Realized P&L (90d)
+$5.45K
Unrealized P&L
+$20.1K
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved (90d)
21
Trades (90d)
5,112
202,983 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$195.1K
$7.12M lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$182.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 20:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
71% 71% +$1,550
Politics
19% 65% +$26,631
Sports
6% 82% +$31,111
Crypto
2% 62% +$3,192
Tech
1% 93% +$2,621
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -31,969 -$28,655 93¢ $-29651 -$997 11-04 20:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +26,000 $20,670 94¢ $24.3K +$3,640 08-16 23:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +19,058 $18,010 98¢ $18.8K +$762 10-30 23:48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +12,068 $10,719 93¢ $11.3K +$558 11-10 13:04
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +11,103 $10,624 98¢ $10.9K +$296 11-01 00:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -11,771 -$11,132 91¢ $-10682 +$450 05-14 07:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11,500 $7,390 92¢ $10.5K +$3,132 09-10 13:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? No +10,000 $9,730 94¢ $9.4K -$335 11-12 20:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +9,000 $7,305 98¢ $8.9K +$1,546 06-04 00:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +8,248 $7,288 96¢ $7.9K +$589 11-09 06:38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5,000 $3,585 92¢ $4.6K +$990 08-23 12:15
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -436,574 -$4,203 1¢ $-4147 +$56 10-04 23:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +4,042 $2,485 97¢ $3.9K +$1,455 10-29 19:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? No +3,400 $3,266 98¢ $3.3K +$52 11-08 20:11
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -21,973 -$2,042 15¢ $-3197 -$1,155 05-18 06:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,000 $2,475 97¢ $2.9K +$448 05-18 02:20
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +2,500 $2,391 98¢ $2.5K +$69 11-05 16:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -150,075 -$9,678 2¢ $-2326 +$7,352 07-05 23:48
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +2,877 $2,186 79¢ $2.3K +$78 11-02 17:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? No +2,000 $1,957 99¢ $2.0K +$27 11-08 22:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,500 $1,110 98¢ $1.5K +$355 05-02 01:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,414 89¢ $1.3K -$79 11-12 14:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,320 80¢ $1.2K -$112 11-12 14:56
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2,272 $3,000 44¢ $1.0K -$1,989 11-06 22:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in November? No +1,000 $983 99¢ $988 +$5 11-09 19:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? No +1,000 $940 97¢ $967 +$27 11-06 03:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9,499 -$2,038 10¢ $-945 +$1,093 09-15 15:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -40,934 -$3,848 2¢ $-675 +$3,172 05-08 14:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in November? No +500 $477 97¢ $483 +$6 11-09 13:54
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +302,238 $1,813 0¢ $453 -$1,360 05-24 07:51