Realized P&L (90d)
+$5.45K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.6K
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved (90d)
21
Trades (90d)
4,943
202,984 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$192.2K
$7.12M lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$181.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 20:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
71% 71% +$1,550
Politics
19% 65% +$26,631
Sports
6% 82% +$31,111
Crypto
2% 62% +$3,192
Tech
1% 93% +$2,621
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -31,969 -$28,655 93¢ $-29587 -$933 11-04 20:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +26,000 $20,670 94¢ $24.3K +$3,640 08-16 23:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +19,058 $18,010 99¢ $18.8K +$771 10-30 23:48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +12,068 $10,719 93¢ $11.2K +$528 11-10 13:04
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +11,103 $10,624 98¢ $10.9K +$296 11-01 00:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -11,771 -$11,132 91¢ $-10682 +$450 05-14 07:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11,500 $7,390 92¢ $10.6K +$3,247 09-10 13:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +9,000 $7,305 98¢ $8.8K +$1,520 06-04 00:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? No +10,000 $9,730 86¢ $8.6K -$1,125 11-12 20:13
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +8,248 $7,288 96¢ $7.9K +$655 11-09 06:38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5,000 $3,585 90¢ $4.5K +$940 08-23 12:15
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -436,574 -$4,203 1¢ $-4147 +$56 10-04 23:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +4,042 $2,485 97¢ $3.9K +$1,437 10-29 19:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? No +3,400 $3,266 98¢ $3.3K +$66 11-08 20:11
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -21,973 -$2,042 15¢ $-3241 -$1,199 05-18 06:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,000 $2,475 97¢ $2.9K +$448 05-18 02:20
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +2,500 $2,391 98¢ $2.5K +$66 11-05 16:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -150,075 -$9,678 2¢ $-2326 +$7,352 07-05 23:48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +2,877 $2,186 79¢ $2.3K +$88 11-02 17:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? No +2,000 $1,957 99¢ $2.0K +$28 11-08 22:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,500 $1,110 98¢ $1.5K +$354 05-02 01:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,414 85¢ $1.3K -$145 11-12 14:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,320 70¢ $1.1K -$262 11-12 14:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in November? No +1,000 $983 99¢ $992 +$9 11-09 19:53
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2,272 $3,000 44¢ $988 -$2,012 11-06 22:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? No +1,000 $940 98¢ $978 +$38 11-06 03:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9,499 -$2,038 10¢ $-964 +$1,074 09-15 15:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -40,934 -$3,848 2¢ $-634 +$3,213 05-08 14:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in November? No +500 $477 97¢ $483 +$6 11-09 13:54
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +16,729 $9,436 3¢ $443 -$8,992 11-05 05:07