-27 19:53:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	278	6¢	$17	0x8b1f57…
10-27 19:52:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	257	76¢	$195	0x8adde3…
10-27 19:52:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	125	25¢	$31	0x489a61…
10-27 19:52:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	83	68¢	$57	0x144de9…
10-27 19:52:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	139	75¢	$104	0x304ae2…
10-27 19:52:36	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	278	7¢	$19	0xc95cac…
10-27 19:52:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	56	22¢	$12	0xa6da4c…
10-27 19:51:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	83	69¢	$57	0x027b25…
10-27 19:50:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	80	67¢	$54	0xbb1367…
10-27 19:50:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	28	37¢	$10	0x008140…
10-27 19:50:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xa97416…
10-27 19:50:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x7182db…
10-27 19:50:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x5d1a3b…
10-27 19:50:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x2b1582…
10-27 19:49:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x1e891c…
10-27 19:45:59	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	56	91¢	$51	0x8e8251…
10-27 19:45:44	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0xb33ee3…
10-27 19:37:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	56	75¢	$42	0xf4664a…
10-27 19:14:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xc40623…
10-27 19:14:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x11e91f…
10-27 19:09:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0xd7f134…
10-27 19:07:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	73	75¢	$55	0x3d9a3a…
10-27 19:06:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	230	74¢	$170	0xc27741…
10-27 19:05:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	49	75¢	$37	0x434635…
10-27 19:04:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0x8d0964…
10-27 19:02:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0x02de18…
10-27 19:02:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	41	34¢	$14	0x911b4f…
10-27 19:01:36	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	41	35¢	$14	0xdbf6e1…
10-27 18:09:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	111	77¢	$86	0x9ddc09…
10-27 17:53:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	34	78¢	$27	0x461aad…
10-27 17:53:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0x7f528f…