Realized P&L
+$63.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$941
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
288
Trades
202,922
lifetime
Volume
$7.47M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$212.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 15:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
72%
71%
+$1,550
Politics
18%
66%
+$25,170
Sports
6%
82%
+$31,111
Crypto
2%
62%
+$3,192
Tech
1%
93%
+$2,621
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 413 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 2,986 | $313.0K | 1,623,041 | 2,020,205 | -397,164 | No | +$14,108 | 03-18 17:26 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 1,648 | $222.9K | 1,935,381 | 1,639,174 | +296,207 | Yes | -$44,936 | 03-18 17:19 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | 469 | $177.4K | 220,156 | 74,624 | +145,531 | Yes | -$207,285 | 07-14 18:41 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 622 | $173.2K | 185,946 | 146,156 | +39,789 | Yes | -$45,266 | 04-12 11:12 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 1,254 | $163.1K | 792,916 | 2,523,785 | -1,730,869 | No | +$60,033 | 01-28 18:29 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | 470 | $149.7K | 149,999 | 149,999 | +0 | No | +$626 | 06-14 04:07 |
| nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 | 359 | $138.5K | 155,205 | 172,074 | -16,869 | Seahawks | +$9,769 | 02-08 20:36 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | 96 | $131.1K | 105,000 | 189,780 | -84,780 | No | +$89,733 | 07-14 13:28 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 477 | $128.1K | 251,281 | 220,289 | +30,992 | Yes | +$729 | 02-28 07:05 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | 891 | $126.5K | 59,998 | 234,782 | -174,784 | No | +$118,106 | 07-14 19:10 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | 677 | $124.2K | 154,900 | 30,000 | +124,901 | No | +$44,151 | 07-11 20:31 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 682 | $120.9K | 274,156 | 280,504 | -6,348 | No | +$838 | 03-26 14:16 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 365 | $108.9K | 131,618 | 66,644 | +64,974 | No | +$40,326 | 04-12 10:27 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | 342 | $107.3K | 45,000 | 169,896 | -124,897 | No | +$93,677 | 07-11 19:37 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | 785 | $106.0K | 215,986 | 0 | +215,986 | No | +$110,003 | 07-18 14:31 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 578 | $105.4K | 242,737 | 210,851 | +31,885 | Yes | +$25,718 | 02-28 13:22 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 614 | $103.3K | 274,037 | 283,272 | -9,235 | open | — | 06-23 01:51 |
| will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026 | 653 | $101.1K | 85,740 | 162,095 | -76,355 | Yes | +$24,877 | 02-08 21:34 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | 271 | $100.3K | 119,999 | 74,999 | +45,000 | No | +$82,874 | 07-19 18:58 |
| will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 7,275 | $93.1K | 5,100,787 | 5,173,574 | -72,786 | No | +$6,115 | 03-18 17:38 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | 621 | $92.8K | 89,999 | 104,998 | -14,999 | No | +$50,937 | 07-19 19:04 |
| nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5 | 993 | $91.8K | 95,214 | 88,083 | +7,131 | Seahawks | -$10,404 | 02-08 21:21 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 278 | $90.1K | 108,000 | 92,000 | +16,000 | open | — | 09-10 13:42 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | 712 | $86.1K | 100,574 | 15,049 | +85,525 | No | +$19,318 | 07-10 17:11 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 307 | $80.0K | 87,430 | 68,773 | +18,657 | Yes | -$1,021 | 02-24 05:17 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | 13 | $79.8K | 90,000 | 30,000 | +60,000 | No | +$20,400 | 07-04 15:50 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | 764 | $79.5K | 87,764 | 62,234 | +25,530 | Yes | -$102,480 | 07-15 16:54 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 1,158 | $78.0K | 1,589,992 | 62,703 | +1,527,289 | Yes | -$40,756 | 01-28 18:49 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? | 95 | $76.8K | 60,037 | 76,601 | -16,564 | Yes | -$76,664 | 07-07 00:17 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting | 7,769 | $76.1K | 9,515,949 | 8,631,291 | +884,657 | No | +$4,405 | 01-28 13:21 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||