Clumsy-Supply 0xa61ef8…ff0abd Create alert
whale 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.46K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.57K
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
198
203,122 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$93.9K
$7.57M lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$160.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 19:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
71% 71% +$1,550
Politics
19% 65% +$26,631
Sports
6% 82% +$31,111
Crypto
2% 62% +$3,192
Tech
1% 93% +$2,621
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -31,969 -$28,655 92¢ $-29396 -$741 11-04 20:40
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +26,000 $20,670 88¢ $22.7K +$2,080 08-16 23:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +19,058 $18,010 98¢ $18.7K +$733 10-30 23:48
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +11,103 $10,624 99¢ $11.0K +$330 11-01 00:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -11,771 -$11,132 87¢ $-10288 +$844 05-14 07:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11,500 $7,390 88¢ $10.2K +$2,787 09-10 13:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +9,000 $7,305 97¢ $8.8K +$1,452 06-04 00:47
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +7,068 $6,066 98¢ $6.9K +$846 11-02 12:50
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5,000 $4,300 90¢ $4.5K +$225 08-18 13:34
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +5,457 $4,815 78¢ $4.3K -$532 09-13 14:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5,000 $3,585 80¢ $4.0K +$390 08-23 12:15
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +4,042 $2,485 96¢ $3.9K +$1,396 10-29 19:04
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -21,973 -$2,042 15¢ $-3373 -$1,331 05-18 06:59
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -436,574 -$4,203 1¢ $-3274 +$929 10-04 23:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,000 $2,475 96¢ $2.9K +$405 05-18 02:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -150,075 -$9,678 2¢ $-2776 +$6,902 07-05 23:48
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +2,877 $2,186 91¢ $2.6K +$433 11-02 17:53
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +1,500 $1,426 97¢ $1.5K +$33 10-29 17:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,500 $1,110 96¢ $1.4K +$330 05-02 01:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9,499 -$2,038 15¢ $-1392 +$646 09-15 15:58
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +839,977 $6,795 0¢ $1.3K -$5,535 09-16 17:44
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +25,887 $9,793 4¢ $1.1K -$8,667 06-01 08:16
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -40,934 -$3,848 2¢ $-757 +$3,091 05-08 14:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +6,500 $3,710 11¢ $682 -$3,027 08-15 04:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4,500 $1,200 12¢ $518 -$683 07-07 23:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -18,235 -$3,364 3¢ $-492 +$2,872 06-23 01:51
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes — +302,238 $1,813 0¢ $453 -$1,360 05-24 07:51
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +450 $340 95¢ $430 +$89 09-03 16:40
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -4,500 -$945 10¢ $-428 +$518 06-30 20:48
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 Anthropic +450 $302 92¢ $416 +$115 06-12 18:36