Verifiable-Interior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$74

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.2%

Resolved

Trades

854

lifetime

Volume

$285.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$335

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-05 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

82% 0% $-17

Other

18% 100% +$91

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	15	$28.8K	18,929	18,929	+0	open	—	03-01 13:19
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	22	$18.7K	10,215	10,215	+0	open	—	02-27 04:54
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$17.1K	11,647	9,647	+2,000	open	—	02-28 05:47
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	7	$14.3K	10,200	5,100	+5,100	open	—	02-10 16:57
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	19	$13.6K	7,364	7,364	+0	open	—	02-07 02:22
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	12	$11.9K	6,054	6,054	+0	open	—	01-04 01:12
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	8	$10.1K	6,500	6,500	+0	open	—	01-15 02:20
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	13	$9.6K	5,075	5,075	+0	open	—	02-02 01:09
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	21	$9.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-01 00:56
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	9	$7.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	01-12 04:30
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	6	$7.2K	6,000	2,000	+4,000	open	—	01-24 21:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	3	$6.0K	3,305	3,305	+0	open	—	03-01 01:24
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	3	$5.7K	6,005	0	+6,005	open	—	02-17 20:40
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	4	$5.7K	4,674	2,500	+2,174	open	—	02-28 03:40
Will the US strike Iran next?	13	$5.5K	2,926	2,926	+0	open	—	02-10 14:04
will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during the 2026 state of the union address 296	10	$5.0K	2,571	2,571	+0	open	—	02-25 02:45
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-15 16:17
will trump say obama during the state of the union address 686	5	$4.4K	4,698	0	+4,698	open	—	02-25 03:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$4.1K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	01-13 21:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$4.1K	3,398	1,198	+2,200	open	—	06-15 17:07
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	27	$3.9K	1,786	3,286	-1,500	open	—	01-27 23:23
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	10	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	01-21 16:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	5	$3.6K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	01-28 03:14
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	7	$3.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	01-14 22:04
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	5	$3.0K	2,000	1,092	+908	open	—	01-06 07:52
Will the US strike Somalia next?	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-13 22:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	$-17	04-30 02:42
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	23	$2.5K	2,267	2,267	+0	open	—	03-05 17:14
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	9	$2.5K	2,600	0	+2,600	open	—	02-05 19:12
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$2.5K	2,550	0	+2,550	open	—	03-06 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 02:51:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x399189…
08-02 17:19:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	150	51¢	$76	0x625422…
07-27 11:38:40	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	150	9¢	$13	0x8057d4…
07-22 20:06:24	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	41	39¢	$16	0x1a8be4…
07-22 20:06:19	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	81	39¢	$32	0x67d2fc…
07-22 20:03:06	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xb27165…
07-22 20:00:24	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x95e4d2…
07-22 18:24:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0x56dd68…
07-15 23:25:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	580	91¢	$530	0x06597d…
07-15 18:24:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	120	47¢	$56	0xb4a21d…
07-13 18:04:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1,538	94¢	$1,449	0x43d6b0…
07-13 18:02:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	262	94¢	$247	0x24b3b2…
07-11 22:19:05	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	240	57¢	$137	0xf1ba1e…
07-10 05:46:34	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0x63ac10…
07-08 20:31:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	95	12¢	$11	0x756485…
07-07 17:30:37	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	900	89¢	$801	0x4a220e…
07-06 04:11:59	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1,895	95¢	$1,800	0x79e495…
07-04 20:07:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x501dfb…
06-30 00:51:17	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	BUY	103	14¢	$14	0x5c7aa1…
06-28 23:03:35	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xe5fca2…
06-28 11:10:19	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x7ce4da…
06-28 04:30:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x96af3e…
06-26 04:15:10	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x4fff08…
06-26 00:35:50	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x5a7250…
06-26 00:11:04	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x2e1ad5…
06-25 12:27:40	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xeb4b0f…
06-25 12:26:08	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5bebc0…
06-25 12:26:05	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x682f4d…
06-18 02:20:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	909	88¢	$800	0xabbef6…
06-15 17:07:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,200	95¢	$2,092	0xd70888…
06-15 07:51:21	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xfd264c…
06-15 05:50:51	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x63c930…
06-14 23:18:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,198	81¢	$967	0xff3ac6…
06-14 23:02:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,198	83¢	$1,000	0x4983b7…
06-14 21:21:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xff90e0…
06-13 18:40:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xffc074…
06-12 16:33:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	401	50¢	$200	0xf37701…
06-11 20:09:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x46dbfb…
06-11 19:28:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	279	72¢	$200	0xd4cfbb…
06-11 01:01:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x162af1…
06-11 00:51:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	65	36¢	$24	0x8ab1c1…
06-11 00:43:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x12e3c2…
06-11 00:36:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x5fce3a…
06-11 00:36:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x64bc71…
06-11 00:36:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	300	36¢	$108	0xa4abfc…
06-11 00:17:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	751	16¢	$120	0x2bb62f…
06-08 04:59:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	34¢	$48	0xf1cd64…
06-08 04:11:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x38ec33…
06-08 04:11:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x024b4d…
06-08 04:11:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x9e7b82…
06-01 07:56:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0x4bc8b1…
05-29 16:25:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	1¢	$1	0xc93f89…
05-29 15:04:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	53¢	$115	0xeb6097…
05-29 15:03:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	53¢	$82	0xe8c121…
05-29 14:43:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x957377…
05-29 14:40:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x96c848…
05-29 14:39:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0x6ceebb…
05-27 22:32:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	37¢	$186	0xc01986…
05-27 12:36:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0xf82169…
05-27 12:36:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0x81fba1…
05-27 12:36:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x6dbf4a…
05-27 12:36:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0xe02f54…
05-27 12:36:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x9c083a…
05-27 12:36:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x55b177…
05-27 12:36:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x160b14…
05-26 05:01:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xf1a898…
05-26 04:33:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x20fc71…
05-24 16:32:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x766ff0…
05-19 11:01:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	3¢	$2	0x5bcb39…
05-19 07:06:52	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x1900b0…
05-17 19:32:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	550	19¢	$104	0x2ddf2f…
05-17 17:42:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xe48afa…
05-17 15:52:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x1f348e…
05-16 21:51:25	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xf95644…
05-16 20:59:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	856	10¢	$86	0xc2e54b…
05-13 04:41:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe7b169…
05-12 18:48:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x782d40…
05-12 18:45:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2f5a7d…
05-11 14:56:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7496dc…
05-06 23:49:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x5c3705…
04-30 02:42:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,474	94¢	$1,384	0xbad43c…
04-29 22:14:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0x43d477…
04-29 17:20:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	95¢	$1,425	0xf8add4…
04-29 10:46:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	216	57¢	$123	0xd42a10…
04-29 10:16:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xc4326c…
04-29 10:13:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xac813d…
04-29 09:13:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xebf16f…
04-29 00:51:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	251	29¢	$73	0xd50013…
04-29 00:16:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xe14d19…
04-28 23:53:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x069515…
04-28 23:53:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x4828d7…
04-26 21:52:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$9	0x10353b…
04-25 00:52:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x2f0a36…
04-25 00:29:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x38bd61…
04-24 17:15:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x370aea…
04-24 17:15:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	41¢	$60	0xba1623…
04-23 17:59:44	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$20	0xc288c0…
04-23 13:50:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	500	9¢	$45	0x5e565d…
04-23 04:57:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xbdc742…
04-23 04:47:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	481	23¢	$111	0x348df0…