Realized P&L
+$63.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$941
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
288
Trades
202,922
lifetime
Volume
$7.47M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$212.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 15:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
72% 71% +$1,550
Politics
18% 66% +$25,170
Sports
6% 82% +$31,111
Crypto
2% 62% +$3,192
Tech
1% 93% +$2,621
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +26,500 $21,627 92¢ $24.2K +$2,621 07-17 06:47
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +26,000 $20,670 80¢ $20.7K $0 08-16 23:23
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +19,416 $16,656 94¢ $18.3K +$1,693 10-25 23:10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +16,558 $15,603 97¢ $16.0K +$434 10-25 19:44
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -16,500 -$13,854 92¢ $-15097 -$1,243 07-04 09:53
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -21,254 -$9,929 66¢ $-14134 -$4,205 09-02 12:27
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +10,905 $10,433 96¢ $10.5K +$80 10-26 04:32
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -11,771 -$11,132 87¢ $-10246 +$885 05-14 07:32
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +15,000 $7,441 66¢ $10.0K +$2,534 08-10 06:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11,500 $7,390 80¢ $9.3K +$1,867 09-10 13:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +9,000 $7,305 96¢ $8.6K +$1,322 06-04 00:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -8,857 -$8,026 89¢ $-7904 +$122 10-25 08:28
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 No +6,068 $5,122 96¢ $5.8K +$727 07-07 16:25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +5,457 $4,815 85¢ $4.6K -$177 09-13 14:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5,000 $4,300 86¢ $4.3K +$25 08-18 13:34
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +4,500 $4,090 95¢ $4.3K +$173 10-27 20:21
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -436,574 -$4,203 1¢ $-3711 +$493 10-04 23:06
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -21,973 -$2,042 16¢ $-3549 -$1,507 05-18 06:59
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +5,000 $3,585 68¢ $3.4K -$160 08-23 12:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -150,075 -$9,678 2¢ $-3077 +$6,602 07-05 23:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,000 $2,475 94¢ $2.8K +$360 05-18 02:20
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -40,934 -$3,848 5¢ $-2047 +$1,801 05-08 14:31
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +2,000 $1,395 96¢ $1.9K +$535 07-17 15:51
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9,499 -$2,038 16¢ $-1558 +$480 09-15 15:58
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,500 $1,110 94¢ $1.4K +$307 05-02 01:18
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +839,977 $6,795 0¢ $1.3K -$5,535 09-16 17:44
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +25,887 $9,793 5¢ $1.2K -$8,615 06-01 08:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4,500 $1,200 20¢ $878 -$322 07-07 23:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -18,235 -$3,364 4¢ $-757 +$2,608 06-23 01:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +6,500 $3,710 12¢ $747 -$2,962 08-15 04:03