Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
669
lifetime
Volume
$2.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$158
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 07-24 18:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
74%
Other
24%
Crypto
1%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -113 $-77 70¢ $-79 $-2 07-21 20:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +31 $19 67¢ $21 +$2 07-19 23:03
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +19 $14 68¢ $13 $-1 07-24 16:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-1 06-14 06:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +12 $12 90¢ $10 $-1 07-22 02:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 64¢ $10 +$1 07-09 00:45
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $5 +$0 06-25 18:20
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -4 $-3 74¢ $-3 +$0 07-11 15:32
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -4 $-3 60¢ $-3 $-0 07-20 23:14
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -2 $-2 87¢ $-2 +$0 07-11 15:27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1 $0 86¢ $0 $-0 07-21 14:41
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +0 $0 80¢ $0 +$0 07-21 14:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 $-0 07-21 15:10